tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2913163585006496092024-03-13T21:42:41.282-07:00Journal Of TrendUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger189125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-87758886927512106032020-05-09T04:37:00.001-07:002020-05-09T07:13:43.339-07:00上帝來的超自然使者之啟示 - 將發生的大預言及審判 ( Revelation of the supernatural messenger from God-the big prophecy and judgment that will happen )<b><a href="https://www.sl-pc.org.tw/bible/1/DAN/10" target="_blank">但以理得啟示 10 章</a></b><br />
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<a href="https://www.pursuestar.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/Lord-Jesus-cross-redemption.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="360" data-original-width="640" height="225" src="https://www.pursuestar.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/Lord-Jesus-cross-redemption.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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<span style="color: #990000;">1. 波斯王古列第三年,有事顯給稱為伯提沙撒的但以理。這事是真的,是指著大爭戰;但以理通達這事,明白這異象。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">2. 當那時,我─但以理悲傷了三個七日。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">3. 美味我沒有吃,酒肉沒有入我的口,也沒有用油抹我的身,直到滿了三個七日。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">4. 正月二十四日,我在希底結大河邊,</span><br />
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<b>5. <a href="http://chrislu98.blogspot.com/2012/08/daniel10.html" target="_blank">舉目觀看,見有一人身穿細麻衣,腰束烏法精金帶</a>。</b><br />
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<i> 「身穿細麻衣,腰束烏法精金帶」:「細麻衣」是用上等質料織成的白衣;聖經記載祭司(利六10)、天使(結九2;可十六5),以及羔羊的新婦(啟十八8)都穿上細麻衣。「烏法」意思不詳,可能是「精純」的意思;也有學者建議把它改成「俄斐」(賽十三12),「俄斐」位於亞拉伯半島南部,以盛產黃金馳名。「烏法精金」是一種上乘的精金。── 唐佑之《天道聖經註釋──但以理》</i><br />
<i> 【這人的描述】白色的細麻衣是祭司和超自然使者的典型衣著(結九~十),精金腰帶的富麗令人印象深刻。但大部分的描述都集中於此人(一般相信是指加百列)的樣貌特徵上。所形容的五樣特徵(一、身體如水蒼玉,二、面貌如閃電,三、眼目如火把,四、手腳如銅,五、聲音如大眾)也可見於以西結書一章對負起寶座車之活物的描述。車子的整體外貌被形容為火把和閃電,這些活物用以站立的輪子被形容為水蒼玉,活物的腿則被形容為光明的銅。所有的希伯來語字眼都用上了。</i><br />
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<span style="color: #990000;">6. 他身體如水蒼玉,面貌如閃電,眼目如火把,手和腳如光明的銅,說話的聲音如大眾的聲音。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">7. 這異象惟有我─但以理一人看見,同著我的人沒有看見。他們卻大大戰兢,逃跑隱藏,</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">8. 只剩下我一人。我見了這大異象便渾身無力,面貌失色,毫無氣力。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">9. 我卻聽見他說話的聲音,一聽見就面伏在地沉睡了。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">10. 忽然,有一手按在我身上,使我用膝和手掌支持微起。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">11. 他對我說:大蒙眷愛的但以理啊,要明白我與你所說的話,只管站起來,因為我現在奉差遣來到你這裡。他對我說這話,我便戰戰兢兢地立起來。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">12. 他就說:但以理啊,不要懼怕!因為從你第一日專心求明白將來的事,又在你神面前刻苦己心,你的言語已蒙應允;我是因你的言語而來。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">13. 但波斯國的魔君攔阻我二十一日。忽然有大君(就是天使長;二十一節同)中的一位米迦勒來幫助我,我就停留在波斯諸王那裡。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">14. 現在我來,要使你明白本國之民日後必遭遇的事,因為這異象關乎後來許多的日子。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">15. 他向我這樣說,我就臉面朝地,啞口無聲。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">16. 不料,有一位像人的,摸我的嘴唇,我便開口向那站在我面前的說:我主啊,因見這異象,我大大愁苦,毫無氣力。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">17. 我主的僕人怎能與我主說話呢?我一見異象就渾身無力,毫無氣息。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">18. 有一位形狀像人的又摸我,使我有力量。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">19. 他說:大蒙眷愛的人哪,不要懼怕,願你平安!你總要堅強。他一向我說話,我便覺得有力量,說:我主請說,因你使我有力量。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">20. 他就說:你知道我為何來見你嗎?現在我要回去與波斯的魔君爭戰,我去後,希利尼(原文是雅完)的魔君必來。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">21. 但我要將那錄在真確書上的事告訴你。除了你們的大君米迦勒之外,沒有幫助我抵擋這兩魔君的。</span><br />
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<span style="color: #660000;"><b><a href="http://springbible.fhl.net/Bible2/cgic201/read201.cgi?na=%B1%D2" target="_blank">啟示錄 1-10 ~ 1-19</a></b></span><br />
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<span style="color: #660000;"><b><a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-eetj2QrZ0J8/U0qxZqkOMzI/AAAAAAAAOHo/VkLjBz8DLyU/s1600/084-084-jesus-blesses-the-nephite-children-full.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1600" data-original-width="1209" height="400" src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-eetj2QrZ0J8/U0qxZqkOMzI/AAAAAAAAOHo/VkLjBz8DLyU/s1600/084-084-jesus-blesses-the-nephite-children-full.jpg" width="301" /></a></b></span></div>
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10. 當主日,我被聖靈感動,聽見在我後面有大聲音如吹號,說:<br />
11. 你所看見的當寫在書上,達與以弗所、士每拿、別迦摩、推雅推喇、撒狄、非拉鐵非、老底嘉、那七個教會。<br />
12. 我轉過身來,要看是誰發聲與我說話;既轉過來,就看見七個金燈臺。<br />
13. 燈臺中間有一位好像人子,身穿長衣,直垂到腳,胸間束著金帶。<br />
14. 他的頭與髮皆白,如白羊毛,如雪;眼目如同火焰;<br />
15. 腳好像在爐中鍛鍊光明的銅;聲音如同眾水的聲音。<br />
16. 他右手拿著七星,從他口中出來一把兩刃的利劍;面貌如同烈日放光。<br />
17. 我一看見,就仆倒在他腳前,像死了一樣。他用右手按著我,說:不要懼怕!我是首先的,我是末後的,<br />
18. 又是那存活的;我曾死過,現在又活了,直活到永永遠遠;並且拿著死亡和陰間的鑰匙。<br />
19. 所以你要把所看見的,和現在的事,並將來必成的事,都寫出來。<br />
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<a href="https://www.o-bible.com/cgibin/ob.cgi?version=hb5&book=eze&chapter=9" target="_blank">以西結書 9-1 ~ 9-11</a><br />
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<span style="color: #990000;">1 他 向 我 耳 中 大 聲 喊 叫 說 、 要 使 那 監 管 這 城 的 人 、 手 中 各 拿 滅 命 的 兵 器 前 來 。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">2 忽 然 有 六 個 人 、 從 朝 北 的 上 門 而 來 、 各 人 手 拿 殺 人 的 兵 器 、 內 中 有 一 人 身 穿 細 麻 衣 、 腰 間 帶 著 墨 盒 子 、 他 們 進 來 站 在 銅 祭 壇 旁 。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">3 以 色 列神 的 榮 耀 本 在 基 路 伯 上 、 現 今 從 那 裡 升 到 殿 的 門 檻 . 神 將 那 身 穿 細 麻 衣 、 腰 間 <a href="https://www.jw.org/cmn-hant/%E5%87%BA%E7%89%88%E7%89%A9/%E9%9B%9C%E8%AA%8C/%E5%AE%88%E6%9C%9B%E5%8F%B0%E7%A0%94%E8%AE%80%E7%89%882016%E5%B9%B46%E6%9C%88/%E5%B8%B6%E8%91%97%E5%A2%A8%E7%9B%92%E7%9A%84%E4%BA%BA/" target="_blank">帶 著 墨 盒 子 的 人 </a>召 來 。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">4 耶 和 華 對 他 說 、 你 去 走 遍 耶 路 撒 冷 全 城 、 那 些 因 城 中 所 行 可 憎 之 事 歎 息 哀 哭 的 人 、 畫 記 號 在 額 上 。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">5 我 耳 中 聽 見 他 對 其 餘 的 人 說 、 要 跟 隨 他 走 遍 全 城 、 以 行 擊 殺 . 你 們 的 眼 不 要 顧 惜 、 也 不 要 可 憐 他 們 .</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">6 要 將 年 老 的 、 年 少 的 、 並 處 女 、 嬰 孩 、 和 婦 女 、 從 聖 所 起 全 都 殺 盡 、 只 是 凡 有 記 號 的 人 不 要 挨 近 他 . 於 是 他 們 從 殿 前 的 長 老 殺 起 。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">7 他 對 他 們 說 、 要 污 穢 這 殿 、 使 院 中 充 滿 被 殺 的 人 、 你 們 出 去 罷 . 他 們 就 出 去 、 在 城 中 擊 殺 。</span><br />
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<i><span style="color: #990000;"><br /></span></i>
<i><span style="color: #990000;"> </span>「他們必知道我是神」是本書的鑰句,出現接近七十次,先知的使命是要說明:引致選民被擄受苦的原因之一乃是神的管教,為要使選民認識耶和華是獨一真神。</i><br />
<i> 以西結在公元前612年接獲異象,五年之後預言第一次應驗,巴比倫大軍毁滅了耶路撒冷城。雖然上帝容許信奉異教的巴比倫人毁滅耶路撒冷城,不過他們只是耶和華用來執行判決的工具。(耶利米書25:9,15-18)耶和華運用他們來懲罰叛道的猶太人,但是上帝並沒有將義人和惡人一起消滅。有些在耶路撒冷城的猶太人並沒有做出對上帝不忠的惡事,仁愛的耶和華就拯救他們的性命。</i><br />
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<span style="color: #990000;">8 他 們 擊 殺 的 時 候 、 我 被 留 下 、 我 就 俯 伏 在 地 、 說 、 哎 、 主 耶 和 華 阿 、 你 將 忿 怒 傾 在 耶 路 撒 冷 、 豈 要 將 以 色 列 所 剩 下 的 人 都 滅 絕 麼 。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">9 他 對 我 說 、 以 色 列 家 和 猶 大 家 的 罪 孽 、 極 其 重 大 、 遍 地 有 流 血 的 事 、 滿 城 有 冤 屈 、 因 為 他 們 說 、 耶 和 華 已 經 離 棄 這 地 、 他 看 不 見 我 們 .</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">10 故 此 、 我 眼 必 不 顧 惜 、 也 不 可 憐 他 們 、 要 照 他 們 所 行 的 報 應 在 他 們 頭 上 。</span><br />
<span style="color: #990000;">11 那 穿 細 麻 衣 、 腰 間 帶 著 墨 盒 子 的 人 、 將 這 事 回 覆 說 、 我 已 經 照 你 所 吩 咐 的 行 了 。</span><br />
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<span style="color: #990000;"><a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-I20XnnsLm4M/Xra6hd-XEMI/AAAAAAAApL8/-zR14Z4pk1kfdEeyIZEeazfN9Unza3hVACLcBGAsYHQ/s1600/Jeus%2Bon%2BCross%2B20200136.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="435" data-original-width="777" height="223" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-I20XnnsLm4M/Xra6hd-XEMI/AAAAAAAApL8/-zR14Z4pk1kfdEeyIZEeazfN9Unza3hVACLcBGAsYHQ/s400/Jeus%2Bon%2BCross%2B20200136.jpg" width="400" /></a></span></div>
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<a href="http://springbible.fhl.net/Bible2/cgic201/read201.cgi?na=%B1%D2&chap=15" target="_blank">啟示錄 15-3 ~ 15-8</a><br />
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3 唱神僕人摩西的歌,和羔羊的歌,說:主神─全能者啊,你的作為大哉!奇哉!萬世(或作:國)之王啊,你的道途義哉!誠哉!<br />
4 主啊,誰敢不敬畏你,不將榮耀歸與你的名呢?因為獨有你是聖的。萬民都要來在你面前敬拜,因你公義的作為已經顯出來了。<br />
5 此後,我看見在天上那存法櫃的殿開了。<br />
6 那掌管七災的七位天使從殿中出來,穿著潔白光明的細麻衣(細麻衣;有古卷是寶石),胸間束著金帶。<br />
7 四活物中有一個把盛滿了活到永永遠遠之神大怒的七個金碗給了那七位天使。<br />
8 因神的榮耀和能力,殿中充滿了煙。於是沒有人能以進殿,直等到那七位天使所降的七災完畢了。<br />
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-40359072677173459122019-02-03T21:30:00.003-08:002020-05-09T04:36:22.940-07:00羅馬尼亞流行唱作歌手 Alexandra Stan picture and musics 亞歷山德拉·斯坦 ( Alexandra Stan )<br />
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<a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-liK2YcE2BV8/XFfNTgmYKrI/AAAAAAAAlQo/DWXbkcWL100U4OPQKkufYSxvaK54A6-5QCLcBGAs/s1600/Alexandra%2BStan%2B0f9e3e2d52572303ebf2b8d32427ea0f.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="750" data-original-width="500" height="400" src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-liK2YcE2BV8/XFfNTgmYKrI/AAAAAAAAlQo/DWXbkcWL100U4OPQKkufYSxvaK54A6-5QCLcBGAs/s400/Alexandra%2BStan%2B0f9e3e2d52572303ebf2b8d32427ea0f.jpg" width="266" /></a></div>
亞歷山德拉·斯坦(Alexandra Stan,1989年6月10日-)是一位羅馬尼亞流行唱作歌手。亞歷山德拉最先於2009年尾在出生國羅馬尼亞推出了她的出道單曲「棒棒糖」(Lollipop (Param Pam Pam)),並於次年頭登上了羅馬尼亞的主流電台的音樂排行榜,最高紀錄排行第八位。亞歷山德拉推出的第二首單曲「薩克斯風先生」(Mr. Saxobeat)成功令她在國際成名;該曲登上全球超過二十個國家的排行榜頭五名之內,當中包括紐西蘭及英國,另亦在澳洲、加拿大以及美國告示牌百強單曲榜擠身在頭三十名之內;「薩克斯風先生」(Mr. Saxobeat)在推出的一年之內全球銷量接近一百萬。亞歷山德拉期後於2011年8月推出首張專輯《Saxobeats》。<br />
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2011年8月29日,亞歷山德拉的首張專輯《Saxobeats》正式上市,專輯中包含八首單曲及五首混音曲目。專輯先後在法國、德國、瑞士、羅馬尼亞、西班牙、波蘭及義大利幾個國家推出;及後在10月25日經Ultra Records在美國和加拿大推出;而英國方面還未推出。同年夏季,第四首與德國饒舌歌手Carlprit合作的單曲「1 Million」推出,直至2011年9月,該曲只有在法國電台播出了數次,而沒有進入任何歌曲排行榜。而「1 Million」的音樂MV拍攝工作在2011年12月9日開始。亞歷山德拉憑籍「薩克斯風先生」一曲獲得了數個銷售認證獎項:在澳洲、西班牙、丹麥和瑞典四個國家達到白金銷量,在義大利則達到多白金銷量。在2011年的「羅馬尼亞音樂大獎」,她得到了兩項「薩克斯風先生」的提名:「最佳舞蹈」和「最佳歌曲」(獲獎);自己亦被提名「最佳女性」以及獲得「國界突破獎」(Borderbreaker Award)。在同年的MTV歐洲音樂大獎,亞歷山德拉分別提名「最佳歐洲藝人」和贏取了「最佳羅馬尼亞藝人」。<br />
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<a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-gsOj8UFlgoY/XFfNiQolLXI/AAAAAAAAlQs/QPjLPZW-RcIiEJlM0LmTcDHYW8263E1YACLcBGAs/s1600/Alexandra%2BStan%2B73a08ecd9dc88dc49cafe90ef46cafb3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="763" data-original-width="564" height="400" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-gsOj8UFlgoY/XFfNiQolLXI/AAAAAAAAlQs/QPjLPZW-RcIiEJlM0LmTcDHYW8263E1YACLcBGAs/s400/Alexandra%2BStan%2B73a08ecd9dc88dc49cafe90ef46cafb3.jpg" width="295" /></a></div>
她的成就被認定為羅馬尼亞最佳作品銷量藝人之一。 ( In 2011, Stan made her international breakthrough with the single "Mr. Saxobeat". The song first achieved success in Romania, where it peaked at number one on the Romanian Top 100 for eight consecutive weeks. It then became acclaimed worldwide, topping the record charts in several other countries, and selling almost one million copies in less than one year. At the 2011 Romanian Music Awards, Stan and "Mr. Saxobeat" won several awards and nominations. Stan also won the Best Romanian Act and a nomination for Best European Act at the 2011 MTV Europe Music Awards. )<br />
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In June 2015, Stan released "We Wanna", a collaboration with Romanian singer Inna and American reggaeton performer Daddy Yankee. The track reached the top 60 in multiple countries including Romania, Argentina and Italy. It was certified Gold in the latter region. In addition to her music career, Stan was involved with ecological and humanitarian causes at Expo 2016 in Antalya, Turkey, where she planted a tree that she named after herself. She also won a trophy at the Celebrity Awards along with other accomplished Romanian women, and earned a nomination for Best Pop Artist at the Elle Style Awards România, as she would also do in 2016. In November 2015, she released the single "I Did It, Mama!", which reached the top ten in Romania. The singer's third studio album Alesta followed in March 2016, and was supported by a tour of Japan. It debuted at number 34 on the Japanese Albums Chart. Later that year, Stan made her fashion debut with a range of clothing called Alesta X Bershka, which was available in Japan.<br />
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Also in 2016, the singer joined the supergroup G Girls along with Antonia, Inna and Lori, and premiered the single "Call the Police", which was successful in Poland. To promote the launch of Virgin Radio Romania in early 2017, Stan recorded a cover version of Madonna's song "Like a Virgin" (1984), saying she was a fan of it. She also recorded "Favorite Game" for the soundtrack of the Japanese movie Miko Girl; it served as its opening song. The film premiered during the 30th Tokyo International Film Festival in October 2017, where Stan appeared on the red carpet with its cast and crew. In April 2018, Stan released her fourth studio album, which is titled Mami, and peaked at number 119 in Japan. She also contributed guest vocals on Manuel Riva's track "Miami", which reached the top ten on the US Dance Club Songs chart; this was Stan's first appearance on an American Billboard ranking since 2011's "Mr. Saxobeat". It also reached the top 10 in Romania. The singer opened the 2018 Neversea Festival, which had selected "Miami" as its anthem. At the 2018 Beirut International Awards Festival, Stan was awarded a special prize for her career.<br />
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-90188406797219032982018-09-14T04:41:00.001-07:002018-09-14T04:41:05.896-07:00從俄國中東鐵路經營至俄羅斯「東方2018」軍事演習看中俄未來<a href="http://www.epochtimes.com/b5/18/9/12/n10708445.htm" target="_blank">俄羅斯軍事演習「東方2018」</a><br />
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<a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-ZtlutCvxTWk/W5kTzqvvhHI/AAAAAAAAkoo/7uDSyyR-Ybk82GvPyj_1JHF6_uTC4ThXACLcBGAs/s1600/Russia%25E3%2580%258C%25E6%259D%25B1%25E6%2596%25B92018%25E3%2580%258D%2B20180907.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="589" data-original-width="798" height="295" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-ZtlutCvxTWk/W5kTzqvvhHI/AAAAAAAAkoo/7uDSyyR-Ybk82GvPyj_1JHF6_uTC4ThXACLcBGAs/s400/Russia%25E3%2580%258C%25E6%259D%25B1%25E6%2596%25B92018%25E3%2580%258D%2B20180907.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
週二(2018, 9月11日)俄羅斯宣布啟動其歷史上規模最大的軍事演習,中共也派軍隊參加。針對外界質疑這否是針對美國的軍演,美國國防部長馬蒂斯說,由於長遠利益不同,中共和俄羅斯走不到一起。<br />
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馬蒂斯:長遠利益不同 中俄難以結盟<br />
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週二,馬蒂斯在五角大樓與媒體見面時,有記者問在中俄正在舉行大型聯合軍演之際,美國是否擔心中俄兩國未來可能會組建軍事聯盟。馬蒂斯認為這不太可能,他說:「國家通常會根據自己的利益來行動,而我看不到俄羅斯與中國(中共)的長遠利益會使他們結成盟友。」<br />
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儘管中俄領導人分別稱兩國「友誼一直在加強」,但ABC新聞引用專家的分析說,實際上中共或俄羅斯自己都不相信這兩個國家會結成軍事聯盟。美國之音報導,包括俄羅斯軍事專家亞歷山大‧格爾茨(Aleksander Goltz)在內的許多分析人士也說,中俄不可能結成正式的軍事同盟。<br />
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軍事分析人士費根豪埃爾說,在俄羅斯與西方交惡、與美國對抗升級之際,中共並不是俄羅斯的盟友,更不會為俄羅斯而戰。不僅如此,俄軍一直把中共看成潛在威脅。這次代號為<a href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/chinese-news-45481126" target="_blank">「東方2018」(Vostok-18)的俄羅斯軍事演習在遠東靠近蒙古和中國的地區拉開序幕</a>,Vostok演習本身最初由前蘇聯建立,以準備與中共發生重大戰爭。<br />
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這次俄羅斯號稱派出超過30萬名軍人、3萬6千輛坦克、80艘艦船和近1,000架飛機參與軍演。俄羅斯軍方自稱規模空前,超過了前蘇聯1981年以來最大規模,屬於史上最大軍演。中方也派出了約3200名士兵參加 。同時中方代表正在俄羅斯的符拉迪沃斯托克(中國稱海參崴)參加「東方經濟論壇」。 海參崴本是中國領土,1999年被中共當時的頭領江澤民拱手送給俄羅斯。<br />
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<a href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/chinese-news-45481126" target="_blank">俄蒙將進行兩國最大聯合軍演 劍指中共?</a><br />
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俄羅斯與蒙古正準備雙方規模最大的聯合軍演。為避免刺激北京,這次軍演將在習近平9月訪俄之後舉行。俄蒙今年軍演規模最大,雙方將各自派出超過一千人的部隊參加。蒙古陸軍人數僅有五千多人,卻派出一千多人參加軍演,顯示這次軍演的重要和不同尋常。<br />
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<a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-4yoz2GI5Sl4/W5kUKX9fdeI/AAAAAAAAkow/_NtHREkOznArrGHRdiyp_oLHLkwXzv9KgCLcBGAs/s1600/Russia%25E3%2580%258C%25E6%259D%25B1%25E6%2596%25B92018%25E3%2580%258D%2B20180908.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="327" data-original-width="761" height="171" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-4yoz2GI5Sl4/W5kUKX9fdeI/AAAAAAAAkow/_NtHREkOznArrGHRdiyp_oLHLkwXzv9KgCLcBGAs/s400/Russia%25E3%2580%258C%25E6%259D%25B1%25E6%2596%25B92018%25E3%2580%258D%2B20180908.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
俄羅斯幾年前開始向蒙古無償提供各種軍事裝備。俄羅斯軍售官員最近也訪問了蒙古,計劃將向蒙古免費提供大量各種裝備, 蒙古將無償從俄羅斯獲得12架蘇-27戰機、S-300防空導彈、T-90A型坦克,以及大批各種裝甲戰車、雷達等裝備,俄羅斯還將繼續為蒙古培訓軍人。美國之音報導,雖然俄蒙聲稱軍演是打擊恐怖主義,但軍事問題學者赫拉姆奇辛說,夾在兩大國之間的蒙古僅有俄羅斯和北京兩個鄰居,與其中一個鄰居舉行大規模軍演,顯然針對的是另一個鄰居,也就是北京。<br />
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有俄羅斯時事評論人士表示,直到上個世紀50年代時,蘇共領導層內部還曾討論過是否把蒙古併入蘇聯版圖,讓蒙古正式成為蘇聯的一個加盟共和國。中共目前在蒙古影響十分巨大,而俄羅斯在經濟領域又無法同北京競爭,因此安全和軍事合作就成為俄羅斯保持在蒙古影響的唯一辦法。<br />
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<a href="https://www.books.com.tw/products/0010593330" target="_blank">俄羅斯再次崛起?:雙頭鷹的亞太政策與戰略思想</a></div>
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觀察俄羅斯自身發展對於亞太區域局勢和世界格局總體影響的全新綜合觀點 ,分析俄羅斯如何以能源政策鞏固中亞勢力、進軍亞洲市場牽動中、美兩國的敏感神經、觸動中美的國家利益。</div>
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俄羅斯對中國的歷史文化有長遠而深刻的體認,尤其與歐美主流中國專家不同的是,俄羅斯思想史上的中國,敏銳而廣泛地從北疆中國向南開展,與教科書上那種隨著歐美傳教士腳步由南向北,從廣州出發,以鴉片戰爭為斷代起點的帝國主義世界史,兩者之間的差別,可以說是天南地北。俄羅斯的傳教士與歐洲的天主教及美國的基督教各有隸屬,俄人對於中國經典研究所投入的精神與挹注的資源,至今已成就了三百年以上的積累,到現在仍然是俄羅斯菁英階層藉以與中國接觸交往的認識基礎。他們關注的課題乃涵蓋了歐美漢學界不熟悉的契丹、西夏、蒙古、滿州等等,再加上地屬俄羅斯的西伯利亞,與濱臨太平洋一直到遠東的海疆,俄羅斯在歷史上便與中國之間有無法切割的地緣與親緣。</div>
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<a href="http://tw.aboluowang.com/2011/0328/199746.html" target="_blank">俄羅斯報告:中共崛起是俄美面臨的共同挑戰</a><br />
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最近在莫斯科散發的一份報告呼籲俄羅斯在同美國互動中更多考慮中國因素,並積極推動俄美中三方對話機制。報告說,中國的崛起是俄美面臨的共同挑戰。報告還建議討論讓美國加入上合組織,並吸引美國投資開發遠東和西伯利亞,以避免中國掌控這一地區。<br />
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<a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-9ik88S3OE7M/W5kU78ngv6I/AAAAAAAAko4/NdS0lW3VTI00OUraCpQn1Tpsg4uWTmuyACLcBGAs/s1600/Russia%25E3%2580%258C2018%25E3%2580%258D%2B20180909.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="595" data-original-width="1029" height="231" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-9ik88S3OE7M/W5kU78ngv6I/AAAAAAAAko4/NdS0lW3VTI00OUraCpQn1Tpsg4uWTmuyACLcBGAs/s400/Russia%25E3%2580%258C2018%25E3%2580%258D%2B20180909.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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俄美關係應更多考慮中國因素<br />
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"瓦爾泰俱樂部"俄方學者最近在莫斯科發表了一份探討俄羅斯同美國關係的研究報告。這份報告使用很多篇幅論述了在俄美關係中應更多考慮中國因素的影響。報告說,俄羅斯的國際影響力將繼續減弱,俄羅斯只有同美國建立類似俄羅斯同中國那樣密切關係,才能保證俄羅斯繼續保持國際大國的地位。<br />
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俄通過同美合作維護自身利益<br />
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這份報告的起草人之一,俄羅斯高等經濟大學國際研究中心副主任蘇斯洛夫說,俄羅斯的國力和經濟規模遠不如中國等國,但俄羅斯可通過和美國合作維護自己的利益。蘇斯洛夫說:「俄羅斯是西方世界之外,唯一準備同美國一起解決全球事務問題的國家。因為美國和中國、美國同印度、美國同巴西的關係都沒有準備好解決一系列國際問題。因此俄羅斯這樣做可保證俄羅斯繼續在國際舞台中發揮影響。」<br />
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擔憂中國走向不明朗<br />
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<<瓦爾泰俱樂部>>的報告說,俄美關係面臨許多共同的問題和挑戰,比如打擊恐怖主義、以及應對大規模殺傷性武器的擴散等等,但中國的崛起也是俄美兩國面臨的共同挑戰之一。報告說,在中國崛起的同時,中國的國防、外交和對外經濟政策未來走向十分不明確,這讓許多國家擔憂。特別是中國最近在南中國海地區的一些強硬舉動顯示,中國未來將採取更多的強勢行動。<br />
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俄怕變成中國『政治小兄弟』<br />
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報告特別擔憂俄羅斯將變成中國的「政治小兄弟」,以及向中國輸送能源和原材料的「附庸國」。報告認為,俄羅斯在核武領域對中國的優勢,以及俄羅斯同中國的友好關係能避免莫斯科和北京爆發衝突,以及發生軍備競賽。<br />
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<a href="http://trad.cn.rfi.fr/%E4%B8%AD%E5%9C%8B/20180806-%E4%BF%84%E7%BE%85%E6%96%AF%E5%A4%A7%E5%A0%B1%E9%95%B7%E6%96%87%E6%89%B9%E8%A9%95%E4%B8%AD%E5%9C%8B%E4%B8%80%E5%B8%B6%E4%B8%80%E8%B7%AF" target="_blank">俄羅斯大報長文批評中國“一帶一路”</a><br />
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<a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-dpjN_-nGH8g/VwkULllTmSI/AAAAAAAAX4c/neoiYXHDBDEV7kcI1QlVmdMt2WLfOqE8Q/s1600/South%2BAsia-Tailand%2B20160406.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="507" data-original-width="776" height="260" src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-dpjN_-nGH8g/VwkULllTmSI/AAAAAAAAX4c/neoiYXHDBDEV7kcI1QlVmdMt2WLfOqE8Q/s400/South%2BAsia-Tailand%2B20160406.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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俄羅斯主要大報“獨立報”長文批評中國“一帶一路”項目說:中國越積極推動“一帶一路”,越多撒錢投資,當地反中國的抗議活動就越多,反中國口號就越響亮。據”美國之音”介紹:“獨立報”是由一家親官方的俄羅斯主流媒體,由著名富豪列姆丘科夫控制。該報文章引述哈薩克社會學家的報告說,2007年當地社會反感中國移民的人只佔18%,2012年時已經上升到了33%,而到2017年時,多達46%的人討厭中國移民。<br />
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文章說:中亞國家不少人認為中國的“一帶一路”是意圖佔領中亞,持這種心態的不僅集中在反中國情緒較為集中的吉爾吉斯斯坦和哈薩克斯坦兩國,在僅僅10年間,這種心態已擴散瀰漫到整個中亞。擴展到從宗教到民族的所有層面,成為中亞社會民意的一部分,更成為非常時髦的民意傾向。反中國情緒更被政治化。中亞權貴階層已把反中國情緒當成工具,在內鬥中積極利用。這種反中國情緒還將被更廣泛利用。未來中亞地區反對執政階層的主要政治力量都會打中國牌指責統治者出賣國家利益。反中國情緒甚至正變成有利可圖的生意和商品,中亞地方政客們已經學會利用這一工具發財致富。在不久的將來,這一“商品”也會被拿到國際上向任何外來的地緣政治買家出售。<br />
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文章還說,中國實施“一帶一路”和在當地經商破壞了中亞的生態環境,同時嚴重滋生腐敗。中國人更願意把裝滿錢的信封交給當地官員來解決所遇到的問題,包括稅務問題。文章引用分析人士觀點認為,中國在中亞擴大影響,正嚴重威脅俄羅斯在當地的利益。但目前還不清楚,中亞地區的反中國情緒與俄羅斯是否有具體聯繫。中國和俄羅斯正在中亞地區激烈爭奪影響力,中國的“一帶一路”與俄羅斯的“歐亞經濟共同體”幾乎無法相容。<br />
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分析<br />
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<ul>
<li>以俄羅斯多次侵略中國歷史看,中國要非常小心;</li>
<li>中國北方大熊會耐心等中國南方戰事,偷襲中國;</li>
</ul>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-91499787722189433652018-09-06T15:59:00.001-07:002018-09-06T15:59:13.818-07:00Camille belle Picture ( SINACH 歌唱 )<a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Camilla_Belle" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Camilla Belle">Camilla Belle</a> most recently appeared in <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.enriqueiglesias.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Enrique Iglesias">Enrique Iglesias</a>' new <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Music_video" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Music video">music video</a>, Heart Attack. She is set to star in a series of films over the next few years. She will star alongside <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.kellanlutz.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Kellan Lutz">Kellan Lutz</a> in <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.loveisall.se/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Love Is All">Love Is All</a> You Need<br />
<br />
Camilla Belle has been lying low for a few years while she works on rebooting her career. After <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.amazon.com/10-000-B-C-Camilla-Belle/dp/B0012Q732O%3FSubscriptionId%3D0G81C5DAZ03ZR9WH9X82%26tag%3Djouoflif02-20%26linkCode%3Dxm2%26camp%3D2025%26creative%3D165953%26creativeASIN%3DB0012Q732O" rel="amazon nofollow" title="10,000 B.C.">10,000 B.C.</a> and <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Push_%28Enrique_Iglesias_song%29" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Push (Enrique Iglesias song)">Push</a>, her career took a backseat to her modeling and fashion deals, but she's been working steadily over the past two years and has several films set for release in 2014.<br />
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-31467762967658863272018-08-09T19:19:00.001-07:002019-01-01T17:11:19.087-08:002018 高房價超級泡沫出現裂痕,中美貿易戰持續,中國消費拉響警報 (2018 China's consumption alarm, China-US trade war continued, high housing price super bubble cracked)<a href="http://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/2461300" target="_blank">2千兆中國房市抗高房價壓縮中國消費力</a><br />
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<a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-p58YqYe7fTM/W2zx1LlPblI/AAAAAAAAkMI/_aIsEtRqpIgS7Q7xxTWo0iVgiz9Ml0WcQCLcBGAs/s1600/China%2Btotal%2BDebt%2Bf03fdc13d418fb1056b986eb0c6660bf.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="376" data-original-width="563" height="266" src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-p58YqYe7fTM/W2zx1LlPblI/AAAAAAAAkMI/_aIsEtRqpIgS7Q7xxTWo0iVgiz9Ml0WcQCLcBGAs/s400/China%2Btotal%2BDebt%2Bf03fdc13d418fb1056b986eb0c6660bf.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
中國房地產市場超過430兆人民幣(約2010兆元新台幣),是中國GDP的5倍,中國當局則是以各樣的政策進行干預調控,防止這個「超級泡沫」爆炸,媒體認為,這個方式可說是全世界絕無僅有的,一旦成功,經濟學將會重新改寫,但失敗的話,房地產的崩潰將直接導致中國泡沫經濟的崩潰。<br />
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根據《看中國》報導,中國房價問題可說是「越調控越爆漲」,源頭出在債務問題,中國政府和企業的債務與槓桿率多年居高不下,處於崩潰邊緣,中國過去以外匯管制控制人民幣貶值,但這次卻失效,又遇到了貿易衝突,偏偏中國龐大的房地產市場需要資金維持,導致在外貿、投資、內需這3條路上,中國只剩下內需的路,提升內需幾乎成為了提升房地產的代名詞,政策因此矛盾重重。<br />
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報導稱,在2008年金融危機時,中國中央政府允許地方政府大量舉債以滿足當地經濟需求,但地方債從此一發不可收拾,衍生了中國地方政府債務危機;2014年,中國地方債突破24兆人民幣,超過德國GDP,地方政府的隱性債務問題更為嚴重,成為惡性循環。<br />
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企業債務也是一大問題,最近幾個月中國出現了密集的債務違約潮,原因是2018年迎來公司債償還高峰期,2018年的債務規模是2016年以前的4.3倍。報導認為,中國2018年的房地產市場是「用時間換空間」,就是盡量拖,而大多數人對此事卻存在著僥倖和麻木心態。<br />
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報導指出,房地產被賦予金融屬性後,房價成了金融遊戲,居民將錢交給銀行和機構,銀行和機構會把錢貸給房地產商,房地產商拿到資金後高價買地,再把房產賣給居民,之後更多資金湧入,房地產商拿到更多貸款,政府以更高的地價拍賣給房產商,房地產商以更高房價賣給居民,成為一個循環。<br />
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<a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-V4AMy-5fsnk/W1hrzcAkgeI/AAAAAAAAkBI/PPHF72Ea0fc4ePC8qyMsGtoYR63r_Eb7gCLcBGAs/s1600/50bebeeba3a308043d42517237ad08bf%255B1%255D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="365" data-original-width="500" height="291" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-V4AMy-5fsnk/W1hrzcAkgeI/AAAAAAAAkBI/PPHF72Ea0fc4ePC8qyMsGtoYR63r_Eb7gCLcBGAs/s400/50bebeeba3a308043d42517237ad08bf%255B1%255D.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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報導認為,經濟規律從現實上來說是有因果的,當進行一項經濟政策或動作後,一定會產生相應的結果,如果沒有,那代表在其他地方發生了對應的損益,或是放棄了某些利益,「,當一連串的政策和動作之後卻沒有出現應有的後果時,那就表明在其他部分被放棄的利益已經越來越多,當積累到臨界點時,便會反噬整個系統」。<br />
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<a href="http://www.epochtimes.com/b5/18/7/14/n10562521.htm" target="_blank">2018 內地消費已經拉響警報</a><br />
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2018年已到7月,內地消費已經拉響警報。5月,全內地社會消費品零售總額增速只有8.5%,不僅遠遠低於預期,而且創下自2003年5月以來的15年最低。社消增速創下15年新低,這意味著整個社會的消費能力正在嚴重萎縮。<br />
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換句話說,房價還在不斷上漲,而中下層已經沒錢也不敢大肆消費了。高房價正在透支社會購買力,先做兩點:<br />
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<a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-fryNZBUsmCg/W2z0U-KdtEI/AAAAAAAAkMY/AF6ZxHmTsCsr7Dc4u0Zo3kBxDe_MheoMACLcBGAs/s1600/China%2Bhouse%2Bprice%2Bindex%2B1548b2827726c841fa44e4eebdd2ece0.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="376" data-original-width="492" height="305" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-fryNZBUsmCg/W2z0U-KdtEI/AAAAAAAAkMY/AF6ZxHmTsCsr7Dc4u0Zo3kBxDe_MheoMACLcBGAs/s400/China%2Bhouse%2Bprice%2Bindex%2B1548b2827726c841fa44e4eebdd2ece0.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
其一,消費體現的是社會購買力。社會消費品零售總額,既包括衣食文娛,也包括汽車家電,但不包括住房。購房一般被認為是投資性支出。<br />
其二,消費、投資、出口是拉動GDP增長的三駕馬車。雖然社消總額與GDP中的消費概念並不等同,但兩者大部分重合。<br />
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社消增速變化趨勢,足以代表消費的變化趨勢。社消增速一路向下,這其中既有結構性因素,也有購買力因素。<br />
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所謂結構性因素,指的是經濟增長進入新常態,居民收入增幅不及以往,加上城鎮化已經完成過半,城鎮化帶來的額外消費增量越來越少,社消總額自然難以保持原有的高增長趨勢。在結構性因素之外,整個社會購買力不足,才是更加關鍵的問題。<br />
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2015年以來的這一輪房價上漲,究其本質,就是以貨幣寬鬆和政策優惠,通過去庫存疊加棚改貨幣化,鼓勵居民舉債購房。其目的就是,以居民加槓桿,緩解地方政府債務和房地產企業債務危機。<br />
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結果顯而易見,房價一路高漲,居民槓桿率(居民部門債務餘額/GDP)隨之一路上揚。居民槓桿率從2008年時的18%,攀升到2018年一季度的50%。短短十年,翻了兩倍。這幾年,新增住房貸款不斷創出新高,幾乎撐起銀行貸款的半壁江山:<br />
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2015年居民新增貸款3.87萬億,占當年全部貸款的33%。<br />
2016年新增居民貸款6.33萬億,占總貸款的50.04%。<br />
<u>2017年居民貸款的增幅雖然有所下滑,但也創下了7.13萬億的新高,占比高達52.7%</u>。<br />
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要知道,在居民貸款裡,高達70%以上都是中長期的房貸。而在短期貸款裡,資金也多數通過消費貸、現金貸等方式違規流入樓市。與此同時,房價不斷上漲,房貸負擔不斷加重,居民加槓桿有增無減,但可支配收入卻如老牛耕田般挪步。一快一慢,收入遠遠被債務拋下。<br />
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<u>2006年,負債收入比還只有18.5%,2018年已經高達77.1%。</u><br />
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一邊是房價高漲、居民大幅加槓桿,一邊是可支配收入增長不力,結果是什麼?必然是消費的緊縮!<br />
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財富效應VS擠出效應<br />
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房價上漲,會產生三種效應:<br />
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一是拉動效應,二是財富效應,三是擠出效應。<br />
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拉動效應好理解,房價上漲,能夠拉動一系列上下游產業鏈,這也是房地產能成為支柱性產業的關鍵所在。<br />
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所謂財富效應,當房價上漲,有房一族的房價市值隨之水漲船高,以貨幣計價的財富也隨之上升。即使不賣房,在這種財富效應之下,也有人會增加消費支出。然而,財富效應,很多時候只是一種貨幣幻覺。因為不賣房就無法兌現,它只是市值上的財富,類似股市裡的浮盈。尤其是隨著限售政策的普及化,新房一般都要被冰凍兩到五年。這期間即便房價大幅上漲,房子的市值也無法及時轉化為直接的貨幣財富。<br />
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擠出效應剛好相反。當房價遠遠超出收入水平,一二線城市的房價收入比普遍高於20時,即便居民能夠擠上房價上漲的順風車,也會因為首付和還貸壓力,而被迫削減消費。尤其是對於那些六個錢包湊首付的購房群體,消費擠壓效應更加明顯。掏空祖孫三代的積蓄,才勉強擠上房價上漲的列車。且不說父母祖輩的養老、醫療負擔重壓在身,即便是歸還房貸,都會壓得喘不過氣來,哪還有富餘的資金進行消費?<br />
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財富效應,會讓人們增加消費;擠出效應,則會削減消費。一增一減,到底誰的力量更強大?<br />
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消費數據已經提供了再清晰不過的證明。<br />
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危險的不只是內需!這一次拉響的不只是消費警報,固定資產投資增速同時創出2017年以來新低。這其中,製造業投資仍舊保持在低位,而基建投資則大幅回落,只有房地產投資依舊保持在高位:<br />
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消費增速創下新低,固定資產投資創下新低,貿易爭端之下的出口形勢同樣不容樂觀。<br />
消費、投資、出口,拉動經濟的三架馬車,均已呈現疲態,這一年的經濟,面臨著前所未有的嚴峻挑戰。<br />
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靠房地產托底,又能托多久?<br />
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國家公布的三大數據,一個比一個觸目驚心:<br />
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1、<u>消費斷崖式暴跌</u><br />
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消費數據這麼大幅下滑,歷史還是非常少見的。我拉了一下數據,2018年5月的消費增速,上一次這麼低的時候,是2003年非典的時候。過去15年,沒有這麼低的增速了。<br />
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2、<u>投資斷崖式暴跌</u><br />
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城鎮固定資產投資同比6.1%,預期7%,前值7%。(若非房地產投資持續高位,數據更慘澹)貿易戰爆發後。在外貿、投資、內需這三駕馬車中,只剩下內需這一條路了,這也就是為什麼新聞上天天高喊內需升級的原因。<br />
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3、<u>社會融資斷崖下跌</u><br />
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前天,中國央行公布的5月金融數據顯示,5月社會融資規模增量7,608億人民幣,預期 13,000億人民幣,前值由 15,600億人民幣修正為 15,605億人民幣,比上年同期減少了3,000億。暴跌3,000億!預期近腰斬。可見,實體經濟的資金面之緊張,到了何種程度。<br />
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融資壓力之下,一場違約潮正大面積襲來,一場關乎千萬人命運的大震盪開始了。不論是輕資產行業、重資產行業、文化類企業,還是製造業企業,通通都無法承受這輪資本大退潮。唯一還在堅挺的,似乎只有房價了。該醒醒了,這幾年不幹別的,只是使勁炒房的惡果慢慢出來了。<br />
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上述數據可以反映居民槓桿和儲蓄情況,中下層確實沒錢了,消費枯竭。房地產作為最大的內需,卻擠占了幾乎全部其他的內需消費空間,這時提升內需幾乎成為了提升房地產的代名詞。有個朋友做電商的。今年感覺特別吃力,無論天貓還是京東,流量都已經到了瓶頸,站外還受到了拼多多的巨大衝擊,期待中的消費升級並沒有出現,反而客單價有向下的趨勢。<br />
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網上越是越是便宜貨賣得越火,比如出現「拼多多」這樣令馬雲都感到害怕的怪物。問了一圈周圍,許多收入20W+的人,普遍房貸壓力大,拚命壓縮消費,生活質量反而下降了。在深圳,千萬資產(負債)多的是,你要是讓他打個車可能都捨不得,省吃儉用供房。嚴重的焦慮感讓許多奮鬥青年都戒掉了夢想。<br />
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房地產還是龐大的聯合韭菜收割機,整個中國貧富越來越懸殊。目前中國的財富以前所未有的速度向前1%人群集中,同時負債也以前所未有的速度向中間夾心層集中,最終形成「頂層強,中間弱,底層大」的結構,用大前研一的總結就是:M型社會。<br />
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你會發現,在內地,消費升級和消費降低同時並存的怪異現象。消費升級代表茅台:茅台雖是奢侈品,大家都知道供不應求。其股價也是越漲越猛。是因為消費茅台的主要是財富向前1%的人群。他們越來越有錢。想買多少就買多少。<br />
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消費降級代表:榨菜。榨菜肉絲麵,股民關燈特別好吃。被房貸重壓的中產同樣也不得不淪落到吃榨菜度日。榨菜的股價是股民和房奴集體推高的。<br />
如果老乾媽上市,估計會比茅台還牛。內地很多高端消費品的供不應求,實際上是貧富差距擴大的結果,而非中產消費升級的結果。這同時也提醒,做前1%人富人的生意和後80%的窮人的生意,要麼往奢侈靠,要麼往廉價靠。<br />
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中間很難賺到錢。因為房地產,中國只有龐大貧窮的底層、財富躍遷的頂層。中產階級?呵呵~很快滅絕。令所有人都擔驚受怕的房地產可能還沒來得及崩盤,實體經濟就已經率先崩盤了。工行董事長在最近演講時表示,2010~2017年的居民儲蓄存款增長與可支配收入之比從25.4%下降至12.7%,降幅達到了一倍;<br />
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而與此同時,居民家庭債務占GDP的比重已升至49%,幾乎占了GDP的一半。這意味著什麼呢?意味著空心化。<br />
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這次中美貿易戰,最後輸的一定是內地?因為房地產的超級泡沫已經造成了嚴重的資源錯配,掏空了產業升級和高科技發展的根基。80後、90後甚至00後本來是內地2025規劃中的主力軍、本應該是我們在貿易談判中最重要的底氣。如果連他們都變成了韭菜,那麼誰還能有資格談論什麼未來呢?現在不但人口空心化,就連城市也一個個淪陷其中。<br />
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今年一季度,深圳規模以上工業企業的虧損率為39.8%,四成的企業處於虧損狀態,這已經不知道該怎麼形容了。這個數據必須對比一下。全國今年一季度末的虧損率為22%(82058家虧損企業/372197家),這個數據當然本身也不好看,然而身為一線城市的深圳,工業企業虧損率居然比全國的平均水平高出一倍。<br />
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此外,工業企業利潤同比去年同期下滑19.9%,而總虧損額同比去年同期爆漲54.3%。這種情況,與我們之前提到的上海和杭州等城市的企業經營情況一模一樣。現在深圳的土鱉製造企業基本上處於整體撲街的邊緣。今時今日,中美貿易戰愈演愈烈,中興莫名躺槍,其本身和上下游的幾十萬工人面臨失業,這些事情,都是深圳今年要面對的麻煩事。<br />
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2016年,任正非炮轟高房價,警告之聲言猶在耳。高土地價格,高房價,已經導致了生產要素成本急劇上升,必然導致中國企業的競爭力下降,這是發自靈魂的吶喊,是中國最優秀的企業家對中國當前企業生存現狀的擔憂,是對中國企業經濟力下降的擔憂。內地過去十年,是房價高速上漲的十年,也是內地經濟競爭力迅速下降的十年。在各個行業,除了壟斷國企的規模越來越大,但是企業競爭力卻越來越弱,所有的企業都不堪重負。內地過去十年中國企業家精神喪失的十年,所有人都開始了投機。高房價逼迫所有人都想做房地產,高房價逼迫所有人都想去炒房,很少企業靜下心來提高企業的競爭力。<br />
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<iframe frameborder="0" height="898" src="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSBz_16W6oyscbi9KUCUOSC7lxLi1bGnh3DYgEwDsfYBcl0T0A-6OUhiApu8qtfMPH6Np0VKizNxwTl/pubhtml?widget=true&headers=false" width="668"></iframe>
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<a href="http://cj.sina.com.cn/articles/view/5243642177/1388ba141019007vm3" target="_blank">人民幣廣義貨幣供應量(M2)超越美國加歐洲總貨幣供應量M2</a><br />
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2018年3月份,根據中國央行的數據,人民幣廣義貨幣供應量(M2)達到了173.99萬億元。按照當月的美元兌人民幣匯率(1:6.288)折算,人民幣廣義貨幣供應量(M2)為27.67萬億美元!同期美國加歐洲總貨幣供應量M2 為13.92萬億美元 + 13.74萬億美元 = 27.66萬億美元,意味中國央行是世界最強超級印鈔機。<br />
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從上中國房地產市場430兆人民幣市值(約74.75兆美元),是中國GDP的6倍、美國GDP的3.86倍及歐盟GDP的5.56倍之「超級泡沫」,這「超級泡沫」(約74.75兆美元)超過中國、美國、歐盟、日本及英國GDP總和(約52.49兆美元),這「超級泡沫」超過中國、美國、歐盟、日本及英國廣義貨幣供應量總和(約69.03兆美元),這「超級泡沫」人類史上最巨大,消費力都將被消滅,問題非常嚴重。<br />
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從消費市場看中國市場是(約3.06兆美元,40% GDP都是房地產建設相關)比起美國消費市場(約13.36兆美元)、歐盟消費市場(約8.46兆美元)、日本消費市場(約3.07兆美元)及英國消費市場(約1.62兆美元)小,更遠小於中國、美國、歐盟、日本加英國消費市場(約26.52兆美元),而中國消費市場吃、交通、通訊、教育、醫療佔超過中國消費 60%,從這數據確定為什麼拚多多成長超快,因為中國市場大多數都被房貸吃掉,而中國消費又大多數被吃、交通、通訊、醫療吃掉,自然中國人民大多數搶低價商品。</div>
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人民幣匯率也出現問題<br />
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中國房地產能賣先賣 ( 保留自住一套房既可 )<br />
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</div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-74905618427008326252018-07-25T20:38:00.000-07:002018-09-12T04:32:18.916-07:00預估2023中國整體債務GDP佔比將逼近500% - 中國金融風暴來臨? ( Estimated 2023 China's overall debt GDP ratio will approach 500% - China's financial turmoil is coming? )<a href="https://www.moneydj.com/KMDJ/News/NewsViewer.aspx?a=d82ca01b-b1db-43e9-82f3-661a23a3e2b1" target="_blank">2018中國整體債務GDP佔比將逼近400%</a><br />
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<a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-V4AMy-5fsnk/W1hrzcAkgeI/AAAAAAAAkBI/PPHF72Ea0fc4ePC8qyMsGtoYR63r_Eb7gCLcBGAs/s1600/50bebeeba3a308043d42517237ad08bf%255B1%255D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="365" data-original-width="500" height="291" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-V4AMy-5fsnk/W1hrzcAkgeI/AAAAAAAAkBI/PPHF72Ea0fc4ePC8qyMsGtoYR63r_Eb7gCLcBGAs/s400/50bebeeba3a308043d42517237ad08bf%255B1%255D.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
中國國務院總理李克強7月23日主持召開國務院常務會議。根據官網發布的新聞稿,這場會議提到,財政、金融政策要協同發力,應對好外部環境不確定性,保持經濟運行在合理區間。<br />
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日經亞洲評論7月25日報導,中國本週一宣布的新經濟措施(增加流動性並向地方政府提供近2,000億美元的基礎設施投資資金)象徵著北京當局的執政優先順序從削減債務轉向應對美中貿易戰。<br />
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中國人民銀行(PBOC)7月23日宣布開展史上最大單次操作規模的5,020億元(相當於739億美元)1年期中期借貸便利(MLF)。某券商經濟學家指出,人行藉由直接干預債市以期達到刺激經濟的效果。<br />
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英國金融時報(FT)知名專欄作家Martin Wolf 7月25日指出,現在是阻止中國債務激增的時候了。Wolf說,做出必要的改變是困難的、特別是在貿易戰剛開打的當下,習近平主席若真的擁有無限權力、那他最該做的就是這件事。Wolf過去曾說過,明斯基(Minsky)金融動盪理論指的就是企業金融,美國1930年代以及日本1990年代主要也都是企業財務狀況惡化所引起。所謂的「明斯基時刻」指的是信用擴張竭盡後資產價格隨之崩盤。<br />
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2004年初至2008年末期間,中國總債務GDP佔比持穩於170-180%之間。2008年爆發金融危機,中國隨後提出可能是和平時期最大規模經濟刺激方案、投資GDP佔比預估高達12.5%。根據國際金融研究所(IIF)的統計,中國總債務GDP佔比從2008年第4季的171%升至2018年第1季的299%。Wolf指出,未來10年內中國總債務GDP佔比若突破400%,屆時連中央政府、人民銀行都可能無法力挽狂瀾。<br />
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<a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-wLEFxRxyssA/UvHmNTPHh8I/AAAAAAAANYE/-k2SRNoMPJo/s1600/China-Credit-Crunch-2%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="248" data-original-width="262" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-wLEFxRxyssA/UvHmNTPHh8I/AAAAAAAANYE/-k2SRNoMPJo/s1600/China-Credit-Crunch-2%5B1%5D.jpg" /></a></div>
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中國國家外匯管理局官網7月24日公布,2018年上半年共查處外匯違規案件1,354件,罰沒款3.45億元人民幣,年增率分別為19.7%、59.5%。外管局說,接下來將嚴厲打擊虛假、欺騙性交易和非法套利等資金「脫實向虛」行為,嚴厲打擊地下錢莊、非法外匯交易平台等違法違規活動,保持健康良性的外匯市場秩序,維護國家經濟金融安全。<br />
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中國外管局曾在2016年12月與公安部開展打擊地下錢莊專項行動,並通過追查錢莊背後的外匯違規行為,破獲多起非法買賣外匯、利用虛假單證虛構外匯交易騙購匯、逃匯等案件。<br />
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中國國家外匯管理局國際收支司司長王春英7月19日在記者會上表示,截至2018年6月末中國外匯儲備餘額為3.1121兆美元、較2017年末下降278億美元,主要受匯率折算、資產價格變動等非交易因素影響。她說,6月25日以來市場波動有所增加,但從每天的個人結售匯以及非銀行部門跨境資金流動等部分渠道的數據看、還沒有達到2015年和2016年資金流出壓力較高的時期。<br />
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英國央行(BOE)上個月透過金融穩定報告指出,中國債務、金融脆弱性依舊處於偏高水位,過去數年來中國的經濟成長主要是依靠擴大舉債來支撐。這份報告指出,過去5年來中國民間非金融債務GDP佔比累計增加40個百分點;其他國家的歷史經驗顯示,快速信貸擴張後通常會爆發金融危機。<br />
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Navellier & Associates投資經理Ivan Martchev去年2月在MarketWatch發表專文指出,若將影子銀行體系的數據納入計算,中國整體債務GDP佔比已逼近400%、遠高於2000年的近100%。他說,經濟增長趨緩的同時信貸仍持續快速竄高符合信貸泡沫破裂的標準定義。<br />
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<a href="http://www.moneydj.com/forum/showtopic-95599.aspx" target="_blank">中國影子銀行崩潰將致全球風險 影響遠超金融危機</a><br />
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相關數據顯示,中國影子銀行規模已達30萬億元人民幣左右,超過2012年GDP的50%。專家稱,過度膨脹的影子銀行帶來的風險日益凸顯。<br />
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<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: right; margin-left: 1em; text-align: right;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-x7dxC3f61O0/UvHiY-jGnUI/AAAAAAAANXk/5yhcaPolkdM/s1600/rising-burden-china%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="313" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-x7dxC3f61O0/UvHiY-jGnUI/AAAAAAAANXk/5yhcaPolkdM/s1600/rising-burden-china%5B1%5D.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="font-size: 12.8px; text-align: center;"><a class="zem_slink" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=39.9166666667,116.383333333&spn=10.0,10.0&q=39.9166666667,116.383333333%20(China)&t=h" rel="geolocation nofollow" title="China">China</a> debt increased more than US, <a class="zem_slink" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=35.6833333333,139.766666667&spn=10.0,10.0&q=35.6833333333,139.766666667%20(Japan)&t=h" rel="geolocation nofollow" title="Japan">Japan</a> from 2008 ~ 2013</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
直到上個月辭職,債信評級公司惠譽( <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.fitchratings.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Fitch Group">Fitch</a> )前駐華高級分析師朱夏蓮在過去八年來,一直警告中國債務泡沫行將崩潰。隨著最近幾週中國工商銀行銷售的「誠至金開1號」信託產品瀕臨違約,朱夏蓮的警告顯示了它特別的份量。<br />
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史無前例的信貸擴張 遠超西方金融危機<br />
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英國《電訊報》1日報導說,出生和成長於美國的朱夏蓮畢業於耶魯大學。她宣告中國已經開啟了一個史無前例的信貸擴張,遠遠超過六年前震撼西方市場的金融危機。在中國,即使是最大的銀行都不喜歡公開資料。雖然在這麼一個環境下,朱夏蓮自從2009年就開始警告中國借貸快速擴張,新增信貸15萬億美元,推動了史無前例的房地產和基礎設施建造熱潮。<br />
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去年惠譽成為三大評級機構當中,14年來第一個下調中國主權債務評級的機構,它主要就是依據朱夏蓮的分析。<br />
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五年前就警告影子銀行問題<br />
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《電訊報》指出,如果說朱夏蓮的多年的警告不同尋常,但還是遠遠低估了她在中國銀行系統研究方面的重要性。朱夏蓮在五年前就解釋了中國影子銀行行業的建立,它今天的貸款等同於中國整個主流金融系統的數量。朱夏蓮已加入受人尊敬的獨立研究公司「自主研究」( Autonomous),擔任亞洲區<br />
研究主管。她對《電訊報》表示,她仍然堅定的認為,中國銀行的崩潰不是機會很小,而是必然的。<br />
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她說:「銀行業在五年內已經貸出14萬億到15萬億美元。中國不發生大規模問題是不可能的。」<br />
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<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: right; margin-left: 1em; text-align: right;"><tbody>
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="font-size: 12.8px; text-align: center;">China local govt Deficits issue became very serious</td></tr>
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在這些問題的背後,<b>是一大堆莫名其妙的「信託」、「理財產品」和外匯借貸,它們允許債務擴張,即使當局試圖箝制大銀行的主流借貸</b>。隨著最近幾週中國工商銀行試圖撇清對其銷售的「誠至金開1號」信託產品的違約責任,朱夏蓮的警告具有別的份量。這個產品瀕臨違約促使外界擔憂這可能成為中國的「貝爾斯登時刻」。這家具有85年歷史的華爾街投資銀行貝爾斯登( <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.bear.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Bear Stearns">Bear Stearns</a> )在2008年的美國次級按揭風暴中嚴重虧損,瀕臨破產而被收購。<br />
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官方銀行系統和影子銀行是孿生兄弟<br />
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在這次事件中,中國工商銀行信託產品得以避免違約,但是朱夏蓮仍然清楚表示,官方銀行系統和孿生兄弟影子銀行之間的聯繫仍然是一個威脅。<br />
「在許多這樣的影子產品當中,銀行常常在幕後捲入。」朱夏蓮說。「這是為甚麼我總是駁斥中國經濟學家和學者們常常推動的一個說法,即影子銀行領域和正式銀行領域是分開的,因此如果影子銀行分崩離析,也沒有關係。」「我就是不同意這個說法,因為在正式銀行領域和影子銀行領域之間有這麼多的內部聯繫。中國工商銀行的這個產品就是一個好的例子。」<br />
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泡沫破裂之後的經濟是最大擔憂<br />
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朱夏蓮表示,絕對有理由擔憂,<b>中國已經形成一個真正的房地產泡沫。這個泡沫的破裂可能留下一個非常不同的中國</b>。而危機後的經濟是朱夏蓮最大的擔憂。朱夏蓮擔憂中國可能難以適應一個增長放緩的步伐。「沒有一個發達市場和一個非常強大的社會安全網絡。如果我們陷入一個金融系統有嚴重問題的情況,較大的可能是,在一個相當長的時間內,GDP增長比現在放緩許多。」<br />
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中國銀行可能觸發全球衰退<br />
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《電訊報》報導說,除了造成中國經濟衰退,影子銀行不斷增長的問題還可能蔓延到國際,造成一個更廣泛的金融危機。朱夏蓮說快速的外匯借貸擴張意味著中國金融系統的一個危機正在變成國際銀行一個更大的風險。她說:「<b>與其他新興市場相比,中國金融局勢迄今穩定的一個原因是,它對外國資金的依賴非常非常少。」 「隨著這個情況改變,外國投資者態度的波動對中國金融業的影響也隨之增加</b>。」<br />
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<a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-wxmUxnywTnY/W1hp7X8yQiI/AAAAAAAAkA8/UoSy5YKGVfstwsMIVNAWDVM8pU5l-YCxACLcBGAs/s1600/SHASHR%2B0612%2B036.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="599" data-original-width="1197" height="320" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-wxmUxnywTnY/W1hp7X8yQiI/AAAAAAAAkA8/UoSy5YKGVfstwsMIVNAWDVM8pU5l-YCxACLcBGAs/s640/SHASHR%2B0612%2B036.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>
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她表示,在西方金融危機之後,影子銀行幫助驅動中國信貸擴張。但是,越來越大的擔憂是,<b>中國人的外國借款增長</b>,特別是美元借款,在製造一個比2008年金融危機更大的風險積累。由國際清算銀行十月份發佈的數字顯示,<b>截至2013年3月,中國的外匯貸款以及中國公司的跨境借款,已經達到8,800億美元</b>,比2009年上升2,700億美元。<br />
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<b>分析師說,這個數字現在可能超過1萬億美元,並將繼續增長。隨著美元升值,中國金融系統出現危險弱點的可能性也隨之增加</b>。「無疑,外匯借款在增加,並且在去年下半年開始快速增長,並且它只會繼續。目前來說,跟金融系統龐大的規模相比它只是一小部份,但是來自海外的資金數量在不斷增加。」「你看看國際清算銀行和香港銀行涉入中國業務的數量……你將看到一些外國機構涉入中國業務的規模很大。」瑞銀高級獨立經濟學家喬治•麥格納斯(George Magnus)說,<b>中國銀行系統類似於80年代金融崩潰之前的日本</b>。<br />
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第一張骨牌將倒 中國金融系統到全面崩潰邊緣<br />
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: right; margin-left: 1em; text-align: right;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-m8zrnDbzRaA/UvHlr8tAeKI/AAAAAAAANX8/JoIb1F97TiA/s1600/China%2520Credit%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="336" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-m8zrnDbzRaA/UvHlr8tAeKI/AAAAAAAANX8/JoIb1F97TiA/s1600/China%2520Credit%5B1%5D.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="font-size: 12.8px; text-align: center;">China total debt is over 200% of <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gross_domestic_product" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Gross domestic product">GDP</a>?</td></tr>
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<b>中國金融危機已實質性爆發,中共央行不斷釋放流動性也難以抑制錢荒的狀態,實際上這是中共以濫發貨幣營造的金融騙局</b>。中國的金融問題是系統性的,某個方面的風險爆發都會成為第一張多米諾骨牌,一旦倒下將導致全面的崩潰。<br />
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中共央行猛放水也枉然<br />
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在2013年APEC工商領導人中國論壇上,中共國務院參事夏斌表示,當前的中國已經存在事實上的金融危機現象。有些中共地方政府早就資不抵債,是增加了貸款在維持著。所以現在只是危機沒有引爆,壞賬沒有暴露,是在靠多發貨幣在掩蓋。<br />
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<b>中國現有的M2(廣義貨幣)供應量在2013年末已超過110萬億元,看似如此多的貨幣卻在大陸金融系統「錢荒」對比下</b>,顯示出尷尬的處境,一邊是用天量來形容的貨幣投放,一邊銀行業高喊著的「錢荒」,拆借利率飆升不斷向各領域傳導,成為現下大陸金融系統真實的寫照。<br />
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地方政府債台高築仍發債 利率創新高<br />
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與此同時,部份城市已是債台高築。南京銀行的研究報告顯示,西寧與蘭州兩地,去年城投債餘額規模與財政收入比已超過300%,伊春、南寧、湖州、南京四市上述比例均超過100%,鎮江、合肥也超過90%。就總量數據來看,江蘇城投類國有企業未到期債券餘額超過4000億元,遠高於其他省份,其中321億元將於2014年內到期。<br />
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地方政府主要還款來源之一是土地出讓經營收益,通俗講,即靠賣地還錢。平台類企業從銀行獲取的貸款,也往往以土地作為擔保抵押。但依靠土地財政的地方政府,賣地還錢的模式已經難以為繼,因此債務償還存在變數。<b>2013年的最後一天,中共發改委發出消息稱允許地方融資平台以舉借新債的方式償還舊債</b>,這為地方政府又開了一個後門,使地方政府看到了希望,並使用高利率繼續發債。<br />
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分析<br />
<ul>
<li>2015 對海外發行之債卷金額創新高,意味中國金融危機來臨前兆。撒 RMB,用人民幣印鈔助非洲及做一帶一路再由國企接案,用國企接案加撒 RMB都會進GDP,印人民幣創造GDP,結果是China 通膨 ,根據中國央行的數據,人民幣廣義貨幣供應量(M2)達到了173.99萬億元。按照當月的美元兌人民幣匯率(1:6.288)折算,人民幣廣義貨幣供應量(M2)為27.67萬億美元!同期美國加歐洲總貨幣供應量M2 為13.92萬億美元 + 13.74萬億美元 = 27.66萬億美元,意味中國央行是世界最強超級印鈔機。</li>
<li>撒 RMB,用人民幣印鈔助非洲及做一帶一路再由國企接案,外國收到RMB馬上換美元(這是壓力),2018 加上【國企併私企】恐懼及中美貿易戰外資撤資影響,所以人民幣壓力超級大。</li>
<li>當中國金融風暴突然發生時,全球供應鏈會瞬間出現大幅庫存無法消化,所有原物料價格頓時崩盤,許多全球供應鏈大廠極可能面臨危機,全球經濟成長必然衰退;</li>
<li>當中國金融風暴突然發生時,上證A股最後防線 2800 破了,地方債倒避風暴跟著來時,香港經濟、股市將遭到最大傷害,香港親中政權是否也倒台?</li>
<li>台灣經濟、股市也將遭到大幅傷害,<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2013/12/lcdled.html" target="_blank">許多投資中國債卷也面臨考驗</a>,大幅虧損是難免;</li>
<li>一帶一路將更出現窘境,問題是2022 ~ 2025 若中國金融風暴突然發生後,全球資源出現大幅庫存無法消化的窘境,<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2009/03/blog-post_03.html" target="_blank">嚴重程度可能超過雷曼倒閉時</a>;</li>
<li>觀察指標是上海上證A股、<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2008/02/us-stock-and-world-wide-etf.html" target="_blank">FXI</a>、中國到期債償還能力、<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2013/07/2015.html" target="_blank">大陸房市</a>、中國各銀行及影子金融機構的未償還債務,也可以含BDI指數來觀察,該避開大幅依賴大陸市場、庫存很高、借貸比率很重的公司,也要注意大陸及香港房地主力觀察包括香港李嘉誠的動作;若上海上證A股量支撐在第三季末之前都能守住,表示中國到期債轉為長債成功,風險移至明年,那今年全球仍是有許多機會,只是<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2014/01/qe2014-qe-continue-to-go-to-end-2014.html" target="_blank">新興市場</a>與美股不同。</li>
<li>有<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2013/07/2015.html" target="_blank">投資大陸</a>、<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2013/07/blog-post_20.html" target="_blank">台灣房地產</a>,僅能集中於捷運地鐵、人潮流量區域,其他應該避開。</li>
<li>這次中國央行QE印鈔4兆人民幣,預估中國央行至 2025 還會兩次 QE,將來共印鈔約6~8兆人民幣。</li>
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<li class="zemanta-article-ul-li-image zemanta-article-ul-li" style="background: none; display: block; float: left; font-size: 11px; list-style: none; margin: 2px 10px 10px 2px; padding: 0; text-align: left; vertical-align: top; width: 84px;"><a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.com/2016/08/android-ios-windows-pc-smartphone.html" rel="nofollow" style="border-radius: 2px; box-shadow: 0px 0px 4px; display: block; padding: 2px; text-decoration: none;" target="_blank"><img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-5cgFG8ERyUE/Ug8FmG_BPxI/AAAAAAAAKuw/bS49MwPasEQ/s1600/34397a95890cece3af3e2270b40929fb%5B1%5D.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: block; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; padding: 0px; width: 80px;" /></a><a href="http://knowledge-teaching.blogspot.com/2018/05/7128-secretion-of-growth-hormone-dips.html?view=sidebar" rel="nofollow" style="background-image: none; display: block; height: 83px; line-height: 12pt; overflow: hidden; padding: 5px 2px 0 2px; text-decoration: none;" target="_blank">【新腦內革命:春山茂雄71歲,擁有28歲青春的不老奇蹟】研讀心得: 肥胖主因是生長荷爾蒙的分泌量驟降 ( The secretion of growth hormone dips is the main cause of aging and obesity - Brain Revolution )</a></li>
<li class="zemanta-article-ul-li-image zemanta-article-ul-li" style="background: none; display: block; float: left; font-size: 11px; list-style: none; margin: 2px 10px 10px 2px; padding: 0; text-align: left; vertical-align: top; width: 84px;"><a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.com/2013/01/2013-2013-it-technology-trend-in-big.html" rel="nofollow" style="border-radius: 2px; box-shadow: 0px 0px 4px; display: block; padding: 2px; text-decoration: none;" target="_blank"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-gTAvwzdZll0/WeSW8xP2ygI/AAAAAAAAexk/qKRTZRns-YIAu-RxOuw5c0k01pHv4U8ZwCLcBGAs/s1600/88f4fc8b1f136422499dce28245e6c7f%255B1%255D.jpg" style="border: 0; display: block; margin: 0; max-width: 100%; padding: 0; width: 80px;" /></a><a href="http://knowledge-teaching.blogspot.com/2018/05/57.html" rel="nofollow" style="background-image: none; display: block; height: 83px; line-height: 12pt; overflow: hidden; padding: 5px 2px 0 2px; text-decoration: none;" target="_blank">【驚人的血管彈力操】及【血管老化,當然會中風:5種食物,7招保健操,血管變年輕】 - 讀書心得</a></li>
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<li class="zemanta-article-ul-li-image zemanta-article-ul-li" style="background: none; display: block; float: left; font-size: 11px; list-style: none; margin: 2px 10px 10px 2px; padding: 0; text-align: left; vertical-align: top; width: 84px;"><a href="http://knowledge-teaching.blogspot.com/2012/08/mp4-what-is-mp4-streaming-and-its.html" rel="nofollow" style="border-radius: 2px; box-shadow: 0px 0px 4px; display: block; padding: 2px; text-decoration: none;" target="_blank"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-wLRzWhoCkzs/WeSWEDALlyI/AAAAAAAAexY/GFXDxmkjPlQ19VrYddqB-ZC26UhUvOPcwCLcBGAs/s1600/e8f3e2f00b5d78194d2cd907fa93e809%255B1%255D.jpg" style="border: 0; display: block; margin: 0; max-width: 100%; padding: 0; width: 80px;" /></a><a href="http://knowledge-teaching.blogspot.com/2012/08/mp4-what-is-mp4-streaming-and-its.html" rel="nofollow" style="background-image: none; display: block; height: 83px; line-height: 12pt; overflow: hidden; padding: 5px 2px 0 2px; text-decoration: none;" target="_blank">什麼是 MP4 串流及資料量? ( what is the MP4 streaming and its streaming rate?</a></li>
<li class="zemanta-article-ul-li-image zemanta-article-ul-li" style="background: none; display: block; float: left; font-size: 11px; list-style: none; margin: 2px 10px 10px 2px; padding: 0; text-align: left; vertical-align: top; width: 84px;"><a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.com/2013/08/nexus-7chromecastmoto-xgoogle-fiber.html" rel="nofollow" style="border-radius: 2px; box-shadow: 0px 0px 4px; display: block; padding: 2px; text-decoration: none;" target="_blank"><img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-C9GVF1O6Jdk/Ug7BJpaVL9I/AAAAAAAAKtM/ApVvSbY9Iow/s1600/elizabeth-banks-and-stella-mccartney-spring-2012-print-dress-gallery%5B1%5D.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: block; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; padding: 0px; width: 80px;" /></a><a href="http://knowledge-teaching.blogspot.com/2018/05/fruits-with-fermented-bean-curd.html" rel="nofollow" style="background-image: none; display: block; height: 83px; line-height: 12pt; overflow: hidden; padding: 5px 2px 0 2px; text-decoration: none;" target="_blank">豆腐乳結合酵素及益生菌,營養減肥又好吃 ( Fruits with fermented bean curd, nutritious and delicious )</a></li>
</ul>
</div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-38046381601931296282018-07-14T08:44:00.002-07:002018-07-25T05:28:29.296-07:00PC 市場5年後重新成長! 台灣產業應加速提升! ( PC market growth again, What do Taiwan Industrial need to do? )<b><a href="http://3c.ltn.com.tw/news/34043" target="_blank">PC 市場暌違 6 年終成長!Acer 出貨逆轉 ASUS</a></b><br />
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據調研機構 Gartner 新發表的報告,今年第二季的全球個人電腦(PC)市場暌違 6 年、首度迎來季度年成長,幅度並來到 1.4%,包括美國、亞太等主要市場亦有成長表現。不過 Gartner 仍指出,成長的主因是受到商用市場成長所致、才抵銷了一般消費市場的衰退,暗示 PC 市場的狀況仍算不上回溫。<br />
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Gartner 並預估,PC 在商業市場的興盛,其實與企業升級並採購 Windows 10 裝置有關。但此動能預計會在兩年內因各企業的 Windows 10 裝置部署完畢而衰減。<br />
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至於各別廠商的表現,則以聯想(Lenovo)的 1,360 萬出貨最佳,第二至第五,則依序為惠普(HP)、戴爾(Dell)、蘋果(Apple),以及 Acer 宏碁。若以市佔率來看,前述的 5 大 PC 廠商,出貨市佔則依序是 21.9%、21.9%、16.8%、7.1%、6.4%。其中,聯想與惠普的出貨市佔之所以相同,是因前者僅以 1,360 萬出貨,微幅領先惠普的 1,358 萬台。<br />
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特別的是,同樣據 Gartner 發表的報告,2017 年第二季時,ASUS 華碩仍以 403.6 萬出貨,領先排名第六的 Acer 宏碁,但一年後宏碁除追過華碩,華碩亦沒有出現在 Gartner 發佈的排名上、被併入「Others」,但推測應仍維持第六大廠的位置。Gartner 並稱,所有排名前五的 PC 廠商,皆在 2018 年第二季實現出貨成長。<br />
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<b><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2017/04/11/pc-market-first-growth-since-2013-idc.html" target="_blank">The PC market is finally picking up again, and HP is the big winner</a></b><br />
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The PC market isn't bleeding out on a gurney after all. IDC said on Tuesday that global shipments of PCs increased for the first time on an annualized basis since the first quarter of 2012. It noted the PC shipments increased 0.6 percent year over year during the first quarter of 2017.<br />
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The research firm admitted the bump is "arguably flat" but it actually came as a bit of a surprise. In fact, earlier models suggested that the PC market was going to continue its downward spiral with a decline of 1.8 percent during the quarter.<br />
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"Tight supplies of key components such as NAND and DRAM are affecting inventory dynamics and led a number of vendors to boost shipments to lock in supply ahead of further cost increases," IDC explained. "In addition, the market continued along a path of stabilization that began in the latter half of last year, especially as more commercial projects moved out of pilot mode and began shipments in earnest."<br />
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HP came out on top during the quarter, grabbing the market share crown for the first time since Q1<br />
2013 with 13.1 million shipments. Lenovo, Dell, Apple and Acer filled out the top five vendors by<br />
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shipments during the quarter, with Dell noting 6.2 percent growth and Apple seeing 4.1 percent growth during the quarter.<br />
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IDC said the notebook market declined in the United States and was weak in Asia Pacific (outside of Japan where an emerging PC refreshment cycle was noticed). The company said notebook shipments helped stabilize the PC market in EMEA.<br />
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The PC market isn't as lively as it once was, though.<br />
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"The traditional PC market has been through a tough phase, with competition from tablets and smartphones as well as lengthening lifecycles pushing PC shipments down roughly 30% from a peak in 2011," said Jay Chou, research manager, IDC PCD Tracker.<br />
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<b><a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/phablets-smartphones-popularity-2019-2017-12" target="_blank">phablet will domanate the total smartphone market from 2019 to 2027</a></b><br />
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This graphic shows a worldwide forecast for the market share of "phablets" in 2017, 2018, 2020 and 2022. The source estimates that smartphones with screens larger than 5 inches would take up more than half of the smartphone market in 2018, and nearly three quarters of the market in five years.<br />
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Big-screen smartphones known as phablets (short for phone-tablets) are expected to outsell regular-sized smartphones by 2019, research firm IDC said Wednesday. Shipments of phablets will "far outpace" the total smartphone market over the next five years, IDC said in a news release. Phablets have screen sizes of 5.5 inches to 7 inches.<br />
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Phablet shipments are seen climbing from 611 million units in 2017 to 1 billion units in 2021, representing a compound annual growth rate of 18.1%. During the same period, normal smartphones, those with displays under 5.5 inches, will decline 7.4%, IDC said.<br />
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IDC forecasts the total smartphone market will grow at a compound annual rate of 3% over the five-year period. Popular phablets today include Samsung's Galaxy Note 8, which has 6.3-inch display, and Apple's (AAPL) iPhone X, which has a 5.8-inch display.<br />
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Apple reportedly is planning an all-phablet lineup for fall 2018. It is working on new iPhone models with display sizes of 5.8, 6.1 and 6.5 inches, according to KGI Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo.<br />
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<b>從 PC、Smartphone 使用者習慣看 ( <a href="http://reset.me/story/overstimulation-taming-a-modern-problem-that-leads-to-anxiety/" target="_blank">from this web </a>)</b><br />
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使用者還是需要 PC 做事、Game及Internet,Smartphone 主要是 Message、電話、SMS、Game及Internet,PC 需要增加其他應用例如 Home IOT server、other management,才能搶部分使用者增加 PC 使用時間。<br />
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智慧型手機平台主要贏家 Android,次要贏家 iOS 主控手機市場,將持續影響使用者之使用習慣,這趨勢使得 PC 市場持續衰退或緩慢成長,PC時代完全結束了嗎?應該沒有,若PC 增加其他應用例如 Home IOT server、other management、AI personal service for Smartphone,PC 就不能沒有.<br />
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而 Windows 把持 PC 市場使用者習慣也將持續減少,所以 Microsoft 策略應該有誤,Microsoft 策略應該是將PC 市場轉成PC 結合Phablet市場或PC 結合個人AI server市場,才能維持Windows 使用者習慣之人數,否則,還是有危機,因為使用者習慣改變了。Microsoft 平板都太厚太重,以致很難讓使用者習慣用Microsoft 平板。<br />
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分析<br />
<ul>
<li>台灣整個產業結構與 PC及NB 關係很大,整個上市公司營業額電子業占68.9%,台灣PC及NB 需加速 ARM based PC、Tablet型NB、Phablet 型NB研發,同時大幅 cost-down,才能應付這轉變;NB、Phablet 型NB必須降價至 9 inch tablet 的 1.2倍及1.5倍,才不至於被 Phablet 占有所有市場。</li>
<li>再來與Mcriosoft 合作,將PC 市場轉成PC 結合Phablet市場或PC 結合個人AI server市場,才能維持Windows 使用者習慣之人數,否則,還是有危機。</li>
</ul>
</div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-57730227499548867352018-04-18T15:44:00.002-07:002018-07-14T08:43:27.649-07:00Amazon 啟動實虛整合, AI 及IOT 整合, 國際商店及創新服務及運送整合,衝擊就是就業率及小商店 ( Amazon intiated the shopping , e-commence, IOT, AI, auto-delivery, innovative service integration )<a href="http://trendevery.blogspot.tw/2017/12/amazon-go-amazon-go-and-services.html" target="_blank">Amazon Go Integrated the shop, IOT and AI integration.</a><br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-nad8Ky98hRw/WKo-jvpruSI/AAAAAAAAcLQ/oI2GZtzs1xQNU7NIY8I3fkPc7F_5C6JkgCLcB/s1600/amazon-go-storefront-2016-rtsuu23%255B1%255D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="283" src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-nad8Ky98hRw/WKo-jvpruSI/AAAAAAAAcLQ/oI2GZtzs1xQNU7NIY8I3fkPc7F_5C6JkgCLcB/s400/amazon-go-storefront-2016-rtsuu23%255B1%255D.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
亞馬遜(Amazon)對實體通路攻城掠地,讓通路界人心惶惶,2016 年 12 月宣布 2017 年將於西雅圖開張無人實體便利商店 <b><a class="zem_slink" href="http://amazon.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Amazon">Amazon</a> Go,則成了實體通路心理上的轉捩點</b>,所有先前還對新科技有所抵抗的實體通路,聽到 Amazon Go 的消息後,都不得不積極面對。這股趨勢顯現在 2017 年 1 月美國國家通路聯盟(National Retail Federation)2017 年大展(BIG Show 2017)上,各種實體店面的物聯網、虛擬實境等技術大行其道。<br />
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通路物聯網技術公司 Everseen 執行長艾倫‧歐赫里希(Alan O’Herlihy)表示,Amazon Go 雖然只是單點測試的概念商店,但是對實體通路業者來說,卻有如當頭棒喝,紛紛感到「糟了,非得做什麼不可」。<br />
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事實上,早在此之前,實體通路就已經面臨相當大的壓力,傳統實體通路來店人潮已經連續 4 年萎縮,而美國經濟可是處於復甦期,實體通路龍頭梅西百貨(Macy’s)與勞氏(Lowe’s)業績不振宣布裁員數千人;相對地,亞馬遜營收卻大幅增長,還要增僱 10 萬員工。據萬事達卡(MasterCard)通路趨勢報告 SpendingPulse,2016 年底聖誕購物季,美國通路總營收增長 4%,但增長主要來自線上通路,線上營收增加了 19%。<br />
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傳統通路先前就已經感受到亞馬遜的強大壓迫,Amazon Go 的推出可說只是壓垮駱駝的最後一根稻草,但這根稻草造成通路心態絕大的改變。<br />
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通路攝影追蹤技術公司明日通路(RetailNext)行銷長瑞‧哈特仁(Ray Hartjen)證言 Amazon Go 造成的變化,表示 <b>Amazon Go 讓許多通路業者頓時明白,物聯網科技通路時代確實已經來臨,不再只是紙上談兵</b>。先前通路受到亞馬遜壓力時,認為只要也建個網站,弄個線上商店就行了,現在它們覺悟到:真正需要科技化改變的,是它們的店面。在這樣的情緒下,未來通路引進新科技到實體店面的速度將大為增加。<br />
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相關科技廠商磨刀霍霍,積極搶食這股龐大商機,美國國家通路聯盟 2017 年大展上,通路科技百花齊放,Autonomous 展示遠端通訊機器人,可代替員工巡視店面,員工只要坐在辦公室,就能一次監控多數機器人,在店內以更高的密度提供顧客所需的服務,包括用遠端操控提供資訊,以及回答問題等,這樣的技術可望減少人事成本、減輕人員勞動程度,卻能提供更好的服務。<br />
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IT 大廠也不會放過這樣的潮流,Google 發表擴增實境(AR)手機 App,讓消費者可以在虛擬模特兒上試穿衣服,或是在家中模擬顯示想買的家具放在家中的樣子,類似台廠宅妝(iStaging)所提供的服務;英特爾(Intel)則發表藍牙、影像及 <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wi-Fi" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Wi-Fi">Wi-Fi</a> 感測器,讓店主能在店內追蹤消費者的行為,更了解消費者的購物習慣,目前英特爾的此項感測器已經安裝於 100 家實體店面,合作對象包括 Levi’s 與 <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_Pink" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Thomas Pink">Thomas Pink</a> 等。<br />
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英特爾物聯網通路部門表示,看到許多通路開始動起來,且急著行動,<b>尤其 Amazon Go 推出後,通路業者心中的急迫性更是大增。英特爾已經看準了這個商機,打算投入 1 億美元開發物聯網通路平台「反應通路平台」(Responsive Retail Platform,RRP),串聯店內所有物聯網軟硬體</b>。<br />
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Amazon Go 是否能大展鴻圖,或是是否很快展店到全球,還在未定之天,不過,可以肯定的是,在 Amazon Go 的刺激下,實體通路與物聯網科技廠商積極攜手合作,全球的實體通路店面,很快就會大有不同。<br />
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<a href="https://www.blogger.com/">Amazon plans to open as many as six more Amazon Go stores after merging of world food inc., in 2018</a>, this action seems more active to move this technology to next stage, so the impact of shop store will be huge and jobless rate will increase due to this progress.<br />
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<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/NrmMk1Myrxc" width="640"></iframe><br />
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From Google Trends analysis, the Amazon go movement will be a big trend cannot stop.<br />
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<script src="https://ssl.gstatic.com/trends_nrtr/1386_RC02/embed_loader.js" type="text/javascript"></script> <script type="text/javascript"> trends.embed.renderExploreWidget("TIMESERIES", {"comparisonItem":[{"keyword":"Amazon go","geo":"","time":"today 12-m"},{"keyword":"Chorme","geo":"","time":"today 12-m"},{"keyword":"Prime Air","geo":"","time":"today 12-m"},{"keyword":"wearable","geo":"","time":"today 12-m"}],"category":0,"property":""}, {"exploreQuery":"q=Amazon%20go,Chorme,Prime%20Air,wearable&date=today 12-m,today 12-m,today 12-m,today 12-m","guestPath":"https://trends.google.com:443/trends/embed/"}); </script>
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<a href="https://www.amazon.com/Amazon-Prime-Air/b?ie=UTF8&node=8037720011" target="_blank">Amazon Prime Air integrated the AI and auto-delivery.</a><br />
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Amazon 近日正式開始在英國展開無人機送貨服務(Prime Air),目前已經有 2 位消費者進行了體驗,他們只需要在家裡下單,無人機就會自動從倉庫取貨,並且在 30 分鐘內將貨物送到顧客家門口。<br />
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Amazon 率先在英國測試無人機快遞服務,而不是美國,在一定程度上是受監管制度的影響。英國監管機構授予了 Amazon 幾項重要權限,允許其在農村和郊區操作無人機。不僅如此,由於無人機可以感知和避開障礙,英國還允許一個控制員同時操作由多個高度自動化無人機組成的航班。<br />
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目前,Amazon 無人機只向位於該公司英國倉庫附近的客戶提供快遞服務。人們需要在自家位置的草坪上放置一個小型標誌,無人機就會準確地找出它們可以安全著陸的地點。此外,今後亞馬遜無人機送貨的客戶範圍將逐漸擴大,不過在短期內這一數字也只有數百人而已。<br />
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值得一提的是,此次亞馬遜用於測試的無人機看起來與去年該公司展示的不大相同。在去年的影片中,亞馬遜的無人機有旋轉的螺旋槳和固定的翅膀,並且體積相當大。而這次試飛的無人機看起來卻小得多,它沒有固定翼,這意味著這次的可能無法進行遠距離飛行。<br />
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據 Amazon 透露,第一次正式的無人機送貨是在 12 月 7 日,第一批購買了 Prime Air 送貨服務的消費者下單了一個 <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B00CX5P8FC/ref=topnav_storetab_aftv" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Amazon Fire TV">Amazon Fire TV</a> 機上盒和一包爆米花。無人機在貨運中心裝上貨後在履帶上前進,隨後飛向天空。整個飛行、降落過程高度自動化,全由無F<br />
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From Amazon Prime Air technology, it will integrate Drone, Auto-delivery, Auto-drive and AI technology inside to move the shopping service to new innovative service, many countries will need this service, this impact to a lot of real shops store, so the gov. will need to have a new law to minimize the impact on jobless rate and shops store business, how to do this relative to law improvement is a key.<br />
<iframe allow="autoplay; encrypted-media" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="480" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/Le46ERPMlWU" width="640"></iframe>
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<a href="http://www.quamnet.com/newscontent.action?listSectionCode=NEW_BUW&articleId=5684084" target="_blank">Amazon shopping apps integrated the international shopping and speed-delivery.</a><br />
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美國商業資訊)--(<a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ:AMZN" rel="googlefinance nofollow" title="NASDAQ: AMZN">NASDAQ:AMZN</a>) – 亞馬遜(Amazon) 於其購物應用程式 (Amazon Shopping <br />
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<a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-xCDtVoXAJ1Q/WtfKNHS0FMI/AAAAAAAAh_8/r1Fki4LTFvkwE1W3h3dUBJS6mcId5xgSQCLcBGAs/s1600/a4cff8c92457b541eba1dbca83413a60%255B1%255D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="248" data-original-width="563" height="175" src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-xCDtVoXAJ1Q/WtfKNHS0FMI/AAAAAAAAh_8/r1Fki4LTFvkwE1W3h3dUBJS6mcId5xgSQCLcBGAs/s400/a4cff8c92457b541eba1dbca83413a60%255B1%255D.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
App) 推出「國際購物」服務,讓香港顧客可以瀏覽和購買逾4,500萬件合資格商品,並從美國寄送至他們所在的國家和地區。此服務適用於iOS和Android流動裝置的瀏覽器和亞馬遜購物應用程式,提供包括英文、西班牙文、簡體中文、巴西葡萄牙文和德文等5種語言支持。顧客可以使用包括港幣在內25種貨幣購物,並輕易以母語在亞馬遜盡享至佳的服務,當中包括搜尋、商品詳情、客戶服務等方面的支持。顧客亦可以根據他們心儀的包裹到達時間,選擇不同的寄送方式和運送速度,有關詳情可瀏覽www.amazon.com/international-shopping-help。<br />
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亞馬遜出口及拓展部副總裁Samir Kumar表示:「我們致力創新,以客為先。藉著今天推出的新服務,我們能夠為居住在美國以外的顧客帶來更好及便利的流動購物體驗。顧客一直希望能夠以更簡易的方式找尋和購買能夠寄送至他們所在地的商品。『國際購物』服務正好回應了顧客的訴求,讓他們輕易瀏覽、購買來自亞馬遜美國的逾4,500萬件商品,並寄送至全球100多個國家和地區。」<br />
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首先,顧客只需從Apple App Store或Google Play Store下載免費的亞馬遜購物應用程式,應用程式將根據顧客的所在地自動登入「國際購物」服務頁面。已下載亞馬遜購物應用程式的顧客只需進入該應用程式內的設定,選擇「國家和語言」,並在國家選項中選擇「國際購物」。顧客隨即可以設定自己偏好的語言和貨幣以享受個人化的購物體驗,他們亦可以隨時更改所在地,從而自動查看可以寄送至指定送貨地點的商品。香港顧客凡購買鞋履和服裝逾100美元,其跨境訂單即可豁免運費。<br />
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The international shopping through apps, AI, and location service will initiate the cooperate Amazon shop service in airport and airline, so this will also wreck the shop's store, we foresee the shop's store business will need the gov. law to protect their survive right and reduce the jobless rate impact, we think the major law action will be any shop's store can distribute Amazon goods with less than 15% selling price of Amazon sell price from Amazon, then, the Amazon business will integrate with all shop's store and make this impact of AI become minimize,<br />
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-4397037951855127432018-04-05T07:43:00.001-07:002019-02-16T06:07:04.201-08:00川普經濟學將成為全球重要趨勢,台灣還在停滯 ( Donald Trump's Economic will become the new trend to world )<div>
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<b><a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2012/12/2013-gdp-20-33gdp18.html" target="_blank">台灣稅制問題嚴重:</a><a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2017/08/can-not-create-private-investment-rate.html" target="_blank">不鼓勵有錢人投資公司養勞工創造機會,結果勞工薪資倒退、少子</a>化</b></h4>
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<span style="font-weight: normal;"> 台灣海內外存款近2兆美元,遺產稅又提高至20%,只要改一下法令,投資台灣養員工,遺產稅可以減免為 10%,國稅局給一個優惠遺產稅證明,就有6兆金額必須刺激進來投資,這麼簡單用優惠遺產稅證明換取振興台灣投資率及創造勞工、企業機會,為什麼不做?</span></div>
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<a href="https://i.pinimg.com/550x/36/7a/23/367a23f17cbb2a601fbdc22b7509a824.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="272" data-original-width="550" height="197" src="https://i.pinimg.com/550x/36/7a/23/367a23f17cbb2a601fbdc22b7509a824.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-weight: normal;"> 看了這新聞,低薪問題改負責是經濟部經建會及行政院,怎麼會輪到央行總裁來說明,這說明執政官員都不夠用心,騙人民的執政官員。</span></div>
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<span style="font-weight: normal;"> 其實,台灣GDP 消費已經佔 54%,只有促進消費難創造勞工機會,應該只有促進企業創新投資可以讓整個台灣振興,從消費券執行的結果就知道,只促進消費是不夠的,因為消費已經佔很大比重。只拼觀光及中國施小惠也難,原因也在這裡,因為觀光收入 3000億也難振興,馬英九也試驗過這樣經濟,還是嚴重經濟衰退。</span></div>
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<span style="font-weight: normal;"> 台灣在經濟上國際貿易在全球是 23~24排名,GDP 比重已經是 54%是消費內部,怎可能只靠消費, 觀光</span>及中國施小惠就能振興台灣? 要從經濟數據分析,就知道為甚麼馬英久失敗,用觀光換主權是蠢,所以從政人員要仔細看經濟及勞工參與率數據,其實,學新加坡, 馬來西亞 就知道,吸引及刺激投資企業是關鍵。因為,台灣內需市場沒甚麼成長,特別是一般消費甚至停滯。只有高消費群在成長,例如買汽車房子鑽石,這些許多是為了避稅節稅用的。政府一直不敢講,我就直接講出勞工及小攤販心聲,我們繳這麼多稅,養的公僕能幫人民勞工爭取機會嗎?</div>
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<span style="font-weight: normal;"> 所以,<u>在有官員說用促進消費來帶動經濟,其實是騙人民的,因為花幾千億消費卷都難促進經濟,怎可能靠官員一張嘴"促進消費"能帶動經濟及勞工機會? </u>台灣GDP 是 16.68兆台幣,2000億消費卷才 1.1% 是難促進經濟及勞工機會。所以新加坡, 菲律賓, 馬來西亞都是用促進投資來做,事實證明效果驚人。</span></div>
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<span style="font-weight: normal;"> 新加坡 2017 外資投資企業匯入總金額 (<a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foreign_direct_investment" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Foreign direct investment">FDI</a>) 約 6兆台幣,台灣外資匯入投資金額 (FDI) 低於 2500億,政府幾乎是世界級無能!!! 所以,政府功能就是持續抽稅、開罰單及做秀,騙人民而已,淘汰這些廢物。</span><br />
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<h4>
<a href="https://www.gvm.com.tw/article.html?id=43018" target="_blank">川普經濟學強調貿易平衡及創造工作機會</a> ( <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_Trump" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Donald Trump">Donald Trump</a>'s Economic focus on jobs and <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balance_of_trade" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Balance of trade">trade balance</a> )</h4>
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<a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-G1uovKIVBC0/Wrbl3YfoUZI/AAAAAAAAhco/Sv8Cx8zIQuosMSwcH9JC8_p4nnYqWlhpwCLcBGAs/s1600/Trump%2B4cba63bbb2d4db85390fb544ef37f513.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="362" data-original-width="563" height="204" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-G1uovKIVBC0/Wrbl3YfoUZI/AAAAAAAAhco/Sv8Cx8zIQuosMSwcH9JC8_p4nnYqWlhpwCLcBGAs/s320/Trump%2B4cba63bbb2d4db85390fb544ef37f513.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
川普經濟學已然成型。中心主軸是創造就業,「我們要找回工作,我們要找回財富,我們要找回夢想,」川普總是如此振臂高呼。 ( Trump economics has already taken shape. The main focus of the center is <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unemployment" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Unemployment">job creation</a>. "We want to get back the job. We have to get back the wealth. We have to regain our dreams," Trump always shouted. )<br />
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要有工作機會,前提就是鼓勵企業投資。要企業投資,就必須廢除繁文縟節,提高行政效率。上任才一年,川普政府已廢止或推遲實施的管制法規,就超過1500項。她說:「我們每砍掉22項舊法規,才推出一項新法規,創我國(美國)史上最高紀錄。」 ( Only a year after he took office, the Trump administration has abolished or postponed the implementation of the regulations and regulations and exceeded 1,500 items. She said: "We cut out 22 old laws and regulations before introducing a new law, setting a record for <a class="zem_slink" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=38.8833333333,-77.0166666667&spn=0.1,0.1&q=38.8833333333,-77.0166666667%20(United%20States)&t=h" rel="geolocation nofollow" title="United States">United States</a>." )<br />
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他曾無數次表示,政府的第一要務是創造工作機會,經濟成長的目的不是供政府吹噓,而是讓人民有工作。《遠見》團隊這次走訪美國四大州採訪,德州、加州、愛達荷州、威斯康辛州,發現大大小小官員總是把「Jobs、Jobs、Jobs」「只有就業機會是真實的」這兩句話,掛在嘴邊。( The government’s first priority is to create job opportunities. The purpose of economic growth is not to boast for the government, but to let the people have jobs. The Vision team visited the four <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._state" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="U.S. state">states in the United States</a>. Texas, <a class="zem_slink" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=37.0,-120.0&spn=10.0,10.0&q=37.0,-120.0%20(California)&t=h" rel="geolocation nofollow" title="California">California</a>, <a class="zem_slink" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=45.0,-114.0&spn=3.0,3.0&q=45.0,-114.0%20(Idaho)&t=h" rel="geolocation nofollow" title="Idaho">Idaho</a>, and <a class="zem_slink" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=44.5,-89.5&spn=3.0,3.0&q=44.5,-89.5%20(Wisconsin)&t=h" rel="geolocation nofollow" title="Wisconsin">Wisconsin</a> found that officials of all ages always put “Jobs, Jobs, Jobs” “only employment opportunities are real”. Words, hang on the lips. )<br />
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他強調政府的第一要務是創造工作機會,目的就是不要成為一個吹噓的政府只會抽稅、開罰單、消耗預算、喊口號做秀、政治鬥爭,<b>這正是<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2012/06/12-taiwan-economic-issue-becomes.html" target="_blank">台灣國民黨及民進黨經歷15執政</a>,台灣經濟衰退、少子化、民間投資率世界級低、財政之問題嚴重</b>,台灣人民還搞不清楚必須淘汰大部分國民黨及民進黨參政者,因為這些參政者思想與能力是無法改善及振興台灣,我們必須選出能振興台灣及創造勞工、企業機會的參政者,<u>從選擇未來跟中國統一的國民黨至未來主權獨立的民進黨都持續無法振興台灣,分析下來是參政者思想與能力太差</u>。<br />
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<h4>
<b><a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2014/03/blog-post.html" target="_blank">台灣勞工是全世界公認被政府最苛待</a></b></h4>
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<a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-j_zXBqMIBPc/VFiZhOdxFfI/AAAAAAAAQ5U/dLejXl4O554/s1600/%E5%8F%B0%E7%81%A3%E5%8B%9E%E5%B7%A5%E9%80%80%E4%BC%91%E9%87%91%E5%8F%8A%E6%94%BF%E5%BA%9C%E8%A3%9C%E5%8A%A9%E6%AF%94%E8%BC%83.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="960" height="240" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-j_zXBqMIBPc/VFiZhOdxFfI/AAAAAAAAQ5U/dLejXl4O554/s320/%E5%8F%B0%E7%81%A3%E5%8B%9E%E5%B7%A5%E9%80%80%E4%BC%91%E9%87%91%E5%8F%8A%E6%94%BF%E5%BA%9C%E8%A3%9C%E5%8A%A9%E6%AF%94%E8%BC%83.png" width="320" /></a></div>
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美國每年撥給勞工之歲出超過 23%,台灣真正勞工福利補助才約是中央+地方歲出之2.28% ,政府補助勞保基金僅有10%是全世界民主國家最低的,政府應該將調高政府勞保補助比率來提升勞工福利,<u>因為勞工繳的綜所稅總額遠遠高於政府給勞工相關補助之支出,勞工最高綜所稅調高為45%,與福利國家之55%很接近</u>,而勞工福利政府補助卻如此低,且1000萬勞工總共繳綜所稅已經是台灣繳給中央總稅收約24.5%,福利國家支出給繳稅勞工之福利占政府支出超過30%遠比台灣高出6倍,台灣政府根本苛待勞工。<br />
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而國民黨及民進黨都是苛待勞工立法原兇,淘汰這些造成台灣衰退的政黨,一般勞工以為增稅能增加勞工福利,這是許多媒體學者名嘴騙人民的,台灣稅收真正補助給勞工之福利就是政府勞保補助 10%,不會因為稅收增加勞工福利增加,若政府沒有提高勞保至20%補助,廢除『勞工保險條例第2條規定』支出勞工社會保險如普通事故保險包含生育、傷病 ... 等,改由政府歲出來支出,是不會因為稅收增加勞工福利增加,除非提高勞保補助至15%及勞工社會保險政府歲出來支出這樣增稅才能增加勞工福利。反而會因政府經常性支出泡沫造成危機就是每2~3年要增稅一次,民間投資率就會越來越低,勞工薪資成長率也就停滯,最後當然經濟成長率亞洲倒數。<br />
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<h4>
<b><a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2016/09/blog-post.html" target="_blank">加上隱藏失業率,那台灣實際失業率遠高於美國,台灣失業率是假的</a></b></h4>
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: right; margin-left: 1em; text-align: right;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-e0e0zCACJCc/VO--t6PdQbI/AAAAAAAASEU/CyTqx_szWqo/s1600/Taiwan%2BJobless%2BRate%2BExample%2B20150212.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="629" data-original-width="647" height="388" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-e0e0zCACJCc/VO--t6PdQbI/AAAAAAAASEU/CyTqx_szWqo/s400/Taiwan%2BJobless%2BRate%2BExample%2B20150212.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">50歲且在65歲以下有『二百多萬人』被歸類在非勞動力及<br />
<span style="background-color: white; color: #333333; font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif; font-size: 12.54px; line-height: 15.96px;">政府支出勞工失業補助占支出比重世界低,那台</span><br />
<span style="background-color: white; color: #333333; font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif; font-size: 12.54px; line-height: 15.96px;">灣實際失業率遠高於美國</span></td></tr>
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青年不開心。<a href="http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/business/breakingnews/2378193" target="_blank">根據主計總處統計,台灣15-24歲年平均失業率近9年來都破10%</a>;最近統計資料、今年2月份15-24歲失業率數據為11.41%,遠高過同期失業率3.70%。勞動部在民國105年執行的「15-29歲青年勞工就業狀況調查」也發現,51%在初次尋覓工作時遇到困難。 </div>
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<a href="http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/business/paper/1186382">行政院主計總處昨公布2月失業率3.7%</a>,為近18年同月次低,較1月上升0.07個百分點;累計1至2月失業率平均3.67%,為近17年同期最低。主計總處表示,2月失業率上升,主要受到年後轉職及部分臨時性工作結束影響,3月失業率應會下降,目前勞動市場穩定。 這失業率是隱藏 200萬失業勞工,基本上,是政府欺騙人民的。<br />
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整個政府就只會抽稅、開罰單、做秀、喊口號,這是無益於勞工及企業。許多台灣人不知道,台灣失業率含隱藏失業率應該是全球排名最前面,甚至可能是世界前五名高。因為,勞動局將 50~65歲 200萬沒有工作勞工用非勞動力勞工,不算失業。而到中國及東協的工作勞工也已經超過 150萬,也就是台灣整體少了 350萬個工作機會,誰是這段時間的執政黨,剛好是國民黨及民進黨經歷15執政。這些政治人物思想那裡錯了 ? 問題還是在於 政府沒搞清楚,台灣不可能只靠觀光, 靠消費振興起來。也難靠中國施小惠來成長。因為,台灣已經是很大經濟體,增加2~3千億消費或是小惠是無法創造許多工作機會,官員必須清楚算經濟數據。這種思想正是這兩黨現在思維,台灣怎麼能振興 ?<br />
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從數據分析:統一對台灣是無利可圖,[馬英九時代兩岸和平發展的經濟紅利,大量的陸客可以繼續來台灣觀光] -> 事實是馬英九時代經濟成長率最差 ( 數據說出中國無能力及實力惠台 ),台灣不可能只靠觀光 2000億, 靠消費振興1500億,也難靠中國施小惠 2000億來成長。因為,台灣已經是GDP16兆台幣內需佔超過53%的中大經濟體,而在中國台勞大部分到台商、港商、外商工作,只有小部份在陸商,說出中國無能力及實力惠台。<br />
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分析:<br />
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<ul>
<li>台灣經濟基本上是投資法令不積極及投審會態度傲慢,加上政府許多政客竟要求資金進來投資,能政治捐就請投資人幫忙,造成投資人害怕,投資台灣冷卻‧</li>
<li>馬政權執政時,經濟成長率還低於蔡英文執政時期,主因就是大陸1500億觀光收入無法幫助台灣這樣大型的經濟體,從另一觀點看,中國還這麼多省很貧窮,為甚麼中共自己都救不了這些貧困省份,最後只能消滅低端人口。但另一觀點看,就是DPP, KMT 投資法令改善不積極及投審會態度傲慢,造成投資台灣冷卻‧</li>
<li>也就是中國根本沒有實力幫助台灣,只能一直拉台商幫助他們經濟發展,拖垮台灣及香港而已‧ 要改善台灣經濟、勞工薪資,要從改善投資法令著手,是內政問題要靠自已。</li>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-74103603868123709182018-01-21T03:22:00.002-08:002018-07-05T15:33:59.867-07:00《主耶穌十字架流的寶血與約櫃》顯現,末世前兩段將來臨 ( "The blood of the Lord Jesus, the ark," appears, and the first two passages of the last days will come )<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://kingdom4jesus.files.wordpress.com/2015/06/screen-shot-2017-03-21-at-2-39-46-pm.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="395" data-original-width="541" height="291" src="https://kingdom4jesus.files.wordpress.com/2015/06/screen-shot-2017-03-21-at-2-39-46-pm.png" width="400" /></a></div>
亨利牧師與發現約櫃的羅韋恩(<a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ron_Wyatt" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Ron Wyatt">Ron Wyatt</a>)認識多年,並且多次與他一起考古旅行。1990年代初,世界全福會創辦人(<a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demos_Shakarian" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Demos Shakarian">Demos Shakarian</a>)透過亨利牧師安排了羅韋恩在亞利桑那州的大會中,首次向世人公開他發現約櫃的經歷。更驚人的是,羅韋恩進一步提到了約櫃上耶穌寶血的 實驗室報告。鮮為人知的,Demos Shakarian 在大會前,安排了專家驗證羅韋恩的實驗室報告的真實性,而亨利牧師親身參與整個過程!<br />
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<b><u>先了解耶穌十字架寶血的聖經神的話</u></b>:<br />
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馬太福音 27-1 到了早晨,眾祭司長和民間的長老大家商議要治死耶穌, 2就把他捆綁,解去,交給巡撫彼拉多。<br />
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馬太福音 27-45從午正到申初,遍地都黑暗了。 46約在申初,耶穌大聲喊着說:「以利!以利!拉馬撒巴各大尼?」就是說:「我的神!我的神!為甚麼離棄我?」 47站在那裏的人,有的聽見就說:「這個人呼叫以利亞呢!」 48內中有一個人趕緊跑去,拿海絨蘸滿了醋,綁在葦子上,送給他喝。 49其餘的人說:「且等着,看以利亞來救他不來。」 50耶穌又大聲喊叫,氣就斷了。 51忽然,殿裏的幔子從上到下裂為兩半,地也震動,磐石也崩裂, 52墳墓也開了,已睡聖徒的身體多有起來的。<br />
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約翰福音 19-26 耶穌見母親和他所愛的那門徒站在旁邊,就對他母親說:「母親原文是婦人,看,你的兒子!」 27又對那門徒說:「看,你的母親!」從此,那門徒就接她到自己家裏去了。<br />
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約翰福音 19-28這事以後,耶穌知道各樣的事已經成了,為要使經上的話應驗,就說:「我渴了。」 29有一個器皿盛滿了醋,放在那裏;他們就拿海絨蘸滿了醋,綁在牛膝草上,送到他口。 30耶穌嘗原文是受了那醋,就說:「成了!」便低下頭,將靈魂交付神了。<br />
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約翰福音 19-33只是來到耶穌那裏,見他已經死了,就不打斷他的腿。 34惟有一個兵拿槍扎他的肋旁,隨即有血和水流出來。 35看見這事的那人就作見證-他的見證也是真的,並且他知道自己所說的是真的-叫你們也可以信。<br />
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<a href="https://www.lambsteps.com/elijah-into-heaven.html" target="_blank">聖經故事-耶穌被釘十字架</a><br />
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<b><u>耶穌基督救恩是甚麼?</u></b><br />
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<a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-kW367xnXkyw/WmR31CgfiZI/AAAAAAAAgtg/cxCR3z2cc1AEPlBsI34KLLHeMC17e77_QCLcBGAs/s1600/%25E4%25B8%25BB%25E8%2580%25B6%25E7%25A9%258C%25E4%25BD%259C%25E5%25B7%25A5%25E8%25AC%259B%25E9%2581%2593%255B1%255D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="360" data-original-width="640" height="225" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-kW367xnXkyw/WmR31CgfiZI/AAAAAAAAgtg/cxCR3z2cc1AEPlBsI34KLLHeMC17e77_QCLcBGAs/s400/%25E4%25B8%25BB%25E8%2580%25B6%25E7%25A9%258C%25E4%25BD%259C%25E5%25B7%25A5%25E8%25AC%259B%25E9%2581%2593%255B1%255D.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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道成了肉身,住在我們中間,充充滿滿地有恩典有真理。我們也見過他的榮光,正是父獨生子的榮光。 約翰福音 1:14<br />
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從他豐滿 的恩典 裏,我們都領受了,而且恩上加恩。 約翰福音 1:16<br />
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我當日傳給你們的,原是從主領受的,就是主耶穌被賣的那一夜,拿起餅來, 哥林多前書 11:23<br />
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祝謝了,就擘開,說:「這是我的身體,為你們捨 的,你們應當如此行,為的是記念我。」 哥林多前書 11:24<br />
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飯後,也照樣拿起杯來,說:「這杯是用我的血所立的新約,你們每逢喝的時候,要如此行,為的是記念我。」 哥林多前書 11:25<br />
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你們每逢吃這餅,喝這杯,是表明主的死,直等到他來。 哥林多前書 11:26<br />
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<b>主的救恩</b><br />
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他赦免你的一切罪孽, 醫治你的一切疾病。 詩篇 103:3<br />
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他救贖你的命脫離死亡, 以仁愛和慈悲為你的冠冕。 詩篇 103:4<br />
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他用美物使你所願的得以知足, 以致你如鷹返老還童。 詩篇 103:5<br />
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耶和華施行公義, 為一切受屈的人伸冤。 詩篇 103:6<br />
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耶和華有憐憫,有恩典, 不輕易發怒,且有豐盛的慈愛。 詩篇 103:8<br />
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我的心哪,你要稱頌耶和華! 不可忘記他的一切恩惠! 詩篇 103:2<br />
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<b><u>找到「約櫃」</u></b><br />
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眾所周知,「約櫃」在2500年前 就已「失蹤」了,在各種「猜測」和「假設」當中,一些「考古學家」曾試圖尋找「約櫃」,然後,在幾年前,既是著名的「考古學家」,也是「虔誠的基督徒」的Ron wyatt通過「聖靈」的強烈的「感動」,知道了「約櫃」埋藏在「各各他」的「耶裏米亞洞」裏了。<br />
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Ron wyatt 從「以色列政府」得到了「審核」,開始做「勘測」,經歷了許多艱難,最終在「耶裏米亞洞」裏找到了「約櫃」所埋藏的具體「地點」,但是,發現這個「地點」的上面,有一處「裂痕」,然後,發現了一些「血跡」,令我們驚訝的是:經過這個「空隙」連接到外部地方,正好是主耶穌的「十字架」被立的「場所」。<br />
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主耶穌 在「十字架」上,所流的「寶血」,通過那個「空隙」而流到「約櫃」所埋藏的「地點」的上方。雖然,以色列政府 徹底把「這件事」封鎖了,但是,我們相信,有一天會「大白於天下」。<br />
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-70158055379128430782018-01-06T04:12:00.000-08:002019-02-04T14:37:30.378-08:00北美嚴寒天氣,太陽輻射轉弱,2019 ~ 2021 全球進入類「小冰河期」來臨 ?( North American cold weather, solar radiation weakened, 2019 ~ 2021 Global access to the category of "Little Ice Age" coming? )<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;" target="_blank"><img alt=" Sunspot forecast" border="0" data-original-height="600" data-original-width="766" height="312" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-SkTOECYjyHo/WlC29hQYerI/AAAAAAAAggc/kApeeH04HIwqM5Lf10hsqO9PPQfYAl1CQCLcBGAs/s400/Sunspot%2Bnumber%2B20170212.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
太陽活動的強度是以太陽黑子的數字來測量的,太陽黑子就是太陽表面的黑斑。黑子出現說明該區域有強大的磁場活動,太陽黑子越多,太陽風暴發生的機會也越大。相反,太陽黑子越少,太陽活動的強度發生的變小機會也越大。<br />
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2016/9 美國太空總署(NASA)9月初發現太陽表面出現「無黑子」現象,科學界擔心太陽活動極小期恐導致地球「小冰河期」來臨。( 註: 「小冰河期」是指一段在中世紀溫暖時期之後開始,全球氣溫出現下降的現象,時間約在自1550年至1770年這220年間,結束於18世紀初期,相當於中國明清時期。<span style="color: #660000;">小冰期帶來的影響,除了氣溫下降外,還使得植物生長季節變短,土壤降溫,使糧食作物產量變少,穀物價格上升,<u>造成全球各地頻繁出現饑荒與瘟疫</u>。因為<u>死亡率上升</u>,這使全球人口成長率在這段時間減緩。<u>小冰期時期也是暴亂、搶掠及死亡的高發期</u>,很多文明的歷史古籍都記載了這段混亂的時期。</span> )<br />
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<a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-f6MRdDq01yA/WlC547yBpxI/AAAAAAAAgg4/OJxok4049Ogir2OA64u6CatdrNzBtbVFACLcBGAs/s1600/Duncan-FAQ-on--Little-Ice-1550.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="276" data-original-width="460" height="384" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-f6MRdDq01yA/WlC547yBpxI/AAAAAAAAgg4/OJxok4049Ogir2OA64u6CatdrNzBtbVFACLcBGAs/s640/Duncan-FAQ-on--Little-Ice-1550.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>
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2018年的第一週低溫籠罩北半球,中國大陸和北美洲都陷入急凍狀態!尤其是北美地區先是被「極地渦旋」冰封,紐約州有城鎮溫度跳水至攝氏零下31度,比火星還要冷!除此之外,美東還即將迎來一場「炸彈氣旋」的襲擊,預計將會帶來新一波強烈暴風雪;中國大陸也發布暴雪預警,估計將有23個省份將遭受到影響;至於歐洲西部的國家,則是被「冬季風暴」橫掃,法國超過20萬戶家庭大停電,瑞士甚至有火車,被強風吹倒脫軌翻覆!<br />
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<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-q8pcl3Mv6B0/U4x-9lMNCYI/AAAAAAAAO4A/5LnRrObuBPE/s1600/James_Rogers-3%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="301" data-original-width="255" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-q8pcl3Mv6B0/U4x-9lMNCYI/AAAAAAAAO4A/5LnRrObuBPE/s1600/James_Rogers-3%5B1%5D.jpg" /></a></div>
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從NASA太陽活動的強度來預估,太陽活動的強度將進入 2018 ~ 2023 極弱期,大約一半專家認為,這將是一個中等強度的太陽週期,預期中等強度的太陽週期,大約會出現140個太陽黑子左右,誤差範圍在正負20個,2011年的10月左右達到高峰;其他專家預測認為是較弱的太陽週期,大約有90個左右的太陽黑子,誤差範圍正負10個,2012年8月是尖峰期。一般而言,每個太陽週期平均出現75到155個太陽黑子。2015年8月是尖峰期結束。( 前氣象局預報中心主任、中央大學副教授吳德榮今天表示,影響氣候變遷的因素很多,且都無法被正確模擬,但控制溫室氣體仍是當前人類所應關注的議題。吳德榮曾寫到「太陽黑子數量變化,固然可以代表太陽輻射的強弱的變化,有很多的週期,最短的11年,2014是最近一次鼎盛期,2019將進入衰減期,但是並無資料可以判斷這次最特別」)。<br />
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預估會造成農產及能源價格影響。<br />
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</div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-43496254029970597642017-12-31T22:47:00.001-08:002018-04-18T15:10:46.903-07:00Amazon Go 及服務業結合人工智慧、物聯網趨勢 ( Amazon Go and Services Industrial Combine Artificial Intelligence, Internet of Things Trends ) <b><a href="http://technews.tw/2017/02/02/amazon-inspires-retail-world/" target="_blank">亞馬遜刺激,實體店面物聯網技術快速發展,重新定義「無人商店」</a></b><br />
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<a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-nad8Ky98hRw/WKo-jvpruSI/AAAAAAAAcLQ/oI2GZtzs1xQNU7NIY8I3fkPc7F_5C6JkgCLcB/s1600/amazon-go-storefront-2016-rtsuu23%255B1%255D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="283" src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-nad8Ky98hRw/WKo-jvpruSI/AAAAAAAAcLQ/oI2GZtzs1xQNU7NIY8I3fkPc7F_5C6JkgCLcB/s400/amazon-go-storefront-2016-rtsuu23%255B1%255D.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
亞馬遜(Amazon)對實體通路攻城掠地,讓通路界人心惶惶,2016 年 12 月宣布 2017 年將於西雅圖開張無人實體便利商店 <b><a class="zem_slink" href="http://amazon.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Amazon">Amazon</a> Go,則成了實體通路心理上的轉捩點</b>,所有先前還對新科技有所抵抗的實體通路,聽到 Amazon Go 的消息後,都不得不積極面對。這股趨勢顯現在 2017 年 1 月美國國家通路聯盟(National Retail Federation)2017 年大展(BIG Show 2017)上,各種實體店面的物聯網、虛擬實境等技術大行其道。<br />
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通路物聯網技術公司 Everseen 執行長艾倫‧歐赫里希(Alan O’Herlihy)表示,Amazon Go 雖然只是單點測試的概念商店,但是對實體通路業者來說,卻有如當頭棒喝,紛紛感到「糟了,非得做什麼不可」。<br />
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事實上,早在此之前,實體通路就已經面臨相當大的壓力,傳統實體通路來店人潮已經連續 4 年萎縮,而美國經濟可是處於復甦期,實體通路龍頭梅西百貨(Macy’s)與勞氏(Lowe’s)業績不振宣布裁員數千人;相對地,亞馬遜營收卻大幅增長,還要增僱 10 萬員工。據萬事達卡(MasterCard)通路趨勢報告 SpendingPulse,2016 年底聖誕購物季,美國通路總營收增長 4%,但增長主要來自線上通路,線上營收增加了 19%。<br />
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傳統通路先前就已經感受到亞馬遜的強大壓迫,Amazon Go 的推出可說只是壓垮駱駝的最後一根稻草,但這根稻草造成通路心態絕大的改變。<br />
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通路攝影追蹤技術公司明日通路(RetailNext)行銷長瑞‧哈特仁(Ray Hartjen)證言 Amazon Go 造成的變化,表示 <b>Amazon Go 讓許多通路業者頓時明白,物聯網科技通路時代確實已經來臨,不再只是紙上談兵</b>。先前通路受到亞馬遜壓力時,認為只要也建個網站,弄個線上商店就行了,現在它們覺悟到:真正需要科技化改變的,是它們的店面。在這樣的情緒下,未來通路引進新科技到實體店面的速度將大為增加。<br />
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相關科技廠商磨刀霍霍,積極搶食這股龐大商機,美國國家通路聯盟 2017 年大展上,通路科技百花齊放,Autonomous 展示遠端通訊機器人,可代替員工巡視店面,員工只要坐在辦公室,就能一次監控多數機器人,在店內以更高的密度提供顧客所需的服務,包括用遠端操控提供資訊,以及回答問題等,這樣的技術可望減少人事成本、減輕人員勞動程度,卻能提供更好的服務。<br />
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IT 大廠也不會放過這樣的潮流,Google 發表擴增實境(AR)手機 App,讓消費者可以在虛擬模特兒上試穿衣服,或是在家中模擬顯示想買的家具放在家中的樣子,類似台廠宅妝(iStaging)所提供的服務;英特爾(Intel)則發表藍牙、影像及 <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wi-Fi" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Wi-Fi">Wi-Fi</a> 感測器,讓店主能在店內追蹤消費者的行為,更了解消費者的購物習慣,目前英特爾的此項感測器已經安裝於 100 家實體店面,合作對象包括 Levi’s 與 <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_Pink" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Thomas Pink">Thomas Pink</a> 等。<br />
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英特爾物聯網通路部門表示,看到許多通路開始動起來,且急著行動,<b>尤其 Amazon Go 推出後,通路業者心中的急迫性更是大增。英特爾已經看準了這個商機,打算投入 1 億美元開發物聯網通路平台「反應通路平台」(Responsive Retail Platform,RRP),串聯店內所有物聯網軟硬體</b>。<br />
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Amazon Go 是否能大展鴻圖,或是是否很快展店到全球,還在未定之天,不過,可以肯定的是,在 Amazon Go 的刺激下,實體通路與物聯網科技廠商積極攜手合作,全球的實體通路店面,很快就會大有不同。<br />
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<a href="http://www.nownews.com/n/2014/05/13/1231777" target="_blank">全聯攜手IBM,啟動5年革新轉型</a><br />
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全聯福利中心將2014年視為革新元年,今日宣布全聯將與台灣IBM攜手合作,啟動五年發展藍圖,從什麼都便宜轉型為「來全聯買進美好生活」的策略,落實2017年開店千家,2020年營收朝向二千億元的目標。<br />
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全聯今年在總裁徐重仁的帶領之下,期許全聯成為台灣人的幸福超市。全聯將與IBM攜手合作,以全聯的在地優勢加上IBM的全球經驗,共同啟動台灣的流通業二次革命。<br />
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全聯福利中心總裁徐重仁表示,全聯與台灣IBM攜手合作,創造超市幸福新體驗,呼應他接任時的啟動台灣流通二次新革命的願景;除了提供更好的購物環境及快速結帳等有感服務,並加強農漁產、生鮮之產品質量,符合超市以家庭為主的消費模式。徐重仁強調,企業不應以獲利為唯一考量,全聯將不再強調低價,但優質平價的策略不會改變。<br />
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全聯福利中心總經理蔡篤昌表示,全聯為完全的本土品牌,為了朝向全球性超市發展,才開啟與百年企業的台灣IBM攜手,在制度及系統上轉型及提升。乾貨部分將強化庫存管理,並提升與台灣農業的結合,像是QR Core可以掃瞄出農產履歷,第三是全聯有750萬會員,幾乎家戶都是全聯會員,期望透過會員的資料分析,進一步達到滿足個人消費。雙方合作首要任務就是提升全聯IT系統,並在未來五年逐步實現資訊轉型。<br />
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全聯與台灣IBM共同擬定企業中長期策略定位,同時針對組織文化、營運績效及人才培育等面向提出五年發展藍圖,短期目標為門市質的提升及顧客服務的優化,中長期目標則是傾聽全聯750萬會員的聲音,提升個人與家庭化之商品及服務,創造幸福的購物體驗。<br />
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IBM將藉由全球零售經驗及科技之創新服務,透過打造智慧零售,消費者為中心,精準與預測行銷,全通路消費,多元化顧客服務以及購物新體驗等營運方針,協助全聯轉型;同時發展安心食品及生鮮超市的透明履歷管理,協助全聯塑造超市品牌形象。<br />
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IBM大中華區董事長暨首席執行總裁錢大群指出,這次全聯與IBM強強聯手,以個性化的互動與服務,突破以往做不到的事,讓一件商品從農產上游到消費者手中的過程效益提昇,成功打造幸福的超市。<br />
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台灣IBM全球企業諮詢服務事業群合夥人黃月金則說,全聯目前在全台約有700間門市,會員數多達750萬人,想要轉型現在欠的只是東風,要如何了解每一位消費者不同的需求,最重要的是聽聽顧客的聲音,要如何從那麼大量會員的海量資料裡面,提出讓消費者有感的促銷,讓消費者體驗一流的購物經驗,開啟一致性之跨通路購物與服務。<br />
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<a href="http://anntw.com/articles/20140513-l0Au" target="_blank">全聯IBM結盟 啟動科技流通革命</a><br />
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台灣流通業教父徐重仁又出招!全聯福利中心總裁徐重仁13日宣布,將與台灣IBM締結策略聯盟。藉由海量資料、雲端等智慧技術,根據不同客層的消費習慣打造網購、APP等「全通路購物平台」,方便消費者取得購物訊息和產銷履歷,創造啟動流通業的「二次革命」。<br />
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<a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-EpzZB-Zvd2I/WKpAXoyotaI/AAAAAAAAcLc/0C28vZpPyo44Az8f6MI3Lv3SYeJ1nKZIACLcB/s1600/iot-platform-infographic%255B1%255D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="223" src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-EpzZB-Zvd2I/WKpAXoyotaI/AAAAAAAAcLc/0C28vZpPyo44Az8f6MI3Lv3SYeJ1nKZIACLcB/s400/iot-platform-infographic%255B1%255D.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
徐重仁在13日的記者會中,將2014年定位為全聯的「革新元年」。他表示,盼此次合作有助落實2017年展店數達1千家,2020年營收破2千億的願景。全聯總經理蔡篤昌說,全聯將借重台灣IBM在資訊端的技術,建立涵括從門市、網購、APP 到 Email 的全通路購物平台,讓消費者能及時取得所需的購物訊息;基於食安考量,也將建立食品溯源的雲端平台,結合產地履歷和QR Code技術,讓生鮮食品管理透明化。<br />
<br />
徐重仁解釋,全聯要成為「更乾淨、結帳速度更快,成為消費者更好的鄰居。」他也強調,全聯的定位是「家庭超市」而非便利商店,本次合作能擴大通路,也有協助振興台灣農業的意義。<br />
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台灣IBM總經理黃慧珠舉例說明,像她在下班後回家要燒菜, 80幾歲的婆婆早在冰箱中放滿從全聯買來的生鮮,對婆婆來說,「全聯已經取代傳統市場的地位」;就連去礁溪泡湯,也是從當地全聯買水和毛巾,顯示全聯在台灣人生活中已經佔有重要地位。<br />
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全聯擁有近700家門市、「福利卡」會員突破750萬人。未來台灣IBM將利用海量資料技術,蒐集並分析會員購物習性,並區分銀髮族、SOHO族等不同客群,提供最適合顧客的購物模式。<br />
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<b><a href="http://www.pymnts.com/news/retail/2017/intel-to-invest-more-than-100m-in-retail-iot/" target="_blank">RETAIL Intel To Invest More Than $100M In Retail IoT</a></b><br />
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<a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-yxVPbmigQTQ/WKpgh8AuysI/AAAAAAAAcMI/gR9XyM7cfPMqd4PodxhfDBp3eoGnaydmACLcB/s1600/intelandiot%255B1%255D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="282" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-yxVPbmigQTQ/WKpgh8AuysI/AAAAAAAAcMI/gR9XyM7cfPMqd4PodxhfDBp3eoGnaydmACLcB/s400/intelandiot%255B1%255D.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
Semiconductor giant Intel has committed to invest more than $100 million over the course of the next five years in the <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Retail" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Retail">retail industry</a> to connect the physical and virtual components of retail operations.<br />
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In a blog post, Intel said it’s launching the new Intel Responsive Retail Platform, which reinforces its effort to integrate the Internet of Things and other technologies into the retail industry. The platform is aimed at helping change how people shop and how shops serve customers.<br />
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“Every technology provider knows customers can derive savings and increase manageability and security of client <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Personal_computer" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Personal computer">PCs</a> via remote management solutions. In retail, though, the advantages are especially profound. Retail businesses require the highest level of productivity from <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Point_of_sale" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Point of sale">POS</a> client machines to maximize profitability and deliver exceptional customer service,” Intel wrote.<br />
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What’s more, Intel said the security environment is particularly demanding in the retail market, with POS systems constantly at risk of being attacked by sophisticated bad guys. Intel pointed to research from Gartner and CompuCom that found 70 percent of all retail breaches happen at the point of sale. “Technology providers and MSPs working in the retail sector can deliver immediate gains in efficiency, manageability and security with solutions made possible by Intel® Active Management Technology (AMT),” Intel said. “This is built into all new 7th Generation Intel Core vPro processor family platforms.”<br />
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While Intel is announcing a new $100 million investment, it has long been a player in the IoT market. In 2015, Intel debuted technology designed for “smart” vending machines — the first gateway specifically geared to that industry. ....<br />
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<br />
<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/FcGNN2lkmg0?list=PLMNf0uzWVIznE7WWKIkAl4e3r_dlFC5ji" width="640"></iframe> <b><br /></b><b>趨勢分析</b><br />
<ul>
<li>Amazon Go 將帶動物聯網、人工智慧、大數據、智慧感應、自動化庫存管理、自動化店面許多新應用。</li>
<li>這是 computing is every-where 及 AI on everything 開始發酵的結果。</li>
<li>無人商店、機器人( Robot ) 餐廳將引發第5波產業革命。</li>
</ul>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-77135566862589876232017-12-12T05:00:00.000-08:002018-01-03T21:42:18.073-08:00人工智能和機器人將成為2018年的主要工業革命趨勢 ( AI and robot will become the main industrial revolution trend in 2018 )<a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-nad8Ky98hRw/WKo-jvpruSI/AAAAAAAAcLQ/oI2GZtzs1xQNU7NIY8I3fkPc7F_5C6JkgCLcB/s1600/amazon-go-storefront-2016-rtsuu23%255B1%255D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1138" data-original-width="1600" height="283" src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-nad8Ky98hRw/WKo-jvpruSI/AAAAAAAAcLQ/oI2GZtzs1xQNU7NIY8I3fkPc7F_5C6JkgCLcB/s400/amazon-go-storefront-2016-rtsuu23%255B1%255D.jpg" width="400" /></a> <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_intelligence" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Artificial intelligence">AI</a> ), 機器人( Robot ), 物聯網( IOT )之應用有如海嘯,正席捲各類型的服務業。金融科技( <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_technology" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Financial technology">FinTech</a> )的興起,讓銀行據點從資產變負債,一般庶務工作將被機器取代,櫃台人員被迫轉型變成業務員。很顯然的,金融科技愈是普遍,國內現行金融業超過八十萬就業人口,受到衝擊也會愈大。<br />
新科技人工智惠(<br />
<br />
新科技人工智惠( AI ), 機器人( Robot ), 物聯網( IOT )之應用幾大新趨勢:<br />
<br />
<ul>
<li>新科技應用混血企業:( <a href="http://magazine.businessweekly.com.tw/Article_page.aspx?id=34064&utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=1568&utm_content=cover" target="_blank">新物種企業</a> )</li>
<ul>
<li>美國亞馬遜(Amazon)推出全新的<b><u>Amazon Go無人商店</u></b>,「拿了就走」的購物流程,能解決消費者最困擾的等待結帳問題,全新模式為市場投下震撼彈,「有些是傳統實體零售業者想破頭也想不出來的,畢竟這兩個領域專長差別很大。」</li>
<ul>
<li>一位在零售業經營超過三十年的業者指出,亞馬遜切入實體通路的殺傷力特別大,「關鍵在於亞馬遜和其他電商不同,它從賣書、賣CD起家,再擴大到賣玩具一路延伸,掌握消費者的真正嗜好,這和一個累積買米、買衛生紙等資料的電商平台比起來,是完全不一樣的概念;亞馬遜透過長期觀察追蹤,再搭配AI(人工智慧),分析出來的消費者需求,一定會比別的電商更精準。」</li>
<li>亞馬遜能利用它的最新科技,蒐集更多過去蒐集不到的實體通路消費行為,達到精準行銷的目標,再把整個流程優化後降低成本,最終還是要把這套平台系統賣給別人,而不是自己真的要去開連鎖超市。</li>
</ul>
<li>阿里巴巴在浙江杭州造物節推出快閃的<b><u>淘咖啡</u></b>,消費者體驗就像是亞馬遜的無人超市;另一個號稱刷手掌紋就能購物的中國深蘭科技,也宣布拿到娃哈哈飲料大廠十萬台 Take Go無人店訂單;</li>
<li>繽果盒子:傳統零售業者歐尚與中國大潤發合資的高鑫零售,也投資一億元人民幣給繽果盒子,讓繽果盒子有信心未來一年要開出五千家無人商店;</li>
</ul>
<li>機器人( Robot ) 工廠</li>
<li>無人機 (Drone ) 結合 AI 自動快遞、自動監控安管、自動環保</li>
<li>自動駕駛車:Tesla 自動駕電動車開啟新成長大於 wearable IOT,所以人工智慧及物聯網的方便性是自動駕電動車吸引人之處。 <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-5uecPlUltro/VOWCgIW84KI/AAAAAAAAR8U/37tsVR8Rb70/s1600/mercedes-benz-f-015-2p%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="370" data-original-width="650" height="227" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-5uecPlUltro/VOWCgIW84KI/AAAAAAAAR8U/37tsVR8Rb70/s400/mercedes-benz-f-015-2p%5B1%5D.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
</li>
<ul>
<li>根據Gartner的預測,全球物聯網裝置數量將從2015年的49億成長到2020年的250億。2020年的全球道路上每5台汽車就會有一台具備無線上網能力,屆時的連網汽車總數將超過2.5億台,這些連網汽車可望具備遠端訊息處理、自動駕駛、車載資訊娛樂系統,與各種行動服務。</li>
</ul>
<li>智能金融科技 ( Fintech ):目前已有不少銀行都推出聊天機器人和用戶互動,另外,美國 AI 新創 <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.ayasdi.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Ayasdi">Ayasdi</a> 也和銀行業者合作進行壓力測試,模擬極端風險,像是股市暴跌、通貨膨脹等,提早發現銀行體系缺點並採取防禦措施,而加入人工智慧後,原需9個月的測試過程縮短為3個月、所需人力也減少。</li>
<ul>
<li>未來金融理財人工智惠化。</li>
<li>網路人工智惠化的創業籌資。</li>
</ul>
</ul>
<br />
<div>
從 Trends 去分析<br />
<br />
<script src="https://ssl.gstatic.com/trends_nrtr/1243_RC08/embed_loader.js" type="text/javascript"></script> <script type="text/javascript"> trends.embed.renderExploreWidget("TIMESERIES", {"comparisonItem":[{"keyword":"Tesla","geo":"","time":"today 12-m"},{"keyword":"fitbit","geo":"","time":"today 12-m"},{"keyword":"Drone","geo":"","time":"today 12-m"}],"category":0,"property":""}, {"exploreQuery":"q=Tesla,fitbit,Drone&date=today 12-m,today 12-m,today 12-m","guestPath":"https://trends.google.com:443/trends/embed/"}); </script>
</div>
<div>
<script src="https://ssl.gstatic.com/trends_nrtr/1243_RC08/embed_loader.js" type="text/javascript"></script> <script type="text/javascript"> trends.embed.renderExploreWidget("TIMESERIES", {"comparisonItem":[{"keyword":"AI","geo":"","time":"today 12-m"},{"keyword":"Robot","geo":"","time":"today 12-m"},{"keyword":"IOT","geo":"","time":"today 12-m"},{"keyword":"Drone","geo":"","time":"today 12-m"}],"category":0,"property":""}, {"exploreQuery":"q=AI,Robot,IOT,Drone&date=today 12-m,today 12-m,today 12-m,today 12-m","guestPath":"https://trends.google.com:443/trends/embed/"}); </script>
</div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-49016961251607868872016-09-11T04:05:00.002-07:002018-09-06T15:40:23.637-07:00 It Is Well, With My Soul, Horatio Spafford 感人的故事! 這個世界充滿了苦難,也充滿了克服,願主的恩典及信心,戰勝許多苦難, 阿門! <a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-eetj2QrZ0J8/U0qxZqkOMzI/AAAAAAAAOHo/VkLjBz8DLyU/s1600/084-084-jesus-blesses-the-nephite-children-full.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-eetj2QrZ0J8/U0qxZqkOMzI/AAAAAAAAOHo/VkLjBz8DLyU/s1600/084-084-jesus-blesses-the-nephite-children-full.jpg" width="301" /></a><span style="color: #351c75;">這個世界充滿了苦難,也充滿了克服,</span><br />
<span style="color: #351c75;">The World is full of suffering,</span><br />
<span style="color: #351c75;">It is also full of overcoming it,</span><br />
<span style="color: #351c75;"><br /></span>
<span style="color: #351c75;">生命偉大勝利不在於從不失敗,而在於每次跌倒我們都從信心中站起;</span><br />
<span style="color: #351c75;">The great victory in living lies not never falling,</span><br />
<span style="color: #351c75;">But in rising everytime we fall;</span><br />
<span style="color: #351c75;"><br /></span>
<span style="color: #351c75;">這是一個鼓舞人心的信仰,希望和勇氣的個人旅程故事</span><br />
<br />
<a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Horatio_Spafford" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Horatio Spafford">Horatio Spafford</a> 出生於 1882年10月20日,紐約州特洛伊市- 是一個著名的美國律師,家庭非常有錢,也是一個非常虔誠的基督徒,他與Anna Spafford 結婚,有一位兒子四位女兒,家庭一直很美滿。<br />
<br />
1871年,Horatio Spafford 將自已許多資產投資於 <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.cityofchicago.org/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Chicago">Chicago</a>, <a class="zem_slink" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=44.0,-87.0&spn=0.1,0.1&q=44.0,-87.0%20(Lake%20Michigan)&t=h" rel="geolocation nofollow" title="Lake Michigan">Lake Michigan</a> 房地產,<br />
<br />
1871年10月,Chicago 大火災,他失去他大部分財產,<br />
<br />
1871年同年,Horatio Spafford 兒子因腥熱發燒過世,家庭一度陷入低潮,<br />
<br />
1873年,Horatio Spafford 與Anna 一直期待全家有一個英國旅遊,由於生意耽擱,他就先讓Anna及四位女兒坐遊艇 S.S. Villa Du Havar 英國,他預計幾天後跟過去,<br />
<br />
1873年11月22日,遊艇 S.S. Villa Du Havar 在穿越大西洋時,被一架鐵帆船撞翻,船上226人全喪生包括他四個女兒,僅他太太Anna獲救。幾小時後,Anna 送訊息告訴 <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Horatio_Spafford" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Horatio Spafford">Horatio Spafford</a> "僅她獲救”,他立刻去英國與Anna 相會,這一連串 Horatio Spafford 家庭悲劇,讓他寫下最有名的基督教聖歌 <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/It_Is_Well_with_My_Soul" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="It Is Well with My Soul">It Is Well</a>, With My Soul。後來,他與Anna 就辦一個很大孤兒院每年照顧 30000名孤兒,把他們預備給他們兒女的愛,給更多需要的孩子,成為著名的歷史。<br />
<div>
<br /></div>
<div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">When peace, like a river, attendeth my way,</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">When sorrows like sea billows roll;</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">Whatever my lot, Thou hast taught me to say,</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">It is well, it is well with my soul.</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;"><br /></span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">(Refrain:) It is well (it is well),</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">with my soul (with my soul),</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">It is well, it is well with my soul.</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;"><br /></span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">Though <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Satan" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Satan">Satan</a> should buffet, though trials should come,</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">Let this blest assurance control,</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">That <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christ" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Christ">Christ</a> hath regarded my helpless estate,</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">And hath shed His own blood for my soul. (Refrain)</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;"><br /></span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">My sin, oh the bliss of this glorious thought!</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">My sin, not in part but the whole,</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">Is nailed to His cross, and I bear it no more,</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;"><a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Praise_the_Lord_%28TV_program%29" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Praise the Lord (TV program)">Praise the Lord</a>, praise the Lord, O my soul! (Refrain)</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;"><br /></span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">For me, be it <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christ" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Christ">Christ</a>, be it Christ hence to live:</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">If <a class="zem_slink" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=31.95,35.9333333333&spn=0.1,0.1&q=31.95,35.9333333333%20(Jordan)&t=h" rel="geolocation nofollow" title="Jordan">Jordan</a> above me shall roll,</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">No pain shall be mine, for in death as in life</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">Thou wilt whisper <a class="zem_slink" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=56.8833333333,8.46666666667&spn=1.0,1.0&q=56.8833333333,8.46666666667%20(Thy%20%28district%29)&t=h" rel="geolocation nofollow" title="Thy (district)">Thy</a> peace to my soul. (Refrain)</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;"><br /></span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">And Lord haste the day, when the faith shall be sight,</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">The clouds be rolled back as a scroll;</span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #990000;">The trump shall resound, and the Lord shall descend,</span></div>
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<span style="color: #990000;">Even so, it is well with my soul. (Refrain)</span></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-355574777901076792016-05-07T22:06:00.000-07:002018-09-06T15:41:04.271-07:00主啊! 我的救贖,願我口中的禱告,心裏的意念,在你面前蒙悅納 ( Lord! My Savior! May these words of my pray and this meditation of my heart be pleasing in your sight, Lord! Amen!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-tb3IMfDSQP4/Vy7BB4-5YWI/AAAAAAAAYE0/jTspdxA7oioFpHjHgTm6lmRUlEjt5E5_QCLcB/s1600/Lord%2Bis%2BKing%2B20160507.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-tb3IMfDSQP4/Vy7BB4-5YWI/AAAAAAAAYE0/jTspdxA7oioFpHjHgTm6lmRUlEjt5E5_QCLcB/s400/Lord%2Bis%2BKing%2B20160507.jpg" width="303" /></a></div>
耶和華我的磐石,我的救贖主阿,願我口中的言語,心裏的意念,在你面前蒙悅納。 詩篇 19:14<br />
<br />
May these words of my mouth and this meditation of my heart<br />
be pleasing in your sight,<br />
Lord, my Rock and my Redeemer.<br />
<br />
耶和華我的力量阿,我愛你。 詩篇 18:1<br />
<br />
I love you, Lord, my strength.<br />
<br />
耶和華是我的巖石,我的山寨,我的救主,我的神,我的磐石,我所投靠的‧他是我的盾牌,是拯救我的角,是我的高臺‧<br />
<br />
The Lord is my <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rock_music" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Rock music">rock</a>, my fortress and my deliverer;<br />
my <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/God" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="God">God</a> is my rock, in whom I take refuge,<br />
my shield[b] and the horn[c] of my salvation, my stronghold.<br />
<br />
至於神,祂的道路是完全的;耶和華的話是煉<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-NX8MUwE60do/Vy7B6UpBYkI/AAAAAAAAYFA/TMDHw32yD84qOAreXZunk9wP3PajEz4NgCLcB/s1600/55942d59be519f889e699be10cfb32ff%255B1%255D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-NX8MUwE60do/Vy7B6UpBYkI/AAAAAAAAYFA/TMDHw32yD84qOAreXZunk9wP3PajEz4NgCLcB/s400/55942d59be519f889e699be10cfb32ff%255B1%255D.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
淨的。凡投靠祂的,祂便作他們的盾牌。 詩篇 18:30<br />
<br />
As for God, his way is perfect:<br />
The Lord’s word is flawless;<br />
he shields all who take refuge in him.<br />
<br />
耶和華是我的牧者;我必不至缺乏。 詩篇 23:1<br />
<br />
The Lord is my shepherd; I shall not want.<br />
<br />
我一生一世必有恩惠慈愛隨著我,我且要住在耶和華的殿中,直到永遠。 詩篇 23:6<br />
<br />
Surely goodness and mercy shall follow me all the days of my life: and I will dwell in the house of the Lord for ever.<br />
<b><span style="color: #351c75;"><br /></span></b>
<b><span style="color: #351c75;">主啊! 我在這裡為弟兄、長輩、姐姐、子妹、晚輩向你懇求及禱告,希望他們能在主耶穌基督之憐憫、祝福中,能得著醫治及健康、充滿希望、凡事能祝福像以利亞幫助信心的寡婦一樣,得著拯救及復興,阿們!</span></b><br />
<br />
The Widow’s Olive Oil<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-eetj2QrZ0J8/U0qxZqkOMzI/AAAAAAAAOHo/VkLjBz8DLyU/s1600/084-084-jesus-blesses-the-nephite-children-full.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-eetj2QrZ0J8/U0qxZqkOMzI/AAAAAAAAOHo/VkLjBz8DLyU/s1600/084-084-jesus-blesses-the-nephite-children-full.jpg" width="302" /></a></div>
4 The wife of a man from the company of the prophets cried out to <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elisha" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Elisha">Elisha</a>, “Your servant my husband is dead, and you know that he revered the Lord. But now his creditor is coming to take my two boys as his slaves.”<br />
<br />
2 Elisha replied to her, “How can I help you? Tell me, what do you have in your house?”<br />
<br />
“Your servant has nothing there at all,” she said, “except a small jar of <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Olive_oil" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Olive oil">olive oil</a>.”<br />
<br />
3 Elisha said, “Go around and ask all your neighbors for empty <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jar" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Jar">jars</a>. Don’t ask for just a few. 4 Then go inside and shut the door behind you and your sons. Pour oil into all the jars, and as each is filled, put it to one side.”<br />
<br />
5 She left him and shut the door behind her and her sons. They brought the jars to her and she kept pouring. 6 When all the jars were full, she said to her son, “Bring me another one.”<br />
<br />
But he replied, “There is not a jar left.” Then the oil stopped flowing.<br />
<br />
7 She went and told the <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Man_of_God" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Man of God">man of God</a>, and he said, “Go, sell the oil and pay your debts. You and your sons can live on what is left.”<br />
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-75340049356091125142016-03-04T08:43:00.002-08:002018-09-06T15:42:42.651-07:00神阿,我們在你的殿中,想念你的慈愛。 ( Within your temple, O God, we meditate on your unfailing love. )<a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-RNhUePvfDBc/UuUaS7W6xdI/AAAAAAAANLg/Hea_mnnHliE/s1600/faro-capospartivento1%255B1%255D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="253" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-RNhUePvfDBc/UuUaS7W6xdI/AAAAAAAANLg/Hea_mnnHliE/s1600/faro-capospartivento1%255B1%255D.jpg" width="400" /></a>神阿,我們在你的殿中,想念你的慈愛。 詩篇 48:9<br />
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Within your temple, O <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/God" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="God">God</a>, we meditate on your unfailing love. Psalm 48.9<br />
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願耶和華使祂的面光照你,賜恩給你; 民數記 6:25<br />
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The <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lord" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Lord">Lord</a> make his face shine on you and be gracious to you; <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Book_of_Numbers" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Book of Numbers">Numbers</a> 6:25<br />
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願耶和華向你仰臉,賜你平安。 民數記 6:26<br />
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The Lord turn his face toward you and give you peace.”Numbers 6:26<br />
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主啊! 我在這裡為弟兄、長輩、姐姐、子妹、晚輩向你懇求及禱告,希望他們能在主耶穌基督之憐憫、祝福中,能更健康、心情愉快、充滿希望,阿們!<br />
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-42279184813461159842014-05-30T09:05:00.001-07:002014-05-30T09:10:06.384-07:00普世宣教史之研究 - 好書介紹 ( A Global Mission History From Jesus to Post-Reformation 26-1689 A.D.)<div dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1.15; margin-bottom: 5pt; margin-top: 0pt;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-family: Arial; font-size: 27px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><b><span style="color: #990000;">普世宣教史之研究</span></b></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: large; line-height: 1.15; text-indent: 148.08pt; white-space: pre-wrap;"><b>從</b></span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.15; text-indent: 148.08pt; white-space: pre-wrap;">耶穌時代至改教運動後為止 </span><span style="font-family: Arial; line-height: 1.15; text-indent: 148.08pt; white-space: pre-wrap;">(26-1689 <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anno_Domini" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Anno Domini">A.D.</a>)</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.15; text-indent: 148.08pt; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; line-height: 1.15; text-indent: 148.08pt; white-space: pre-wrap;">A Global Mission History</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.15; text-indent: 148.08pt; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.15; text-indent: 182.4pt; white-space: pre-wrap;">From <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jesus" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Jesus">Jesus</a> to Post-Reformation (26-1689 A.D.) </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.15; text-indent: 182.4pt; white-space: pre-wrap;">作者/發行/郝安倫, Alain R. Haudenschild 協助出版/活石文化事業有限公司, 台北市光復南路 505 號 11 樓之 4 出版日期 / 2014 年 3 月: <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Standard_Book_Number" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="International Standard Book Number">ISBN</a> 978-986-88828-9-8(平裝)</span></div>
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<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-kmDZnQ89QaA/U4iptxLWZpI/AAAAAAAAO2w/fd1sX8XE-z8/w414-h552-no/20140530_232736.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-kmDZnQ89QaA/U4iptxLWZpI/AAAAAAAAO2w/fd1sX8XE-z8/w414-h552-no/20140530_232736.jpg" height="400" width="300" /></a></div>
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<span id="docs-internal-guid-a2c891ab-4dc9-f088-3455-32f7fbdf2e21"><span style="font-family: Arial; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b>熱</b>情推介</span> 本書從一個 宏觀的嶄新角度,比較了「主的大使命」 (The LORD’s <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Commission" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Great Commission">Great Commission</a>) 在世界各個主要的 文化與不同傳統教會禮儀背景下的發展,甚至還包括 了臺灣早期宣教的歷史。全書內容豐富,超過七百個 註腳,六十幅地圖,三十幅歷史表格以及多幅圖像, 讓讀者能夠很快地熟悉宣教事工的關鍵事件與方法。 作者引述了多種語言的書目,這對想要研讀基督教文 化與其所帶來的宣教影響的學者是很具吸引力的。<b>華 人基督教世界正處在轉換為跨文化宣教的時代</b></span></span><span style="font-family: Arial; white-space: pre-wrap;">,</span><span style="font-family: Arial; line-height: 1.15; white-space: pre-wrap;"><b>本書從嶄新的觀點整合了各個處於不同文化的基督教宗派 在聖經教導下所發展出來的宣教方法</b></span><span style="font-family: Arial; white-space: pre-wrap;">,</span><span style="font-family: Arial; line-height: 1.15; white-space: pre-wrap;">除了有趣的研 究材料之外</span><span style="font-family: Arial; line-height: 1.15; white-space: pre-wrap;">,</span><b><span style="font-family: Arial; line-height: 1.15; white-space: pre-wrap;">作者還及時提供了歷史與宣教的洞見</span><span style="font-family: Arial; line-height: 1.15; white-space: pre-wrap;">,</span></b><span style="font-family: Arial; line-height: 1.15; white-space: pre-wrap;"><b>來幫助讀者進行華人世界宣教學的背景研究</b>。我熱誠 地推薦 這本書給想要在華人或非華人世界中預備從 事各種宣教事工的人。(江萬里 博士/ 教授 <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Professor" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Professor">Prof</a>. Dr. Stephen W. Chiang 中國社會科學院,哲學研究所,東方文化研究中心,臺灣文化研究部門)。</span></div>
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<span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b>本</b></span>書作者 : </span><span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;">作者郝安倫博士Dr. Alain R. Haudenschild 是瑞士藉牧師與教牧博士 (<a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doctor_of_Ministry" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Doctor of Ministry">D.Min.</a>)。在台灣傳福音多年,透過聖靈祝福認識</span><span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;">郝安倫博士及他妻子 Rita</span><span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;">,領悟</span><span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;">聖靈</span><span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;">福音流水二十年前陸續呼召歐、美</span><span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;">宣教</span><span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;">牧者來台播種</span><span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;">,好讓</span><span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;">台灣之華人能聽到主的</span><span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;">福音並經歷</span><span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;">聖靈神奇</span><span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;">流水</span><span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;">,感謝主對我們的愛</span><span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;">,阿門!</span></div>
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<span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b>他</b></span>接受德國差傳協會 ( DMG interpersonal e.V., <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.sinsheim.de/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Sinsheim">Sinsheim</a> 德國 ) 差派,成為國際差傳協會 ( <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.send.org/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="SEND International">SEND International</a> ) 的宣教士,在<b>台灣從事教會拓殖以及特別的宣教事工多年</b>。作者在2002年加入中華基督教福音協進會 ( <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christianity_in_China" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Christianity in China">Chinese Christian</a> Evangelistic Association )承擔跨文化宣</span><br />
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<span style="line-height: 16.727272033691406px;">教的推廣之後,他便致力於宣教的研究,翻譯宣教資訊,進行宣教課程的教育與電子式的出版。他總是將台灣未得之民放在心上。 據說許多人是從他的書和部落格得知,「關顧在台外籍人士委員會」TECC)正在對台灣常被人忽視的泰國,越南語,印尼與菲律賓移民進行教會拓殖的工作。作者在2003年於德國Korntal的Akademie für Weltmission獲得碩士學位,<b>當時他的第一篇論文是關於台灣的客家族群~一個近乎福音未得的漢族群體之研究</b>,獲得「德國福音派宣教學協會(Arbeitskreis für evangelikale Mission, AfeM)」的 『喬治•彼得推廣,』獎 (George W. <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.crunchbase.com/person/peter-price" rel="crunchbase nofollow" title="Peter Price">Peter Price</a> of Promotion)。他在2011年於台北道生神學院的碩士論文研究在非基督教環境下的聖經處境化之教會拓殖。本書是作者2013年在台北道生神學院的教牧博士論文。</span></div>
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<span id="docs-internal-guid-a2c891ab-4dd8-f991-0a17-461cee576ca4"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">僅適用於個人直接購買: 1 本特價 300 元(無收據) 原價:350.-NT$(含稅) </span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">國家圖書館出版品 預行編目資料: 普世宣教史之研究 : 從耶穌時代至改教運動後為止 (26-1689 A.D.) / 郝安倫作 .– 臺北市 : 活石文化,2014.3 網 址 / <a href="http://www.livingstone.com.tw/" target="_blank">http://www.livingstone.com.tw</a> 電 郵 / <a href="mailto:office@livingstone.com.tw">office@livingstone.com.tw</a> ISBN </span></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-25735302033287730532014-04-30T17:47:00.000-07:002016-05-07T21:43:11.887-07:00富人稅其實是變相調高綜所稅,更突顯馬政府欺騙苛待勞工,為什麼?<a href="http://news.cnyes.com/Content/20140226/KITPF62S20377.shtml" target="_blank">富人稅爆移民潮?</a><br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-Izeg2R8qcU0/U2EhBgdFO0I/AAAAAAAAOVo/Z-1j-BFFBTU/s1600/1780671_741482809203834_1528295140_n%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="225" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-Izeg2R8qcU0/U2EhBgdFO0I/AAAAAAAAOVo/Z-1j-BFFBTU/s1600/1780671_741482809203834_1528295140_n%5B1%5D.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">台灣稅制分配根本不公平, 富人稅其實是變相調高綜所稅, <a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2013/05/blog-post_7160.html" target="_blank">更突顯高收</a><br />
<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2013/05/blog-post_7160.html" target="_blank">入勞工繳的稅率是45%, 勞工整體繳的綜所稅占稅收24.5%, 而政府歲</a><br />
<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2013/05/blog-post_7160.html" target="_blank">出給勞工之勞保及就業補助卻低於3.08%, 苛待台灣勞工之政府</a></td></tr>
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財政部公布財政健全方案,將修正綜合所得稅稅率結構,新增年綜合所得淨額超過1000萬元者,所得稅率45%,也就是俗稱的富人稅,商總理事長賴正鎰強烈批評是「懲罰台灣人」,恐將逼富豪出走,掀起移民潮;財政部長張盛和今(26)日則直言,「賺1100萬多繳5萬元就要移民?這個言過其實啦」,相信他們不會走。<br />
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財政健全方案具體內容引來各界高度關注,財政部長張盛和在24日下午親自召開記者會,正式對外公布,他強調,稅制調整只是五大財源籌措項目之一,針對稅制調整方案分成短期及中長期兩大部分;張盛和同時提出「回饋稅」(feedback tax)的構想,新增年所得淨額超過1000萬元者,綜合所得稅率45%,統計約有9500人,要多繳5%的綜合所得稅,讓少數行業或高所得者多回饋社會,使多數人受益。<br />
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財政部將開徵富人稅,連日來引發討論,<b>商總理事長賴正鎰強烈砲轟,認為「懲罰台灣人」,恐將逼富豪出走,他強調,這樣做反彈會很大,財政部長應該要下台</b>,本周將邀集六大工商團體討論,表達企業界的不滿。<br />
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張盛和今(26)日接受廣播節目主持人周玉蔻專訪,周玉蔻針對賴正鎰的反彈提出詢問,張盛和表示,相信是言過其實,他們在台灣可以賺那麼多錢,現在那個地方可以讓他們賺這麼多?相信他們不會走,賺這麼多錢,回饋一點,賺1100萬元多繳5萬元就要移民?言過其實啦。<br />
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張盛和說,富人稅是國際趨勢,以日本為例,2015年起,年所得超過4000萬日圓(約新台幣1200萬元)部分,新增稅率45%;法國2012年起,年所得超過15萬歐元(約新台幣615萬元)的高所得者,新增稅率45%。<br />
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美國2014年年所得超過406750美元(約新台幣1220萬5500元)之單身申報者,年所得超過457600美元(約新台幣1372萬8000元)之合併申報者,最高級距稅率由35%調高至39.6%。<br />
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他表示,修正綜合所得稅稅率結構,讓高所得者多回饋社會,以日本來說,高所得者多課2%的稅,美國也有同樣的情況,台灣目前最高稅率為40%,將新增年所得淨額1000萬元以上者,綜合所得稅稅率45%,讓高所得者多繳5%的稅。<br />
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<a href="http://web2.yzu.edu.tw/e_news/621/6_student.html" target="_blank">開徵富人稅 縮短貧富差距?</a></div>
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<a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-hW-AlE-eOFI/U2EgdpkVwZI/AAAAAAAAOVg/ECQl2xA3oDI/s1600/3%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-hW-AlE-eOFI/U2EgdpkVwZI/AAAAAAAAOVg/ECQl2xA3oDI/s1600/3%5B1%5D.jpg" /></a></div>
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台灣貧富差距日漸擴大,為縮短人民貧富差距,行政院長吳敦義表示,只要立法院支持,不排除開徵富人稅,如奢侈稅、豪宅稅,並先追討欠稅金額很大,又招搖過市的大戶。有民眾認為,此舉對於縮小貧富差距多少有幫助,至少能平復窮人心理。但也有人表示,開徵富人稅僅能治標不能治本,效果不顯著。</div>
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吳敦義表示,目前台灣雖沒有「富人稅」的稅目,但對於高所得、高消費以及擁有高度財產者,已課有較重的稅,但為了縮小貧富差距,稅制可再作討論。目前稅法中與富人稅最類似的稅目,例如土地增值稅就是資本利得稅,地價稅也是富人稅的觀念。財政部官員指出,「奢侈稅」的稅收,第一階段鎖定豪宅、高價汽車、重型機車、私人飛機及遊艇等五項;其中,豪宅課稅納入房屋稅及地價稅討論,重型機車先排除,剩下高價汽車、私人飛機及遊艇三項,若決定開徵奢侈稅,可能加重貨物稅。</div>
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財政部長李述德則認為,租稅制度的改變並不能縮小貧富差距,且富人稅或奢侈稅必須有適當內容後於適當時機提出,台灣民眾應明白,開徵富人稅並不能解決所有問題,賦稅改革必須逐步前進。另外,李述德也表示,貧富差距過大,是因為低所得者的收入太低,政府因應的決策應是增加人民就業率,鼓勵民眾投資並增加企業的收入,來提高勞動者的薪資所得,不足的部分再透過租稅辦法來處理。</div>
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<b>筆者認為,富人稅的定義很難制定,何種標準稱為富人?高收入者就稱為富人?</b>但現今許多高收入者所申報的收入並不屬實,在一般課稅上,都鑽取法律漏洞逃稅,那麼即使日後開徵富人稅,也無法根據收入高低來開徵富人稅。也許富人稅可先從高價值的貨物稅開徵,例如名車、精品、珠寶等。</div>
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有人認為,開徵富人稅雖然無法減少低收入者的增加,但至少能平復民眾的心理。筆者認為,民眾應理性思考開徵富人稅的實用性以及長遠性,並不是只為了讓富人能被課較高稅而立此稅目。民眾須思考的是尋求貧富差距問題的真正解決之道, 而不是僅滿足一時心理的不平而已。</div>
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2013 台灣經濟仍是嚴峻 - 失業率4.25% 創今年新高,實質薪資倒退16年,政府支出給勞工補助也是全世界最少!<br />
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根據行政院主計總處統計,今年1至6月平均薪資為4萬8,651元,較去年同期減少0.61%,如果再扣除同期間消費者物價上漲1.31%,實質平均薪資為4萬7,557元,較去年同期減少1.9%,為近4年來最低,倒退回16年前的水準。<br />
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主計總處今(22)日發布6月薪資與生產力統計結果,6月經常性薪資為3萬7,708元,年增率0.78%;平均薪資為4萬2,934元,年增率0.21%。累計1至6月平均經常性薪資為3萬7,604元,較去年同期增加0.68%;1至6月平均薪資為4萬8,651元,較去年同期減少0.61%,主要是年初廠商減少發放年終獎金及績效獎金所致。<br />
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: right; margin-left: 1em; text-align: right;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-SKDIEFCPdCw/U2a8vd90yvI/AAAAAAAAObw/s8aOqTfr02U/s1600/investment%5B1%5D.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="176" src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-SKDIEFCPdCw/U2a8vd90yvI/AAAAAAAAObw/s8aOqTfr02U/s1600/investment%5B1%5D.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span style="background-color: white; color: #333333; font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif; line-height: 15.959999084472656px;">引用: </span><a href="http://techorange.com/2014/05/02/apple-or-foxconn-which-one-you-will-choose/" style="background-color: white; color: #6699cc; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; line-height: 15.959999084472656px; text-decoration: none;" target="_blank">【台灣工程師的矽谷故事】</a><span style="background-color: white; color: #333333; font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif; line-height: 15.959999084472656px;">如果你可以擁有一間公司,</span><br />
<span style="background-color: white; color: #333333; font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif; line-height: 15.959999084472656px;">你想要鴻海還是蘋果?</span></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<br />
主計總公布7月失業人數48.7萬人,較6月增加1.4萬人,其中初次尋職失業者增加1萬人,因季節性或臨時性工作結束,與對原有工作不滿意而失業者,增加3000人與2000人,因工作場所歇業或緊縮失業者減少1000人。<br />
<br />
<b>主計總處公布7月失業率4.25%,創今年以來最高,主要受到畢業生求職影響,其中20到24歲年輕人失業率超過14%</b>,是各年齡層之冠。<br />
<br />
<ul>
<li>主因</li>
<ul>
<li><b><a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2012/02/blog-post_28.html" target="_blank">台灣投資率不足、產業升級緩慢</a>是真正影響實質薪資倒退主因</b>;</li>
<li><a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2013/01/blog-post.html" target="_blank">投資環境不夠優</a>、產業升級緩慢、產業外移嚴重是另一主因;</li>
<li>政府大部份資源及政府支出 83% 都給了政府體系相關人員之經常性支出,每年政府支出只有 3.08%用在勞保及就業補助且逐年減少,政府支出於鼓勵企業投資部分更低,形同勞工只是政府繳稅工具而已,而中小企業老闆都屬於勞保,更讓許多勞工不再支持政府;</li>
<li>台灣不僅全世界政府支出分配給勞工最少之國家,<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2013/02/blog-post_15.html" target="_blank">還變相利用『勞工保險條例第2條規定』用勞保基金支出勞工社會福利</a>,5年來造成勞保基金流失幾千億,馬政府為什麼要這樣迫害勞保基金呢?</li>
<li>台灣經濟是否恢復 - 須以失業率、薪資成長率為主要觀察指標;</li>
</ul>
</ul>
<br /></div>
<div>
分析<br />
<ul>
<li>依目前富人稅其實是變相調高綜所稅,因為淨收入1000萬之人民仍是繳稅有勞保身份之高收入勞工,1000萬淨收入也不表示他是富豪,<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2012/12/president-ma-you-or-who-abducted-our.html" target="_blank">只是讓勞工每年繳的綜所稅總額增加至3200億占稅收24.6%,而政府給勞工勞保補助卻小於政府支出之2.9%,更突顯馬政府欺騙苛待勞工而已</a>;</li>
<li><a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2014/03/blog-post.html" target="_blank">政府稅收分配極度不公平</a>:政府的稅收每 1000 元僅有低於 29 元支出給勞工勞保補助,加上勞工與雇主繳給勞保局90%勞保費,將來勞工退休時變成勞保年金,<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2012/04/blog-post_15.html" target="_blank">問題是勞保投保薪資是被壓低在 43900 NT</a>,而許多勞工社會福利包含生育、傷病、失能等非屬於勞工退休福利竟由勞保基金來支出,這些勞工社會福利本來就該由勞工整體繳的稅來分攤,勞工整體繳的稅本來就該照顧勞工,也就是說台灣稅制最大不公平是來自於稅收分配之不公、嚴重苛待勞工;( 我個人認為高收入勞工較贊成勞工繳的稅僅幫助增加勞保補助,這才能真正幫助有繳稅之弱勢勞工,更何況 1000萬勞工繳的稅多但稅收分配之勞保補助極少,<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2014/03/blog-post.html" target="_blank">勞工之勞保退休金也遠不如軍公教退休俸,極度苛待勞工</a> );</li>
<li>2012政府一年花超過 1.93兆之浪費造成的債務,勞工繳稅占總稅收24.5%,自政府給勞工勞保補助卻小於政府支出之2.9%,<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2012/12/president-ma-you-or-who-abducted-our.html" target="_blank">根本都不是勞工造成債務,為什麼要過去繳稅占總稅收最多的勞工幫那些過去沒繳稅之軍教人員負擔你們的債務?</a>卻先砍勞工退休福利,超不公平!</li>
<li><a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2013/01/why-is-taiwan-salary-level-flat-long.html" target="_blank">勞工薪資成長倒數之國家主因: 投資環境沒優勢、投資率低、產業升級、慢外資直接投資少、政府獎勵創業投資稅制差</a>,<b>建議應該加高綜所稅 45% 之富人稅時同時給與1000萬級高收入之富人投資新創企業之稅率減免</b>,更能幫助勞工薪資成長,稅收反而增加。</li>
<li>台灣民間投資率遲緩主因:富人投資新創企業之稅率過高,新創企業之技術團隊員工配股稅制也不合理,技術團隊員工配股時仍是未上市股,未上市股是無法交易卻馬上要科稅,也就造成新創企業都到海外成立總公司,台灣技術團隊變成分公司,中央及地方政府每年花超過 2.2兆之經常支出浪費造成的債務也造成對投資新創企業之稅率過高,<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2014/01/ecfatpp-rcepecfa2013gdp.html" target="_blank"><b>危害之大如李明博批評:“公務員已經到了阻礙時代發展的危險境地</b></a>。</li>
</ul>
</div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-2055923393426871142014-04-13T09:11:00.002-07:002018-09-06T15:43:41.032-07:00主,你真偉大,我們渴慕你,阿門! ( How Great Thou Art - Carrie Underwood, Whitney Houston, Alan Jackson .. )<b><span style="color: #741b47;"><a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/How_Great_Thou_Art_%28hymn%29" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="How Great Thou Art (hymn)">How Great Thou Art</a> Lyrics</span></b><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-eetj2QrZ0J8/U0qxZqkOMzI/AAAAAAAAOHo/VkLjBz8DLyU/s1600/084-084-jesus-blesses-the-nephite-children-full.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><span style="color: #741b47;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-eetj2QrZ0J8/U0qxZqkOMzI/AAAAAAAAOHo/VkLjBz8DLyU/s1600/084-084-jesus-blesses-the-nephite-children-full.jpg" width="241" /></span></a></div>
<span style="color: #741b47;"><br /></span> <span style="color: #741b47;">Verse 1:</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">O <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lord" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Lord">Lord</a> my <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/God" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="God">God</a>, When I in awesome wonder,</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">Consider all the worlds <a class="zem_slink" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=56.8833333333,8.46666666667&spn=1.0,1.0&q=56.8833333333,8.46666666667%20(Thy%20%28district%29)&t=h" rel="geolocation nofollow" title="Thy (district)">Thy</a> Hands have made;</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">I see the stars, I hear the rolling thunder,</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">Thy power throughout the universe displayed.</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;"><br /></span> <span style="color: #741b47;">Chorus:</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">Then sings my soul, My Saviour God, to Thee,</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">How great Thou art, How great Thou art.</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;"><br /></span> <span style="color: #741b47;">Then sings my soul, My Saviour God, to Thee,</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">How great Thou art, How great Thou art!</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;"><br /></span> <span style="color: #741b47;">Verse 2:</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">When through the woods, and forest glades I wander,</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">And hear the birds sing sweetly in the trees.</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">When I look down, from lofty mountain grandeur</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">And see the brook, and feel the gentle breeze.</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;"><br /></span> <span style="color: #741b47;">Chorus</span><br />
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<span style="color: #741b47;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-0DxavKZN2ik/U0qzkOfPIyI/AAAAAAAAOH0/0L3GsJQdNRU/s1600/ArtBook__055_055__JesusWashingTheApostlesFeet____.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="212" src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-0DxavKZN2ik/U0qzkOfPIyI/AAAAAAAAOH0/0L3GsJQdNRU/s1600/ArtBook__055_055__JesusWashingTheApostlesFeet____.jpg" width="320" /></a></span></div>
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<span style="color: #741b47;"><br /></span> <span style="color: #741b47;">Verse 3:</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">And when I think, that God, His Son not sparing;</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">Sent Him to die, I scarce can take it in;</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">That on the Cross, my burden gladly bearing,</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">He bled and died to take away my sin.</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;"><br /></span> <span style="color: #741b47;">Chorus</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;"><br /></span> <span style="color: #741b47;">Verse 4:</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">When <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christ" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Christ">Christ</a> shall come, with shout of acclamation,</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">And take me home, what joy shall fill my heart.</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">Then I shall bow, in humble adoration,</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">And then proclaim: "My God, how great Thou art!"</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;"><br /></span> <span style="color: #741b47;">主,你真偉大,我們渴慕你,你的恩膏,讓我們平安健康</span><span style="color: #741b47;">,</span><span style="color: #741b47;">你的救恩,讓我們從罪中得救,阿門!</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">主,你真偉大,我們愛慕你,思念主恩,讓我們心常喜樂,你的恩膏,讓我們從罪中得救,阿門!</span><br />
<span style="color: #741b47;">主,你真偉大,我們思念你,心懷主恩,讓我們時時豐盛,你的恩膏,讓我們從罪中得救,阿門!</span><br />
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-23208555205516803592014-04-05T23:46:00.001-07:002018-09-06T15:44:38.793-07:00Lorenza Ponce 及 Bon Jovi 照片 - You Want To Make A Memory <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.lorenzaponce.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Lorenza Ponce">Lorenza Ponce</a> is an American violinist, vocalist, string arranger. Growing up on a farm in <a class="zem_slink" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=39.0,-76.7&spn=3.0,3.0&q=39.0,-76.7%20(Maryland)&t=h" rel="geolocation nofollow" title="Maryland">Maryland</a>, Lorenza had a prescient idea of her career path. “Even though I chose the violin, I always knew I would be a non-classical musician, and as soon as I found out that there was a <a class="zem_slink" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=40.6641666667,-73.9386111111&spn=0.1,0.1&q=40.6641666667,-73.9386111111%20(New%20York%20City)&t=h" rel="geolocation nofollow" title="New York City">NYC</a>,<br />
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I knew that was where I would live. So as soon as I was legal, that’s where I headed.”<br />
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The multi-talented musician Lorenza Ponce has toured the world playing violin alongside such artists as <a class="zem_slink" href="http://benfolds.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Ben Folds">Ben Folds</a>, <a class="zem_slink" href="http://bonjovi.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Jon Bon Jovi">Jon Bon Jovi</a>, <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.sherylcrow.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Sheryl Crow">Sheryl Crow</a>, <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.tesh.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="John Tesh">John Tesh</a> (!) and <a class="zem_slink" href="http://thrivingivory.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Thriving Ivory">Thriving Ivory</a>. As Lorenza explains, her rock debut Soul Shifter represents “a style change from the classical training and new age music of my past, while incorporating the ‘graduate degree’ I have earned at the school of rock star employers and mentors.”<br />
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Ever eager to take to the road as well as developing her solo work, Lorenza toured with new agers Kitaro and John Tesh and appears in the An Enchanted Evening and One World videos documenting those shows. <a class="zem_slink" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=18.0,-66.6166666667&spn=0.1,0.1&q=18.0,-66.6166666667%20(Ponce%2C%20Puerto%20Rico)&t=h" rel="geolocation nofollow" title="Ponce, Puerto Rico">Ponce</a>’s strength as a performer/instrumentalist was recognized by <a class="zem_slink" href="http://sptimes.ru/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="The St. Petersburg Times">The St. Petersburg Times</a>: “Ponce is a violin virtuoso, plucking her strings while singing on the ethereal ‘Canta Domine.’”<br />
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-47692128736906390982014-01-25T15:55:00.000-08:002018-09-06T15:45:26.267-07:00葛妮絲·派特洛照片及事業, Charlotte Church 情歌 ( Gwyneth Paltrow Style Picture and her carrer )<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-_OVI3SoizBc/UuRHZKr16bI/AAAAAAAANKc/a_P0iOOw5fs/s1600/gwyneth-paltrow-its-all-good-cookbook%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="240" src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-_OVI3SoizBc/UuRHZKr16bI/AAAAAAAANKc/a_P0iOOw5fs/s1600/gwyneth-paltrow-its-all-good-cookbook%5B1%5D.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
<a class="zem_slink" href="http://twitter.com/gwynethpaltrow" rel="twitter nofollow" title="Gwyneth Paltrow">Gwyneth Kate Paltrow</a> is an <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Actor" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Actor">American actress</a>, singer, and <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Food_writing" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Food writing">food writer</a>. She made her acting debut on stage in 1990 and started appearing in films in 1991.<br />
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葛妮絲·派特洛 ( Gwyneth Kate Paltrow ) 她的外表也很像盎格魯-撒克遜人後裔,但她母親卻是蘇格蘭-愛爾蘭血統,父親是俄羅斯猶太人。她的父母在影視界都是名人:已故的父親Bruce Paltrow是電視製片人和導演,母親Blythe Danner是著名的演員。她曾經在加利福尼亞大學聖塔芭芭拉分校修習人類學,後來放棄學業並投身影視事業。她第一部電影是1991年的《Shout》,同年在史匹柏導演的《虎克船長》中扮演角色。 1995年她參與演出《火線追緝令》時,並與男主角布萊德·彼特約會。直到兩年後分手,兩人的關係一直是媒體競相報導的熱點。1996年她在《愛瑪》中的演出獲得了廣泛好評。<br />
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In 2008 she co-wrote the book <a class="zem_slink" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=40.4333333333,-3.7&spn=10.0,10.0&q=40.4333333333,-3.7%20(Spain)&t=h" rel="geolocation nofollow" title="Spain">Spain</a>... A Culinary Road Trip with <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.mariobatali.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Mario Batali">Mario Batali</a>. In 2011, she wrote a book titled <u><b>My Father's Daughter</b>: Delicious, Easy Recipes Celebrating Family and Togetherness</u>. That same year she penned the book Notes From the Kitchen Table. Two years later she published a book titled <u><b>It's All Good</b>: Delicious Easy Recipes</u> That Will Make You Look Good and Feel <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Comet" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Great Comet">Great</a>. That year she wrote a foreword for a book by <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.helloross.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Ross Mathews">Ross Matthews</a> titled <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Man_Up%21" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Man Up!">Man Up!</a> Tales of My Delusional Self-Confidence. 葛妮絲·派特洛 ( Gwyneth Kate Paltrow ) 她很聰明還知道如何擴展她寫作與興趣之才華成為新事業。<br />
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<object classid="clsid:D27CDB6E-AE6D-11cf-96B8-444553540000" height="200" id="gsPlaylist5909794054" name="gsPlaylist5909794054" width="480"><param name="movie" value="http://grooveshark.com/widget.swf" /><param name="wmode" value="window" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="flashvars" value="hostname=grooveshark.com&playlistID=59097940&p=0&bbg=000000&bth=000000&pfg=000000&lfg=000000&bt=ffffff&pbg=ffffff&pfgh=ffffff&si=ffffff&lbg=ffffff&lfgh=ffffff&sb=ffffff&bfg=666666&pbgh=666666&lbgh=666666&sbh=666666" /><object type="application/x-shockwave-flash" data="http://grooveshark.com/widget.swf" width="480" height="200"><param name="wmode" value="window" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="flashvars" value="hostname=grooveshark.com&playlistID=59097940&p=0&bbg=000000&bth=000000&pfg=000000&lfg=000000&bt=ffffff&pbg=ffffff&pfgh=ffffff&si=ffffff&lbg=ffffff&lfgh=ffffff&sb=ffffff&bfg=666666&pbgh=666666&lbgh=666666&sbh=666666" /><span><a href="http://grooveshark.com/search/playlist?q=Jessica%20Andrews%20trueoflife" title="Jessica Andrews by trueoflife on Grooveshark">Jessica Andrews by trueoflife on Grooveshark</a></span></object></object>
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<span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i><span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">I always see your face</span><span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span></i></span></div>
<div dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>The corner of your smile</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>And all the little things that no one will ever know</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>Like it was yesterday, won't ever fade away</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>Goodbye is just a word that I will never say</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>You will never be forgotten</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>A million days could pass us by</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i><a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-JWBsJsu52e4/UpfdnQP9SOI/AAAAAAAAMDQ/0D-qen7lcIg/s1600/5a6707f89204ed510a615d22a044a460%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-JWBsJsu52e4/UpfdnQP9SOI/AAAAAAAAMDQ/0D-qen7lcIg/s400/5a6707f89204ed510a615d22a044a460%5B1%5D.jpg" width="287" /></a></i></span></div>
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<div dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>But what is time but just a dream</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>Oh I still feel you here with me</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>You're more than a memory</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>Oh you will never be forgotten</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>I can't hold your hand</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>Or look into your eyes</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>And when I talk to you</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>It just echoes in my mind</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>But If hearts are made of dust</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>And if we fell from the stars</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>I look up tonight and know just where you are</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>You will never be forgotten</i></span></span></div>
<div dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>A million days could pass us by</i></span></span></div>
<div dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>But what is time but just a dream</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>Oh I still feel you here with me</i></span></span></div>
<div dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>You're more than a memory</i></span></span></div>
<div dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>Oh you will never be forgotten</i></span></span></div>
<div dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>And the world just keeps on going</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>It has no way of knowing</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>That you're gone</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>You will never be forgotten</i></span></span></div>
<div dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>A million days could pass us by</i></span></span></div>
<div dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>But what is time but just a dream</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>Oh I still feel you here with me</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>You're more than a memory</i></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: transparent; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="color: #674ea7; font-family: "georgia" , "times new roman" , serif;"><i>Oh you will never be forgotten </i></span></span></div>
<b id="docs-internal-guid-6a0d8648-a132-bd67-9cab-71654e338159" style="font-weight: normal;"><b id="docs-internal-guid-6a0d8648-a133-2c36-9059-79bab9eb47ef" style="font-weight: normal;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: black; font-family: "verdana"; font-size: 13px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span><br /><span style="background-color: transparent; color: black; font-family: "verdana"; font-size: 13px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span></b></b>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-46816639949077425112013-11-26T16:05:00.001-08:002013-11-26T20:56:06.186-08:00Sony、Google 及 Samsung 都投入啟動穿戴式智慧裝置市場 - 至 2018 每年將有130億美元市場( Google、Sony and Samsung will surge up the wearable computing market and reach 13 billion in 2018)<div>
<a href="http://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20131126004506-260412" target="_blank">SONY 智慧假髮 導航量血壓皆可</a><br />
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<a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-CefICnlVPcM/UpUvsI_nN9I/AAAAAAAAMCY/PBj2hU0esTk/s1600/16-women-wigs%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-CefICnlVPcM/UpUvsI_nN9I/AAAAAAAAMCY/PBj2hU0esTk/s320/16-women-wigs%5B1%5D.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
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以隨身聽 Walkman 打開可攜式音樂播放器風潮的索尼公司( <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:SNE" rel="googlefinance nofollow" title="NYSE: SNE">Sony Corp.</a> ),正在美國申請智慧型假髮 SmartWig 的專利,這種假髮可用於導航、測量血壓或控制投影片。<br />
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索尼在遞交美國專利商標局(USPTO)的文件中指出,假髮可與另1個裝置無線溝通,並包含觸覺回饋功能。索尼說,視款式而定,這種假髮可能內建相機、雷射筆與全球定位系統(GPS)感應器。<br />
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眼鏡、手表與耳機等穿戴式科技的開發,隨著消費者尋求將電腦整合到日常生活中的新方法而逐漸擴展。為了在這塊Juniper Research預估5年內規模將躍增約13倍至190億美元的市場立足,這場競賽吸引索尼、谷歌公司(Google Inc.)和三星電子公司( <a class="zem_slink" href="http://samsung.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Samsung Electronics">Samsung Electronics Co.</a> )等企業競相投入。<br />
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<a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-57boUtXdG6I/UpUwFQX5bII/AAAAAAAAMCg/S5TCtOQvups/s1600/top15%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-57boUtXdG6I/UpUwFQX5bII/AAAAAAAAMCg/S5TCtOQvups/s320/top15%5B1%5D.jpg" width="272" /></a>索尼表示,SmartWig 的製造成分可能來自「馬毛、人類毛髮、羊毛、羽毛、犛牛毛、水牛毛或任何種類的人造物質」。<br />
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這項產品由任職於索尼電腦科學實驗室( Sony Computer Science Laboratories Inc. )的飛田宏明(Hiroaki Tobita)發明,專利申請時間是在5月10日。索尼發言人高橋沙織(Saori Takahashi)證實這項申請。<br />
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高橋沙織透過電話表示:「這項科技是否商業化,目前尚未決定。研究過程正在持續當中。」<br />
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高橋沙織說,這種假髮有3種原型。Presentation Wig 內建雷射光點,能夠藉由在這項裝置上左右拉動變換 PowerPoint投影片。 Navigation Wig經由GPS與震動器指示使用者,Sensing Wig則可從體內收集體溫與血壓等資訊。<br />
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<a href="http://news.cnyes.com/Content/20131030/KHAYEC9BY5EY0.shtml?c=headline_sitehead" target="_blank">Google智慧手錶來了?WSJ:研發抵最後階段 即將量產</a></div>
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《華爾街日報》週二 (29 日) 引述知情人士報導,Google (<a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ:GOOG" rel="googlefinance nofollow" title="NASDAQ: GOOG">GOOG</a>-US) 的智慧手錶產品已處於最後研發階段,公司正與亞洲供應商討論開始大量生產,並將在近月內啟動。<br />
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<a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-SbQTyDQuBWo/UnCMq1B1EoI/AAAAAAAALjE/f7PnrlBLF_Q/s1600/nexus-watch-concept-630%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="190" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-SbQTyDQuBWo/UnCMq1B1EoI/AAAAAAAALjE/f7PnrlBLF_Q/s400/nexus-watch-concept-630%5B1%5D.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
知情人士透露,Google 的智慧手錶搭載 <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.t-mobile.com/cell-phones.android.html" rel="tmobile nofollow" title="Cell Phones Android">Android</a> 作業系統,並與 Google 的智慧個人助理功能 Google Now 整合,後者可回答問題、提供建議,並根據用戶目前所做動作預先提供所需資訊。<br />
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消息人士並表示,Google 也在努力減少智慧手錶產品的耗電量,好讓這項裝置不需要經常充電。且 Google 的智慧手錶將可與智慧手機等其他裝置互動,並透過 Google Now 翻找使用者的資料,例如從用戶電子郵件中找到其行程表。<br />
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<a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-LHu2mEHdtPM/UoWx3G1rkdI/AAAAAAAAL58/AkI-6eGtCRo/s1600/201311141656200681815%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="266" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-LHu2mEHdtPM/UoWx3G1rkdI/AAAAAAAAL58/AkI-6eGtCRo/s400/201311141656200681815%5B1%5D.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
報導補充,Google 的智慧手錶將試圖解決這類產品長期來受到懷疑人士提出的 2 大質疑:實用性及電池續航力。儘管對手三星 (<a class="zem_slink" href="http://samsung.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Samsung Electronics">Samsung</a>)(005930KR) 已推出可與智慧手機互動的智慧手錶 <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.samsung.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Samsung Galaxy">Galaxy</a> Gear,但這類產品仍尚未廣受歡迎,歸咎於功能有限及相對高價。<br />
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不過分析師預估,隨著相應的軟體功能發展日益改善,穿戴式智慧裝置將越來越進入主流,成為像 Google 或蘋果 (Apple)(<a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=LON:APC" rel="googlefinance nofollow" title="LSE: APC">AAPL</a>-US) 等科技業巨擘下個戰場。根據市場研究公司 ABI 研究預估,至 2018 年穿戴式裝置年銷量將可達 4.85 億件。<br />
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<a href="http://mag.udn.com/mag/digital/storypage.jsp?f_MAIN_ID=320&f_SUB_ID=2943&f_ART_ID=483230" target="_blank">第二代 Google Glass 外觀公布 增加外接耳機</a></div>
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Google近期宣布,將針對持有Google Glass的開發者提供單次硬體更新服務,目前也具體公布新款Google Glass外觀設計。大致上與第一款Google Glass相似,並且新增可外接單聲道耳機連接設計,而內部硬體規格是否有跟進升級,暫時還無法確認。</div>
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<a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-U7faoxwn-hU/UnCLQ6jNmNI/AAAAAAAALiw/ThYgDiZAorY/s1600/f_483230_1.46.26%5B1%5D.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-U7faoxwn-hU/UnCLQ6jNmNI/AAAAAAAALiw/ThYgDiZAorY/s1600/f_483230_1.46.26%5B1%5D.png" /></a></div>
根據Google Glass官方Google+更新消息,具體展示第二代更新款Google Glass實際外觀,實際設計大致與第一代版本相同,不過新增可外接單聲道耳機連結設計,使用者可選擇是否透過耳機聽取Google Glass傳遞聲音,或者直接透過Google Glass本身骨傳導技術傳遞聲音。</div>
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目前還無法確認耳機連接設計是否採標準3.5mm接頭,進而可允許使用個人喜好耳機配件。另外也還無法確認耳機是否僅提供單聲道輸出,或者支援雙聲道效果。</div>
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至於在硬體規格部分,也暫時無法確認內部處理器、記憶體、儲存容量等是否有所升級,可能還是要等Google後續公布才能知曉,但估計第二代Google Glass將接近市售版本規格。</div>
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Google在不久前針對持有Google Glass Explorer版本的開發者宣布,將提供單次交換更新新版硬體規格服務,讓開發者可換取第二代Google Glass。此外,Google也將允許持有Google Glass的開發者邀請最多三名朋友加入體驗。</div>
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而針對同樣傳聞將於近期發表的Google智慧型手錶「Gem」,目前暫時尚未有具體消息,不過跟Google Glass一樣均傳出近期進入量產階段的說法。</div>
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<a href="http://mag.udn.com/mag/digital/storypage.jsp?f_ART_ID=483213&kdid=AR10&r=3" target="_blank">三星智慧表 整合行動家族</a><br />
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<a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-EmJZvxpj5Sk/UpU0At6Y3DI/AAAAAAAAMCs/SOlFaZ6Y7Z0/s1600/galaxy-gear-clock%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="275" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-EmJZvxpj5Sk/UpU0At6Y3DI/AAAAAAAAMCs/SOlFaZ6Y7Z0/s400/galaxy-gear-clock%5B1%5D.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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三星電子宣布將更新智慧手表Galaxy Gear軟體,擴大與Galaxy系列行動裝置的相容性,並積極拉攏開發商強攻穿戴式裝置的應用程式。<br />
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售價 300 美元的 Gear 可支援三星行動裝置,在手表秀出訊息提醒與其他資訊,但缺點之一是目前僅與最新的Galaxy Note 3 手機整合。<br />
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三星28日宣布,將在未來幾周更新Gear軟體,擴大與 Galaxy S3、S4 與Note 2整合,並在未來幾個月支援 S4 Active 與 Mega機型。三星上周也宣布,Gear將與11月開賣的Galaxy S4 Mini整合。擴大Galaxy Gear的相容性,可望拓展這款智慧手表的消費群,目前S3與S4仍是最受歡迎的Android機種。<br />
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另外,三星在首屆開發商大會積極拉攏開發商強攻穿戴式裝置等尖端科技產品。<br />
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<a href="http://www.eettaiwan.com/emag/1302_10_SL.html" target="_blank">全球ICT業者搶攻 mHealth 行動醫療商機</a><br />
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隨著無線通訊技術進展以及醫療設備需求增加,結合行動科技與醫療照護服務的相關應用正推動‘行動照護’(Mobile Health;mHealth)的觀念提升,並為全球ICT業者帶來新一波的行動醫療與照護服務商機。<br />
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mHealth,這種透過使用行動設備為病患提供監測與照護的醫療服務,將成為未來幾年內最重要的成長軌跡。很快地,包括智慧型手機、平板電腦以及病患監護設備,例如具有藍牙功能的血糖儀和血壓計等,將能夠在醫療保健IT基礎架構中找到一個永久的發展定位。<br />
<a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ZdO1Y-iDdbk/UpU1nzmjmOI/AAAAAAAAMC4/OmqO3apRzAI/s1600/Garmin-Forerunner-Coach%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="137" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ZdO1Y-iDdbk/UpU1nzmjmOI/AAAAAAAAMC4/OmqO3apRzAI/s400/Garmin-Forerunner-Coach%5B1%5D.jpg" width="400" /></a><br />
也就是說,致力於擴展寬頻和‘醫療人體區域網路’(MBAN)的連接性,將可促進mHealth設備推動醫療改革的能力,同時創造就業機會,以及刺激設備與軟體的發展,從而提升全球ICT相關業者在醫療領域的軟體與硬體技術創新以及提升其市場地位。<br />
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根據ABI Research的調查報告顯示,一系列利用創新無線技術連接到手機的新設備,帶動了2012年可穿戴式無線mHealth設備的強勁成長。估計2012年約有將近3,000萬台mHealth設備出貨,較2011年的出貨量成長37%。<br />
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包括蘋果的iPhone和三星的Galaxy III等內建藍牙Smart Ready連接技術的智慧型手機,帶動業界對於可穿戴式感測設備的興趣以及新一波的投資動能。ABI預計在2011年和2017年之間,這一類行動醫療設備市場將以近40%的年複合成長率迅速起飛,在2017年達到1.6億台mHealth設備的市場規模。IMS Research也預計全球可穿戴技術市場將在2016年達到1.71億台的出貨量,創造60億美元的銷售收入。<br />
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業界廠商正積極投入相關領域,以掌握更大市佔率的機會。目前市場上的可穿戴式無線運動與健身設備供應商,如Polar、Garmin、Nike、Adidas等公司都在2012年擴大其可穿戴式無線感測器產品,同時,還有好幾家新創公司進軍市場,推出使用範圍更廣以及可收集數據的多樣化產品組合。<br />
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高通公司(Qualcomm)早在2011年底即宣佈投資1億美元,成立全資子公司──高通生命公司(Qualcomm Life Inc.),並與醫療設備製造商合作,共同改善醫療電子產品。如今,這一mHealth計劃,將為該公司及其合作夥伴帶來更大的商機。<br />
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美國聯邦通訊委員會(FCC)主席Julius Genachowski日前也為業界廠商提出了一項挑戰,期望業界在未來五年內共同利用mHealth技術,落實於實際的醫療應用中。無論是高通(Qualcomm)、英特爾(Intel)以及蘋果(apple)等業界大廠,或者是像Fitbit Inc.與Entra Health Systems等規模較小的公司,都能夠確保這一新市場機會持續成長,並預計將在未來的五年內蓬勃發展。<br />
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“從可穿戴式設備到智慧手機,以及用手機作為上網的應用平台,這種能夠以超低功耗實現通訊的能力,正推動著新一波的創新與投資浪潮。目前我們已經看到這一類的應用廣泛,且將在未來五年內持續增加,這一類的設備將從傳統的心律監測設備不斷進展,到涵蓋專為測量人體動態參數並提供給個人與服務供應商的多種設備,”ABI Research負責mHealth與M2M市場的首席分析師Jonathan Collins表示。<br />
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這一行動無線連接技術還將帶動更多與醫療相關的市場領域,包括專為老年人開發的家庭監測設備,以及從醫療院所遠端監測病患情況的設備;同時,無線連接技術的彈性化與簡便性還將帶動其它更多的應用。</div>
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<a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/wearable-devices-create-a-new-market-2013-8" target="_blank">Wearable Gadgets Are Still Not Getting The Attention They Deserve — Here's Why They Will Create A Massive New Market</a><br />
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There's still a great deal of skepticism out there about how big the market potential is for wearables — gadgets like smartwatches, connected fitness bands, and smart eyewear.<br />
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<a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-RHhLGTmI6gU/UoWxCJiy0zI/AAAAAAAAL50/23LQYrBjIKE/s1600/biiwearablesmktsz%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="262" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-RHhLGTmI6gU/UoWxCJiy0zI/AAAAAAAAL50/23LQYrBjIKE/s400/biiwearablesmktsz%5B1%5D.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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At BI Intelligence, <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.businessinsider.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Business Insider">Business Insider</a>'s paid research service, we believe this represents a failure in imagination. The important thing about wearables isn't so much about how strange they look or seem now, but the many problems they will help consumers solve.<br />
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There are signs that some analysts and investors are starting to clue in. This month, wearables company <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.fitbit.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Fitbit">FitBit</a> raised a $43 million round of financing, and IDC yesterday cited wearables as a fast-emerging category that may be helping slow down growth in the tablet market. Samsung is set to launch a smartwatch next week. Expectations for Apple's rumored <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.lapdonline.org/iwatchla" rel="homepage nofollow" title="iWatch">iWatch</a> are reaching a fever-pitch.<br />
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Those betting big on wearable computing also believe an assorted new crop of gadgets — mostly worn on the wrist or as eyewear — will transform the way in which we interact with the rest of our devices. A wristwatch or Google Glass means you can read instant messages, take photos, or Google something without reaching for your smartphone.<br />
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But wearables won't just complement smartphones.<br />
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Wearables will help us track our time, our fitness regimes, our health, and our daily routines.<br />
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Wearables are about taking the ubiquity of the <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Internet">Internet</a> one step further. An <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_access" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Internet access">Internet connection</a> on a fitness band or on a wristwatch may seem a strange frill now. But over time it will seem like a no-brainer feature. A multi-time zone travel watch is a much simpler proposition with an Internet connection. So is a wristband that tracks your heartbeat and loads your beats-per-minute to the cloud, where an app might help you store and analyze real-time health data. <br />
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What is perhaps most intriguing about wearables is these new purposes they will serve. Because they are designed to be worn close to the body, they'll become indispensable for monitoring vital signs. Fitness bands like the Jawbone UP and FitBit already track how active we are, our sleep quality, how many steps we take during the day. Consumers of all sorts — fitness buffs, dieters, and the elderly — will come to rely on devices like these.<br />
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There are a dizzying variety of unique-to-wearables applications, from smart eyewear for remote medical training to wearables that help parents keep their infants and kids safe.<br />
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Speculation on the future market for wearables devices is a confusing mix of skepticism and hype. But in a recent report from BI Intelligence, we put hard numbers to our ideas and conservatively forecast a $12 billion market for wearable devices, led by wrist-worn gadgets.<br />
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We also analyze various growth forecasts for the wearable computing market, explore the products and prospects of each component market — including bracelets, smartwatches, and eyewear, pocket-sized and clip-on devices, and examine the various barriers to entry for each, and look at how wearables could bring along new platform wars. Subscribers also gain access to our May 2013 Google Glass forecast.<br />
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Access the Full Report By Signing Up For A Free Trial Today >>><br />
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Here's a brief overview of the wearable computing market:<br />
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Market sizing estimates vary: According to IMS Research, the wearables market is poised to grow from 14 million devices shipped in 2011 to as many as 171 million units shipped by 2016. In a more recent estimate, ABI Research pegs the wearables market at 485 million annual device shipments by 2018. We believe this number is too high because of the uncertainty surrounding eyewear and smartwatches. We see global annual wearable device unit shipments crossing the 100 million milestone in 2014, and reaching 300 million units five years from now.<br />
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<ul>
<li>Bracelets: Right now, driven by their aptness for fitness and medical uses, bracelets dominate the wearables market. Even if wearable computing doesn't go mainstream, smart bracelets will always have a place in the burgeoning industry for smart medical devices, according to IMS Research. We believe fitness and medical wearables, taken together, will account for roughly 60% of the wearables market this year, and even a larger share in the future.</li>
<li>Smartwatches: Like fitness bands, they are employing wireless links — invariably, Bluetooth — to link up with a smartphone. But instead of collecting information, like most fitness bands, watches will display it. Promoters of smartwatches also highlight the fact that users will no longer have to constantly reach into their pockets for a smartphone — an action becoming more awkward as phone screen sizes grow. </li>
<li>Eyewear: In contrast to virtual reality, augmented reality lets you see ambient information while interacting with the real world. The most ambitious wearable product aimed at the consumer mainstream is Google Glass. Marketers see great potential in Google Glass. They are already familiar with augmented reality since they have experimented with print materials that are readable by smartphone applications and can create complementary ad experiences on-screen.</li>
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分析<br />
<ul>
<li>由於 Social network 及雲端科技越來越發達,<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2013/11/google-google-google-google-google.html" target="_blank">穿戴式智慧裝置 ( wearable computing devices )將被啟動</a>,市場資料統計,2014 成長至 2018 每年將有130億美元穿戴式智慧裝置市場;</li>
<li>Sony、Google、Samsung、Garmin 都投入這市場,也將重組全球穿戴式消費商品局勢;</li>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-38755234096030104802013-11-18T04:38:00.000-08:002018-07-02T14:48:26.687-07:00常運動、登山者,應常吃膠質食物、軟骨、小魚、含鋅食物,讓皮下膠原蛋白、關節、骨骼的保持良好 ( 定期的な運動、登山者は、食品のガム、軟骨、魚、亜鉛の食べ物なので、皮膚コラーゲン、関節、骨が良い維持を食べる必要があります )<a href="http://www.commonhealth.com.tw/article/article.action?id=5016312&page=1" target="_blank">如何運動不傷膝</a><br />
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三十幾歲的陳小姐是愛運動的熟女,<b>每天健走或跳有氧舞蹈,週末還爬山。最近一個月左膝前側隱隱作痛,特別是上下階梯時,她擔心是不是自己運動過度。求醫發現自己得了髕骨關節疼痛症候群</b>(膝蓋前方的骨頭),好發於年輕、愛運動的女性。醫生提醒她,如果不好好保護膝蓋,可能使年輕的關節提早退化。<br />
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五十幾歲的林媽媽,則是在<b>平常就覺得右側膝蓋怪怪的,上下樓梯或跪著拜拜都不舒服。幾天前爬山後右膝腫脹疼痛,經醫生診斷是退化性關節炎</b>。醫生叮囑她,要避免蹲、跪、久站久坐和上下樓梯。<br />
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「<b>有筋骨痠痛和膝蓋痛的現代人愈來愈多</b>,很多都是動靜失衡所造成,」國泰醫院復健科物理治療組組長簡文仁從許多門診個案發現。<br />
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比如說,有些人動得不夠多或已有退化性關節炎,肌肉和膝蓋都很脆弱,一下子運動過量,像是爬山爬太久,就很容易引起腰部及膝蓋疼痛。另一些人則是運動過量,如果持續使用不當,加上休息不夠,慢慢會累積一些運動傷害,造成各種膝關節問題。<br />
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膝關節是全身上下最容易發生傷害的關節,不分年齡,台安醫院復建科主任鍾佩珍表示。但如果平常就能好好保養,還是可以延緩關節的退化,即使年紀大了,仍可順暢使用。<br />
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究竟,該如何保養膝關節?什麼動作又最傷膝?什麼樣的運動較好?如果膝蓋已出現不適或有退化性關節炎,又該如何運動?如何保養膝關節?<br />
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根據統計,躺下來時膝蓋的負重幾乎是零,<b>站起來和走路是體重的1~2倍,上下坡或上下階梯是3~4倍,跑步是4倍,打球和上籃是6倍,蹲和跪是8倍</b>。試想一下,一個體重60公斤的人,每上一格階梯,膝蓋就要承受240公斤,如果是蹲跪,則要承受到480公斤之多。<br />
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鍾佩珍解釋,膝關節平均可承重35公斤,承受重量愈多,軟骨磨損的機率也愈大,肌腱也容易受傷,膝關節退化較快。<br />
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如果想減輕膝蓋的負擔,可把握以下幾個原則:<br />
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<b>1.減重,儘可能維持標準體重。</b><br />
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肥胖是膝關節的大敵,要預防膝蓋痛,要先解除身上的重量。別以為增加3公斤沒什麼,外表也看不出,實際上每走一步路就增加6公斤,上下樓梯則是增加12公斤。持續肥胖對膝蓋的壓力更不用說,這也是為什麼很多胖子的膝蓋都不好。<br />
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此外,如果膝蓋已經不適,儘可能少背、少提重物,減輕整體的重量。<br />
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<b>2.少做長期蹲跪的動作。</b><br />
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鍾佩珍建議家庭主婦,儘量別蹲著做家事或跪著擦地板,至於深受許多人喜愛的太極拳,簡文仁則是建議年紀大或膝蓋已不舒服的人,不要勉強自己蹲得太低,站著打高位太極就好。<br />
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<b>3.多訓練膝關節周圍的肌肉。</b><br />
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像是大腿前側的四頭肌,大腿後側的二頭肌,增強這些肌群,可增加膝關節的穩定性,減緩關節的磨損。<b>平常可多做抬腿的動作,或是騎室內腳踏車</b>,都可訓練到這些肌肉。<br />
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<b>4.運動中如果感到不適,要立刻停下來,不要勉強。</b><br />
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曾是史丹佛大學醫學院和哈佛公衛學院教授的瑞芬‧帕芬柏格在《哈佛經驗—運動與健康》一書中指出,疼痛其實就是最好的警訊,告訴我們要休息、減緩速度或改變運動項目。<br />
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<b>5.要有足夠的休息。</b><br />
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帕芬柏格教授也提醒,足夠的休息對保護膝關節也很重要,因為疲累的肌肉無法讓膝蓋穩定。<br />
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6.了解自己的極限,量力而為。<br />
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簡文仁強調,關節要省省的用,不要折磨它或想訓練它,特別是年紀大了,更要愛惜。因為運動傷害通常是超過能力能負荷所造成的傷害,比如說,40歲的人不能再把自己當20歲用,因為身體的機能都慢慢在退化,勉強的結果就很容易受傷。<br />
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<b>7.如果要運動,一定要循序漸進,慢慢增加時間與量。</b><br />
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比如說,如果想開始走路運動,可以從每天10分鐘開始,習慣後再慢慢增加5分鐘、10分鐘,一直到30分鐘,這是最能讓自己習慣且安全的做法。鍾佩珍觀察很多現代人,平常沒運動,週末跟著家人朋友去爬山,結果回來腳痠,膝蓋也痛,就是缺乏循序漸進的結果,當然很容易受傷。<br />
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<b><u>不傷膝的運動處方</u></b><br />
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交替著<b>走路、室內腳踏車、游泳</b>水中運動的多元組合,是保護膝蓋最好的運動處方,帕芬柏格教授建議。<br />
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相較於慢跑,走路對膝蓋的壓力較小。游泳及水中運動,則因為水的阻力,對膝蓋關節沒有任何負擔。鍾佩珍自己每天早上晨泳,就是因為游泳的運動傷害最小,對膝蓋沒有壓力負擔。<br />
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至於<b>室內腳踏車,既能訓練肌肉的力量又不傷膝</b>。美國《新聞週刊》就曾在幾個月前報導,目前最受歡迎的新型運動是騎腳踏車,因為它不但可以很激烈,對關節的衝擊也較少。但還是要注意調整高度,以坐下來向前踩踏板時,腳尖能夠碰觸地面為宜,避免活動空不夠,造成膝蓋活動角度太大,反而磨損膝蓋。<br />
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不少老人家瘋「維骨力」,甚至成為親友長輩間熱門的伴手禮。營養師表示,「維骨力」只是顧「關節」,成分中完全沒有鈣,如果阿公阿嬤只靠吃維骨力補鈣、補骨頭,那就大錯特錯了。<br />
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北市聯合醫院忠孝院區營養師洪若樸表示,很多人搞不清楚,如何靠飲食來保養骨頭及關節,因此靠吃保健食品取代,但卻常吃錯,導致越補越糟糕。她提醒,除了吃保健營養品,骨頭與關節的保養,還是要靠平日的飲食來補強。<br />
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洪若樸表示,葡萄糖胺是形成軟骨細胞的營養素,可以修補退化軟骨組織,增強關節靈活度。軟骨的組要成分為「膠原蛋白」和「葡萄糖胺」,臨床上常用葡萄糖胺改善退化性關節炎,促進關節內蛋白多糖及膠原蛋白製造。<br />
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<b>「膠原蛋白像鋼筋,建立強健軟骨;葡萄糖胺就像水泥,填補鋼筋中的空隙。」</b>洪若樸表示,葡萄糖胺強力的抓水特性,可使軟骨的含水性夠,避免讓骨和骨間產生撞擊或摩擦。<br />
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民眾要保護關節,首先避免體重過重,因為體重越重,膝蓋的負擔也越沉重。若想在日常飲食中保養關節,<b>可多吃含膠質、軟骨素的食物,像如蹄膀凍、雞爪、蹄筋、豬耳、貝類、海參、海帶或是黑、白木耳等</b>。<br />
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另外,也可以<b>多補充深海魚(如鮭魚、鮪魚、鰹魚等)</b>,深海魚含豐富的EPA,是多元不飽和脂肪酸,可抑制關節發炎反應,減緩關節炎症狀。<br />
<br />
若要保養骨頭,則建議多攝取含鈣食物,例如各式乳製品、豆製品、小魚乾、海帶、芝麻,以及深綠色蔬菜。洪若樸也提醒,一天喝咖啡不要超過兩杯,而且最好用鮮奶代替奶精。<br />
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除了飲食保健,最好每周做3至5次負重運動,如游泳、快走、慢跑等,並且多曬太陽,都有助於鈣質吸收。總之,護膝蓋和補骨頭是不同的,不要再補錯了。<br />
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<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2012/04/blog-post.html" target="_blank">定時定量吃含鋅食物</a><br />
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科學研究表明,鋅是人體內200多種酶的組成部分,它直接參與了核酸、蛋白質的合成、細胞的分化和增殖以及許多重要的代謝。人體內還有一些酶需要鋅的激活而發揮其活性作用。鋅是人體生長髮育、生殖遺傳、免疫、內分泌等重要生理過程中必不可少的物質,人體含鋅總量減少時,會引起免疫組織受損,免疫功能缺陷,所以鋅被人們譽為“生命之花”。<br />
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含鋅的食物有哪些呢??<br />
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: left; text-align: left;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-054w94k2VFw/UgJevnYix9I/AAAAAAAAKWc/-Bg9k2PA5d0/s1600/af785f54-2e73-4952-9aae-c2150b63ea5e_std%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="213" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-054w94k2VFw/UgJevnYix9I/AAAAAAAAKWc/-Bg9k2PA5d0/s320/af785f54-2e73-4952-9aae-c2150b63ea5e_std%5B1%5D.jpg" width="320" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="font-size: 12.727272033691406px; text-align: center;"><a href="http://mypaper.pchome.com.tw/mr_right55/post/1321605005" style="font-size: small;" target="_blank">牡蠣</a></td></tr>
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鋅這種本來是與銅、鐵、錳等同屬於人體所須的微量金屬元素的礦物質,近幾年來被醫學證實與男性性能力有關而被市場炒熱,如果你留心一下會發現現在一般開架式的藥房多了許多你以前較少看到的「鋅」。<br />
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鋅是體內抗氧化酵素的重要成份,它可強化血球細胞活性,可以抗氧化、抗癌、促進生育力,醫學上曾證實因為男性的精液中含有大量的鋅,體內鋅的不足的確會影響精蟲數量與品質,而且會使睪固酮下降,不但影響生育還會使免疫力降低;在女性它同樣可以促進子宮的血流,也有增進生育的作用。同時也可使皮膚、毛髮、光澤有彈性、恢復指甲的色澤等。在國外常見鋅與維他命C的合劑(大部份是維他命C 500mg配上鋅5mg)因為鋅與維他命C在一起可以強化人體的免疫系統,可以用來制伏感冒。<br />
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<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: right; text-align: right;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-sSV9CWu4d90/UgJfoMrgAHI/AAAAAAAAKWk/hQ4XRkZsr5I/s1600/cereal-03%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="152" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-sSV9CWu4d90/UgJfoMrgAHI/AAAAAAAAKWk/hQ4XRkZsr5I/s320/cereal-03%5B1%5D.jpg" width="320" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="font-size: 12.727272033691406px; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #660000; font-size: x-small;">小麥胚芽</span></td></tr>
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因此,為什麼鋅對於皮膚面皰的緩解有效?說穿了就是促進皮膚的正常生長嘛。另外,面皰很容易受到感染,會造成疼痛與傷疤,導致「滿臉豆花」、「月球表面」的悲慘下場。還好「鋅」具有抵抗感染、增強免疫能力的功能,才不至於讓痘痘太囂張,讓我們「有臉見人啦!」。<br />
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讓我們來看看含鋅的食物有哪些。<b>牡蠣</b>、<b>蝦子</b>、豬肉、肝臟、蛋、<b>啤酒酵母粉</b>、牛奶、<b>豆類</b>、<b>小麥胚芽</b>、<b>南瓜子</b>,都是含鋅量較高的食物。<br />
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鋅對紫外線曬傷皮膚的保護作用<br />
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紫外線是皮膚老化的主要因素,因為紫外線(<a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ultraviolet" rel="wikipedia" title="Ultraviolet">Ultraviolet Radiation</a>, UVA)會產生大量自由基, 造成皮膚細胞的DNA斷裂,這種斷裂在曬傷後8小時即產生,然後在18小時之後皮膚細胞開始發生死亡,(Apoptosis) ,雖然皮膚本身會有修復能力,隨著年齡增長,這種修復能力隨之下降,因此發生皺紋和鬆弛等現象<br />
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<a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-MjbJK9LqqbU/UgJf8Fim_nI/AAAAAAAAKWs/IxXHPd9MRqk/s1600/pan_hot_chili_strimp.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="240" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-MjbJK9LqqbU/UgJf8Fim_nI/AAAAAAAAKWs/IxXHPd9MRqk/s320/pan_hot_chili_strimp.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
許多新的皮膚保養品對於防止皮膚老化早就著重在如何修補或預防這種UVA的紫外線傷害上面,如減少紫外線與皮膚接觸機會的防曬用品,和增強皮膚本身的DNA修補能力,根據 Biological Trace Element Research ,1999 Vol69,177-190的一篇研究論文發表,研究這首次以培養的皮膚細胞為模型,觀察微量礦物質鋅(Zinc)是不是能夠對於DNA的傷害發生保護作用,研究發現,添加 6.5mg/L 鋅的培養基中,皮膚細胞DNA斷裂的情況大為減少,而不管在 8 小時的DNA斷裂或或 18 小時的細胞死亡都能具有保護作用,進一步的研究將要研究在體內(in vivo)的鋅是不是與培養基中的效果相同,將來有助於保養品和皮膚營養補充品相關產品的研究<br />
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食物中的蛋、奶、奶類製品(起司、乳酪)、全麥麵包,植物性的如<b>大豆</b>、<b>黑豆</b>、花生;肉類中的<b>羊肉</b>、牛肉都含有不少的鋅;海鮮類的如<b>蠔</b>、<b>蝦</b>、<b>蟹</b>中的鋅含量更是豐富,這也是為何人們迷信生猛海鮮可以壯陽的緣故了。其中蠔幾乎是所有食物中含量之冠,一顆中等大小的蠔幾乎就等於一天的鋅需求量,如果你在夜市吃一盤蚵仔煎,大約有六顆的蠔就含了。<br />
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<a href="https://mynuskin.tw/nuskin-tw-personal-offer-h5/?turistVistorSalesSlipId=1179896372489469960" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;" target="_blank"><img border="0" height="266" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-CGU0QfnwEyk/Uu2bEo0S3LI/AAAAAAAANUc/Ky7JPsKC0UE/s1600/236_1Trail_Runner_at_the_Flatirons%5B1%5D.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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<a href="http://news.sina.com.tw/article/20140201/11700671.html" target="_blank">研究:抑制乳癌 跑步較有效</a><br />
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研究曾指出,乳癌病患如果達到每周2.5小時運動量標準,降低乳癌死亡率可達25%,但根據美國最新研究發現,若以跑步當作運動的女性,降低風險更可達到40%,相較走路儘為5%。除此之外,科學家也發現褪黑激素與夠透過控制基因,可以抑制癌細胞形成與擴散,未來將進一步進行臨床實驗造福更多乳癌病患。<br />
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美國能源部旗下勞倫斯柏克萊國家實驗室研究者觀察986位乳癌病患,其中714位經常以走路當運動,跑步組有272位,在9年研究期間共有46位女性死亡,研究者以計算運動強度的單位「代謝當量」(metabolic equivalent)進行分析後發現,每天每小時運動當量增加每增加一單位,約等於減少致死率24%,但若將兩種運動分開觀察,跑步運動降低死亡率更高。<br />
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因為在跑步組乳癌致死率降低了4成,走路組則僅5%。一個代謝當量定義為每小時一公斤體重消耗一千卡熱量,走路約3.3個代謝當量,跑步約7個代謝當量。過去許多研究也指出,跑步比走路更能達到減重效果。<br />
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<a href="http://www.gomaji.com/store-detail.php?store_id=30158" target="_blank">超好吃的軟骨肉</a><br />
<br />
<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/--2xt_STVkfM/UooISTJLIeI/AAAAAAAAL-w/o-9mGloOjtM/s1600/IMG_1449%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="213" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/--2xt_STVkfM/UooISTJLIeI/AAAAAAAAL-w/o-9mGloOjtM/s320/IMG_1449%5B1%5D.jpg" width="320" /></a>部落客儒媽說:在家中煮排骨的媽咪們就會了解到軟骨這東西非常不易煮爛,但軟骨含有豐富的天然礦物質”鈣”(膠原蛋白),煮給全家吃,方便又安心!不會吃到硬硬口感的軟骨,又帶著濃郁香味,大人、小孩都愛! ( 註:超好吃的,我很喜歡! )<br />
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心得<br />
<br />
<ul>
<li>關節、骨骼要早保養,不然可能年不到39歲,就發現問題;</li>
<li>運動是不能少,多做不傷<b><span style="font-weight: normal;">膝關節如</span>走路、室內腳踏車、游泳</b>水中運動的多元組合,是最好的運動處方,不過登山是很好的運動;</li>
<li>吃就要選擇膠質食物、軟骨、小魚、含鋅食物,讓皮下及關節膠原蛋白、關節、骨骼的保持良好營養供應;軟骨主要成分是膠質蛋白,吃了軟骨會補鈣,但是要先補鋅;( 註:<a href="http://forum.businessweekly.com.tw/topic.aspx?fid=75&tid=4219" target="_blank">吃這些食物前 15 分鐘,先生吃蔬果,讓體質改善、體內酵素及各種有益之腺體增加,再吃其他食物,生命機能才能優化</a> )</li>
<li><a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2013/09/google-project-caico-foresee-its.html" target="_blank">穿載電腦科技應該開始研究如何追蹤、測量人體關節、器官如何保養、年輕活化的科技</a>;</li>
<li>運動是不能少,抑制乳癌 跑步較有效;</li>
<li><b>有些健康食品如超級食物,保養效果非常顯著,如 <a href="https://mynuskin.tw/nuskin-tw-personal-offer-h5/?turistVistorSalesSlipId=1179896372489469960" target="_blank">Estera 女士調適配方及固格配方</a></b>;</li>
</ul>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-291316358500649609.post-3323666725561356732013-11-16T08:50:00.002-08:002013-11-16T08:50:18.644-08:00若微軟平板、智能手機之產品戰略對,谷歌、微軟、蘋果、三星形成四分天下時代 ( If The product strategy of Microsoft on smart phone and tablet is correct, Microsoft will get back the market back )<a href="http://bar.cnyes.com/html/8D0A8E1C86C5BD4.shtml" target="_blank">iPad Air對上Lumia 2520:微軟比蘋果更有前瞻性?</a><br />
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<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-i8km02bZxgw/UoedZchDTVI/AAAAAAAAL7o/OPPidLuBhA4/s1600/NOKIA-LUMIA-2020-SMARTPHONE%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="275" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-i8km02bZxgw/UoedZchDTVI/AAAAAAAAL7o/OPPidLuBhA4/s400/NOKIA-LUMIA-2020-SMARTPHONE%5B1%5D.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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美國科技網站《CNET》記者 Brooke Crothers 週六 (2 日) 表示,雖然蘋果 (Apple)(<a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=LON:APC" rel="googlefinance nofollow" title="LSE: APC">AAPL</a>-US) 新推出的第五代 9.7 吋平板電腦 <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.apple.com/ipad/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="IPad">iPad</a> Air,或許不如諾基亞 (<a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:NOK" rel="googlefinance nofollow" title="NYSE: NOK">Nokia</a>) 新款 <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.microsoft.com/WINDOWS" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Windows">Windows</a> 系統平板電腦 Lumia 2520 一樣有「前瞻性」,但卻已是目前最能滿足他需求的電腦產品。<br />
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Crothers 透露,行動裝置晶片大廠高通 (Qualcomm)(<a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ:QCOM" rel="googlefinance nofollow" title="NASDAQ: QCOM">QCOM</a>-US) 高級副總裁 Raj Talluri 上週接受訪問時讚譽,搭載微軟 (Microsoft)(<a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ:MSFT" rel="googlefinance nofollow" title="NASDAQ: MSFT">MSFT</a>-US) 最新 Windows 8.1 RT 作業系統,以及高通四核心驍龍 (<a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.crunchbase.com/product/snapdragon" rel="crunchbase nofollow" title="Snapdragon">Snapdragon</a>) 800 處理器的諾基亞 10.1 吋平板 Lumia 2520,是他所需要的唯一一台電腦。<br />
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Talluri 當時表示,Lumia 2520 是他隨身攜帶的唯一一台電腦,「它有鍵盤和 (微軟軟體) Outlook,能做 Powerpoint。幾乎我需要的功能它都有」。報導指出,這是相當吸引人的前瞻特色,正如微軟前一週試圖強調的重點:因為這預告平板及筆電產品將真正合而唯一,消費者不再需要同時攜帶 2 台不同裝置。<br />
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不過《CNET》的 Crothers 表示,蘋果 iPad Air 雖然不夠具前瞻性,因為它基本上和 2010 年推出的首代 iPad 屬於同種產品;但不可否認,這第五代產品卻較前代 iPad 4 大大升級,對他目前使用上來說「已經夠好了」。<br />
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Crothers 列舉的 iPad Air 優點,除了運作速度更快、外觀更優,最重要的是把解析度高達 2048x1536 畫素的 Retina (視網膜) 等級螢幕,縮在更輕 (僅一磅重)、更薄 (75 公厘) 的機身中,且電池續航力意外維持不變甚至更久。<br />
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因此他認為,儘管 Lumia 2520 無疑指示出未來電腦產業道路,但前提是使用者要能接受使用 <a class="zem_slink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Windows_RT" rel="wikipedia nofollow" title="Windows RT">Windows RT</a> 作業系統;而他目前仍安於同時攜帶 2 台裝置在身上,亦即筆電與平板。<br />
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<a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/1777372-nokia-lumia-2520-tablet-is-a-non-factor" target="_blank">Nokia Lumia 2520 Tablet Is A Non-Factor</a><br />
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<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-76cI-RhA6RU/UivvnOvTP1I/AAAAAAAALC0/5SGZg_fxhls/s1600/phablets%5B1%5D.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="1280" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-76cI-RhA6RU/UivvnOvTP1I/AAAAAAAALC0/5SGZg_fxhls/s1600/phablets%5B1%5D.jpg" width="332" /></a></div>
On September 3, 2013, Microsoft (MSFT) announced that it was set to acquire Nokia's Devices and Services business for $7.2 billion, while continuing to license patent and mapping technologies from the Finnish firm. In retrospect, this move was the inevitable conclusion of a partnership that began in 2011. At that time, Nokia (<a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:NOK" rel="googlefinance nofollow" title="NYSE: NOK">NOK</a>) and Microsoft announced plans to build out a global mobile ecosystem together. It was then assumed that Microsoft would put up the Windows operating system software in exchange for unrivaled access to Nokia hardware and intellectual property. The Microsoft-Nokia acquisition deal is expected to close during the first quarter of 2014.<br />
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The tablet regimes out of both companies, however, will only confuse the marketplace. Interestingly, the Apple iPad Air, Nokia Lumia 2520, and Microsoft Surface 2 tablets all launched at the same time, on October 22, 2013. Nokia unveiled its Lumia 2520 tablet in Abu Dhabi, far removed from the glare of The West. In all likelihood, this awkwardly timed Lumia 2520 launch will remain out of sight, and out of mind, within the most critical American market. Microsoft has remained mum in regards to its future plans for the Nokia tablet. In either scenario, however, Microsoft stock will be dead money over the long term.<br />
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Nokia Lumia 2520 Tablet Specifications<br />
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The Nokia Lumia 2520, of course, will be immediately compared to the Surface 2 tablet. The Lumia 2520 combines bold, yet playful Nokia hardware design, above the somewhat utilitarian Windows 8.1 RT software programming. Nokia offers up its Lumia 2520 tablet in multiple colors that include fire red, Carolina Blue, and black. The tablet weighs in at 615 grams and features separate back-and-front cameras. A Qualcomm (QCOM) Snapdragon 800 quad-core 2.2 GHz chip can drive this Nokia machine through 25 days worth of standby battery life. The Verge is speculating that AT&T (T) and Verizon (VZ) outlets will retail the Lumia tablet. All Nokia tablets will offer both 4G LTE and Wi-Fi connectivity. Without a carrier subsidy, the 32GB Nokia Lumia 2520 is priced out at $499.<br />
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Microsoft Surface 2 prices range between $449 and $1,799. Interestingly, Microsoft has actually pitted its Surface 2 in direct competition against both the Apple iPad tablet and MacBook Air, alongside the Lumia 2520 work of its future Finnish employees. This second iteration of the Microsoft Windows tablet actually branches off into two separate wings, in the Surface 2, and the <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.surface.com/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Microsoft Surface">Surface Pro</a> 2 tablets. The Surface 2 may be described as the starter model that offers 32GB and 64GB in storage. The top-of-the-line 512GB Surface Pro 2 retails for $1,799. The premium Surface Pro 2 also packs 8GB RAM in built-in memory. For the sake of comparison, Apple's 13-inch MacBook Pro featuring 8GB of memory and 512GB of storage also retails for $1,799. The Intel Core i5, or Haswell, chip powers both the Surface Pro 2 and MacBook Pro.<br />
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Microsoft markets its Surface platform as "the one device for everything in your life." Meanwhile, Nokia bills its 2520 tablet as "one experience for everything in your life." The overlapping technical specifications and marketing terminologies out of both Microsoft and Nokia may only add to what Lance Ulanoff and Mashable would describe as "confusion." Prospective buyers may reject the Windows line altogether due to implicit fear of a lack of ongoing complimentary applications and support. This literal tablet town is not big enough for two hybrid Windows machines to live and thrive.<br />
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Windows 8 and 8.1<br />
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Nokia has made the interesting decision to maintain the much-maligned RT operating system within its Lumia tablets. Numerous technology analysts have mocked the RT as a stripped-down version of Windows 8 and Windows 8.1. Although a relatively risky endeavor out of Microsoft, market responses to both Windows 8 and 8.1 confirms the idea that Metro was far from revolutionary. Metro, or the modern user interface, may be described as a fusion of traditional desktop, smartphone, and tablet features. Woody Leonhard of Info World and Dan Rowinski of Tab Times went on to rip Windows 8 and the original Surface as a "boondoggle." Microsoft now faces a class action lawsuit out of angry shareholders railing against the "disastrous" launch of Windows RT that resulted in $900 million worth of Q4 2013 inventory write-downs at Microsoft. The Associated Press recently labeled Windows 8.1 as "far from perfect." Slight improvements within Windows 8.1 will do little to move the pendulum of RT brand perception away from the term "debacle" and towards delivering sales into the Nokia column.<br />
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On August 5, 2013, research firm IDC released data summarizing the size of the global tablet market through the second calendar quarter of 2013. The lead into the IDC report claimed that the table market contracted by 9.7%, in terms of shipments, upon a sequential basis. IDC cited anticipation for Holiday Season iPad launch as the primary factor behind the Q2 2013 contraction. Blaming tablet market decline upon the postponed iPad launch date, however, may prove to be wishful thinking. Ironically, Hayley Tsukayama and The Washington Post recently described the tablet market as "suddenly very crowded." Tsukayama went on to disclose that Amazon (<a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ:AMZN" rel="googlefinance nofollow" title="NASDAQ: AMZN">AMZN</a>) founder Jeffrey P. Bezos now owns The Washington Post. The <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.amazon.com/kindlefire" rel="homepage nofollow" title="Kindle Fire HD">Amazon Kindle Fire HD</a> tablet begins at $139. Amazon has remained infamous for offering product at-cost, in order to drive traffic towards its online site and higher margin goods and services.<br />
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The Nokia Lumia 2520 tablet is therefore destined to fight a losing war upon multiple fronts. At the top-end, expensive Apple iPads and MacBooks are notable for brand appeal and quality of user experience. At the low-end, all Windows tablet machines are at risk of being undercut by offerings out of Samsung (SSNLF), Google (<a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ:GOOG" rel="googlefinance nofollow" title="NASDAQ: GOOG">GOOG</a>), and even Amazon. The IDC information did confirm the dominance of the Google Android-Apple <a class="zem_slink" href="http://www.apple.com/ios/" rel="homepage nofollow" title="IOS">iOS</a> duopoly above the tablet market. Taken together, Android (28.2 million shipments) and iOS (14.6 million shipments) systems combined to operate 42.8 million Q2 2013 shipments. Google Android and Apple iOS then controlled respective 62.6% and 32.5% shares of the tablet market. For the sake of comparison, the Windows RT operating system accounted for a mere 200,000 tablet shipments during this latest quarter. Most likely, the Nokia Lumia 2520 will go the way of the BlackBerry Playbook, as a virtual non-factor within the tablet market.<br />
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The Bottom Line<br />
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Turnaround efforts at Nokia are gaining steam. According to The Wall Street Journal, sources familiar with the matter have indicated that Nokia sold more than 8 million Lumia phones during its latest third quarter. Value Nokia Lumia 520 and Lumia 620 handsets have been selling well in Europe, where the Windows system now operates roughly 10% of this geographic smart phone market. The Nokia Devices and Services may be turning the corner towards profitability, as the division posted $103.6 million in semi-annual 2013 operating losses. This performance was a sharp improvement over the prior year, when Nokia Devices and Services had already taken $1 billion in operating losses during the same semi-annual time frame.<br />
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Going forward, however, advancements in Nokia engineering may be sabotaged due to both clashes in culture and the Law of Large Numbers. Again, Microsoft has remained eerily silent with regard to its future plans for the Nokia Lumia 2520 tablet. At best, Microsoft will split marketing dollars and support between the Surface and Lumia tablets. At worst, corporate politics and infighting will ultimately result in Microsoft effectively abandoning this Nokia tablet, as Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) has done with much of the Palm hardware. Nokia Lumia handsets, of course, will smoothly transition into the Microsoft business line.<br />
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Microsoft has averaged $68 billion in annual revenue over the past five years. On October 25, 2013, Microsoft stock tacked on 6% gains to close out the trading session at $35.73, upon news that the company generated $5.24 billion in profits upon $18.53 billion in Q1 2014 sales. Wall Street analysts, however, have been quick to point out a $2 billion decline in short-term unearned, or deferred, revenue at Microsoft between fiscal Q4 2013 and Q1 2014. Microsoft revenue and net income would have been flat on a quarter-to-quarter basis had the company not have moved to recognize said amount of deferred revenue on the balance sheet and shifted it over to the income statement. Microsoft shareholders have been left to deal with negative real returns over the past fourteen years. The Microsoft acquisition of Nokia and its Lumia 2520 tablet will do nothing to change this trend.<br />
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分析<br />
<ul>
<li>台廠須注意 Nokia 新的 Lumia 2020 在歐洲賣的不錯之趨勢,<a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2013/02/phablets-nbpc-phablets-will-become.html" target="_blank">找出 Window 及 Android 各占優勢之 Phablet 方向</a>,這應該是台廠較易獲利方向;</li>
<li><a href="http://goooqle-money.blogspot.tw/2013/11/2013-2014-google-google-android-android.html" target="_blank">Microsoft 及 Apple inc., 主導的專利核戰將是另一輪 LTE/4G 專利戰,台廠只能運用 Microsoft 關係降低權利支付</a>;</li>
<li>我認為 Window 及 Android 雙模企業用之Phablet 極可能是台廠較有附加價值之方向;</li>
</ul>
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